Intercomparison of estimators of extreme value family of distributions for rainfall frequency analysis

Estimation of rainfall for a given return period is of utmost importance for planning and design of minor and major hydraulic structures. This can be achieved through Extreme Value Analysis (EVA) of rainfall by fitting Extreme Value family of Distributions (EVD) such as Generalized Extreme Value, Extreme Value Type-1, Extreme Value Type-2 and Generalized Pareto to the series of observed Annual 1-Day Maximum Rainfall (AMR) data. Based on the intended applications and the variate under consideration, Method of Moments (MoM), Maximum Likelihood Method (MLM) and L-Moments (LMO) are used for determination of parameters of probability distributions. The adequacy of fitting EVD to the AMR series was evaluated by quantitative assessment using Goodness-of-Fit (viz., Chi-square and Kolmogorov-Smirnov) and diagnostic test (viz., D-index) tests and qualitative assessment by the fitted curves of the estimated rainfall. The paper presents a study on intercomparison of EVD (using MoM, MLM and LMO) adopted in EVA of rainfall with illustrative example and the results obtained thereof.

Does the Type of Records Affect the Estimates of the Parameters?

A general family of distributions, namely Kumaraswamy generalized family of (Kw-G) distribution, is considered for estimation of the unknown parameters and reliability function based on record data from Kw-G distribution. The maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) are derived for unknown parameters and reliability function, along with its confidence intervals. A Bayesian study is carried out under symmetric and asymmetric loss functions in order to find the Bayes estimators for unknown parameters and reliability function. Future record values are predicted using Bayesian approach and non Bayesian approach, based on numerical examples and a monte carlo simulation.

Sine Inverse Lomax Generated Family of Distributions with Applications

This paper introduces a new family of distributions by combining the sine produced family and the inverse Lomax generated family. The new proposed family is very interested and flexible more than some old and current families. It has many new models which have many applications in physics, engineering, and medicine. Some fundamental statistical properties of the sine inverse Lomax generated family of distributions as moments, generating function, and quantile function are calculated. Four special models as sine inverse Lomax-exponential, sine inverse Lomax-Rayleigh, sine inverse Lomax-Frèchet and sine inverse Lomax-Lomax models are proposed. Maximum likelihood estimation of model parameters is proposed in this paper. For the purpose of evaluating the performance of maximum likelihood estimates, a simulation study is conducted. Two real life datasets are analyzed by the sine inverse Lomax-Lomax model, and we show that providing flexibility and more fitting than known nine models derived from other generated families.

The Sine Modified Lindley Distribution

The paper contributes majorly in the development of a flexible trigonometric extension of the well-known modified Lindley distribution. More precisely, we use features from the sine generalized family of distributions to create an original one-parameter survival distribution, called the sine modified Lindley distribution. As the main motivational fact, it provides an attractive alternative to the Lindley and modified Lindley distributions; it may be better able to model lifetime phenomena presenting data of leptokurtic nature. In the first part of the paper, we introduce it conceptually and discuss its key characteristics, such as functional, reliability, and moment analysis. Then, an applied study is conducted. The usefulness, applicability, and agility of the sine modified Lindley distribution are illustrated through a detailed study using simulation. Two real data sets from the engineering and climate sectors are analyzed. As a result, the sine modified Lindley model is proven to have a superior match to important models, such as the Lindley, modified Lindley, sine exponential, and sine Lindley models, based on goodness-of-fit criteria of importance.

The Arctan-X Family of Distributions: Properties, Simulation, and Applications to Actuarial Sciences

The purpose of this paper is to investigate a new family of distributions based on an inverse trigonometric function known as the arctangent function. In the context of actuarial science, heavy-tailed probability distributions are immensely beneficial and play an important role in modelling data sets. Actuaries are committed to finding for such distributions in order to get an excellent fit to complex economic and actuarial data sets. The current research takes a look at a popular method for generating new distributions which are excellent candidates for dealing with heavy-tailed data. The proposed family of distributions is known as the Arctan-X family of distributions and is introduced using an inverse trigonometric function. For the specific purpose of the show of strength, we studied the Arctan-Weibull distribution as a special case of the developed family. To estimate the parameters of the Arctan-Weibull distribution, the frequentist approach, i.e., maximum likelihood estimation, is used. A rigorous Monte Carlo simulation analysis is used to determine the efficiency of the obtained estimators. The Arctan-Weibull model is demonstrated using a real-world insurance data set. The Arctan-Weibull is compared to well-known two-, three-, and four-parameter competitors. Among the competing distributions are Weibull, Kappa, Burr-XII, and beta-Weibull. For model comparison, we used the most precise tests used to know whether the Arctan-Weibull distribution is more useful than competing models.

Statistical Inference for a General Family of Modified Exponentiated Distributions

In this paper, a modified exponentiated family of distributions is introduced. The new model was built from a continuous parent cumulative distribution function and depends on a shape parameter. Its most relevant characteristics have been obtained: the probability density function, quantile function, moments, stochastic ordering, Poisson mixture with our proposal as the mixing distribution, order statistics, tail behavior and estimates of parameters. We highlight the particular model based on the classical exponential distribution, which is an alternative to the exponentiated exponential, gamma and Weibull. A simulation study and a real application are presented. It is shown that the proposed family of distributions is of interest to applied areas, such as economics, reliability and finances.

On the T-X Class of Topp Leone-G Family of Distributions: Statistical Properties and Applications

This article investigates the T-X class of Topp Leone- G family of distributions. Some members of the new family are discussed. The exponential-Topp Leone-exponential distribution (ETLED) which is one of the members of the family is derived and some of its properties which include central and non-central moments, quantiles, incomplete moments, conditional moments, mean deviation, Bonferroni and Lorenz curves, survival and hazard functions, moment generating function, characteristic function and R`enyi entropy are established. The probability density function (pdf) of order statistics of the model is obtained and the parameter estimation is addressed with the maximum likelihood method (MLE). Three real data sets are used to demonstrate its application and the results are compared with two other models in the literature.

The modified beta transmuted family of distributions with applications using the exponential distribution

In this work, a new family of distributions, which extends the Beta transmuted family, was obtained, called the Modified Beta Transmuted Family of distribution. This derived family has the Beta Family of Distribution and the Transmuted family of distribution as subfamilies. The Modified beta transmuted frechet, modified beta transmuted exponential, modified beta transmuted gompertz and modified beta transmuted lindley were obtained as special cases. The analytical expressions were studied for some statistical properties of the derived family of distribution which includes the moments, moments generating function and order statistics. The estimates of the parameters of the family were obtained using the maximum likelihood estimation method. Using the exponential distribution as a baseline for the family distribution, the resulting distribution (modified beta transmuted exponential distribution) was studied and its properties. The modified beta transmuted exponential distribution was applied to a real life time data to assess its flexibility in which the results shows a better fit when compared to some competitive models.