Potential impact of the global climate changes on the spatial distribution of areas of risk for the occurrence of eucalyptus rust in Brazil

Rust, caused by Puccinia psidii, is one of the most important diseases affecting eucalyptus in Brazil. This pathogen causes disease in mini-clonal garden and in young plants in the field, especially in leaves and juvenile shoots. Favorable climate conditions for infection by this pathogen in eucalyptus include temperature between 18 and 25 ºC, together with at least 6-hour leaf wetness periods, for 5 to 7 consecutive days. Considering the interaction between the environment and the pathogen, this study aimed to evaluate the potential impact of global climate changes on the spatial distribution of areas of risk for the occurrence of eucalyptus rust in Brazil. Thus, monthly maps of the areas of risk for the occurrence of this disease were elaborated, considering the current climate conditions, based on a historic series between 1961 and 1990, and the future scenarios A2 and B2, predicted by IPCC. The climate conditions were classified into three categories, according to the potential risk for the disease occurrence, considering temperature (T) and air relative humidity (RH): i) high risk (18 < T < 25 ºC and RH > 90%); ii) medium risk (18 < T < 25 ºC and RH < 90%; T< 18 or T > 25 ºC and RH > 90%); and iii) low risk (T < 18 or T > 25 ºC and RH < 90%). Data about the future climate scenarios were supplied by GCM Change Fields. In this study, the simulation model Hadley Centers for Climate Prediction and Research (HadCm3) was adopted, using the software Idrisi 32. The obtained results led to the conclusion that there will be a reduction in the area favorable to eucalyptus rust occurrence, and such a reduction will be gradual for the decades of 2020, 2050 and 2080 but more marked in scenario A2 than in B2. However, it is important to point out that extensive areas will still be favorable to the disease development, especially in the coldest months of the year, i.e., June and July. Therefore, the zoning of areas and periods of higher occurrence risk, considering the global climate changes, becomes important knowledge for the elaboration of predicting models and an alert for the integrated management of this disease.

Genetic Variability in Puccinia psidii Populations as Revealed by PCR-DGGE and T-RFLP Markers

Eucalyptus rust caused by Puccinia psidii is responsible for losses of approximately 20% of young Eucalyptus plants, depending on the environmental conditions and the geographic location. Despite its economic importance, there are few studies describing the genetic variability in P. psidii populations that infect different host plants. In the present study, we evaluated the ribosomal DNA internal transcribed spacer region (rDNA-ITS) using polymerase chain reaction denaturing gradient gel electrophoresis and terminal restriction fragment length polymorphism to assess the genetic variability in P. psidii populations infecting different Eucalyptus spp. and hybrids, as well as guava, jabuticaba, and syzygium. These culture-independent methods were efficient in differentiating populations based on the host species from which they were collected. In general, the results from both techniques showed that the populations collected from guava, jabuticaba, and syzygium were different from and had a greater level of diversity than the Eucalyptus rust populations. The sequencing of cloned rDNA-ITS fragments confirmed that the vast majority of the profiles generated were from P. psidii. This analysis also revealed interesting single-nucleotide polymorphisms. Therefore, these culture-independent methods are suitable for the rapid assessment of genetic variability within and between populations of this biotrophic fungus on a variety of host species and could be a tool to study the evolution of this pathogen and its interactions with host plants.