Two Mechanisms of Earthquake-Induced Hydrochemical Variations in an Observation Well

Due to frequent large earthquakes in the Lanping-Simao fault basin—located in China’s Yunnan Province—the Simao observation well has observed groundwater discharge, as well as Ca2+, Mg2+, and HCO3− concentrations every day between 2001–2018. Over 18 years of observations, M ≥ 5.6 earthquakes within a radius of 380 km from the well were seen to cause hydrochemical variations. In this study, we investigated CO2 release and groundwater mixing as possible causes of regional earthquake precursors, which were caused by the characteristics of the regional structure, lithology, water-rock reactions, and a GPS velocity field. Precursory signals due to CO2 injection are normally short-term changes that take two months. However, groundwater mixing linked to earthquakes was found to take, at the earliest, 15 months. The proportion of shallow water that contributes to mixing was found to significantly increase gradually with the stronger regional strain. These finding delineate the two mechanisms of earthquake-induced hydrochemical variations in an observation well, and would contribute to a better understanding of chemical changes before events in the Simao basin.

Recharge Estimation Using CMB and Environmental Isotopes in the Verlorenvlei Estuarine System, South Africa and Implications for Groundwater Sustainability in a Semi-Arid Agricultural Region

Groundwater recharge remains one of the most difficult hydrogeological variables to measure accurately, especially for semi-arid environments where the recharge flux is much smaller than in humid conditions. In this study, groundwater recharge was estimated using chloride mass balance (CMB) in the Verlorenvlei catchment, South Africa where the effects of recent severe drought conditions in an already semi-arid environment have impacted both agricultural activity as well as the RAMSAR-listed Verlorenvlei estuarine system. Chloride, 18O and 2H tracers were used to improve understanding of the groundwater flow patterns and allowed the fresh parts of the groundwater system, defined by Ca2+-HCO3− groundwater types, to be separated from those where additional salts were being introduced through groundwater mixing, and thus characterized as Na+-Cl− groundwater types. Recharge rates calculated from CMB in the fresh parts of the system were between 4.2–5.6% and 11.4–15.1% of mean annual precipitation for the headwater valley and mountains of the Krom Antonies and are largely consistent with previous studies. However, much lower recharge rates in the valleys where agriculture is dominant contrasts with previous results, which were higher, since groundwater-mixing zones were not recognised. Although the chloride concentration in precipitation is based on only one year of data between 2015 and 2016, where 2015 had on average 28% less precipitation than 2016, the results provide a snapshot of how the system will respond to increasing drought frequency in the future. The results suggest that low rates of groundwater recharge under dry spell conditions will impact on low flow generations which are required to sustain the Verlorenvlei estuarine lake system. Overall, the study highlights the importance of combining hydrochemical tracers such as bulk chloride and stable isotopes with numerical modelling in data-scarce catchments to fully understand the nature of hydrological resilience.

Untangling transient groundwater mixing and travel times with noble gas time series and numerical modeling

<p class="western"><span lang="en-US">The quality and quantity of alluvial groundwater in mountainous areas are particularly susceptible to the effects of climate change, as well as increasing pollution from agriculture and urbanization. Understanding mixing between surface water and groundwater as well as groundwater travel times in such systems is thus crucial to sustain a safe and sufficient water supply. We used a novel combination of real-time, in-situ noble gas analysis to quantify groundwater mixing of recently infiltrated river water (<em>F<sub>rw</sub></em><!-- Please note that everything in “$$” will look differently once submitted -->) and regional groundwater, as well as travel times of <em>F<sub>rw</sub></em> during a two-month groundwater pumping test carried out at a drinking water wellfield in a prealpine valley in Switzerland. Transient groundwater mixing ratios were calculated using helium-4 concentrations combined with a Bayesian end-member mixing model. Having identified the groundwater fraction of <em>F<sub>rw</sub></em> consequently allowed us to infer the travel times from the stream to the wellfield, estimated based on radon-222 activities of <em>F<sub>rw</sub></em>. Additionally, we compared and validated our tracer-based estimates of <em>F<sub>rw</sub></em> using a calibrated surface water-groundwater model. Our findings show that (i) mean travel times of <em>F<sub>rw</sub></em> are in the order of two weeks, (ii) during most of the experiment, <em>F<sub>rw</sub></em> is substantially high (~70\%), and (iii) increased groundwater pumping only has a marginal effect on groundwater mixing ratios and travel times. The high fraction of <em>F<sub>rw</sub></em> in the abstracted groundwater and its short travel times emphasize the vulnerability of mountainous regions to present and predicted environmental changes.</span></p>