PEMODELAN HARGA EMAS DUNIA MENGGUNAKAN METODE NONPARAMETRIK POLINOMIAL LOKAL DILENGKAPI GUI R

Investing in gold is a flexible choice because it can be sold at any time and used as an emergency fund. Investors should have the knowledge to predict data from time to time to achieve investment goals. One of the statistical methods for time series data modeling is ARIMA. The ARIMA model is strict with the assumptions that the data must be stationary, the residuals must be normally distributed, independent, and with constant variance, so an alternative model is proposed, namely nonparametric regression model, which has no modeling assumptions requirement. In this study, the daily world gold price data will be modeled using a local polynomial nonparametric model as an alternative because the assumptions in the ARIMA are not fulfilled. The data is divided into 2 parts, namely in sample data from January 2, 2020 to November 30, 2020 to form a model and out sample data from December 1, 2020 to December 31, 2020 used for evauation of model performance based on MAPE values. The chosen best model is the local polynomial model with Gaussian kernel function of degree 5, bandwidth of 373, and local point of 1744 with an MSE value of 482.6420. The local polynomial model out sample data MAPE value is 0.61%, indicating that the model has excellent forecasting capability. In this study, Graphical User Interface (GUI) using R software with the help of shiny package is also built, making data analyzing easier and generating more interactive display output.

Acoustic Forward Model for Guided Wave Propagation and Scattering in a Pipe Bend

The sections of pipe bends are hot spots for wall thinning due to accelerated corrosion by fluid flow. Conventionally, the thickness of a bend wall is evaluated by local point-by-point ultrasonic measurement, which is slow and costly. Guided wave tomography is an attractive method that enables the monitoring of a whole bend area by processing the waves excited and received by transducer arrays. The main challenge associated with the tomography of the bend is the development of an appropriate forward model, which should simply and efficiently handle the wave propagation in a complex bend model. In this study, we developed a two-dimensional (2D) acoustic forward model to replace the complex three-dimensional (3D) bend domain with a rectangular domain that is made artificially anisotropic by using Thomsen parameters. Thomsen parameters allow the consideration of the directional dependence of the velocity of the wave in the model. Good agreement was found between predictions and experiments performed on a 220 mm diameter (d) pipe with 1.5d bend radius, including the wave-field focusing effect and the steering effect of scattered wave-fields from defects.

A trans-scalar approach to peacebuilding and transitional justice: Insights from the Democratic Republic of Congo

Peace research has taken a local turn. Yet, conceptual ambiguities, risks of romanticization, and critiques of co-option of the “local” point to the need to look for novel ways to think about the interactions of actors ranging from the global to the local level. Gearoid Millar proposes a trans-scalar approach to peace based on a “consistency of purpose” and a “parity of esteem” for actors across scales. This article analyzes the concept of trans-scalarity in the peace process in Ituri, a province in the northeastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Drawing on qualitative data from more than a year of research in the DRC, I argue that while a trans-scalar approach was taken to end violence, it was not applied to transitional justice initiatives. The result was a negative, rather than a positive peace. By showing the high, but still untapped, potential of trans-scalarity, the article makes three contributions. First, it advances the debate on the local turn by adding empirical insights on trans-scalarity and further developing the concept’s theoretical foundations. Second, it provides novel empirical insights on the transitional justice process in the DRC. Third, it links scholarship on peacebuilding and transitional justice, which have often remained disconnected.

Formation of highly concentrated heterogeneous flows during plasma deposition of powder materials

Most industrial installations for plasma spraying of powder materials are equipped by nozzles with local (radial) powder input into the thermal plasma jet generated by the plasma torch. Such a local input of the sprayed material significantly perturbs the flow of the plasma jet, and causes dispersion of temperature and velocity of the particles of the sprayed powder materials. This work presents study of high-temperature heterogeneous flows generated by the electric arc plasma torch PNK - 50 with an annular (circular) input unit of powder materials with their gas-dynamic focusing developed at ITAM SB RAS. The performed experiments proved that the annular injection of a powder material guarantees the stable formation of a highly concentrated flow of thermal plasma with particles of sprayed powder materials. The comparative analysis clearly showed the advantages of annular powder input unit with its gas-dynamic focusing. In contrast to local point injection, axisymmetric annular injection practically does not disturb the jet of thermal plasma and, thus, significantly increases the efficiency of interphase exchange.

Infrared Laser Speckle Projection-Based Multi-Sensor Collaborative Human Body Automatic Scanning System

Human body scanning is an important means to build a digital 3D model of the human body, which is the basis for intelligent clothing production, human obesity analysis, and medical plastic surgery applications, etc. Comparing to commonly used optical scanning technologies such as laser scanning and fringe structured light, infrared laser speckle projection-based 3D scanning technology has the advantages of single-shot, simple control, and avoiding light stimulation to human eyes. In this paper, a multi-sensor collaborative digital human body scanning system based on near-infrared laser speckle projection is proposed, which occupies less than 2 m2 and has a scanning period of about 60 s. Additionally, the system calibration method and control scheme are proposed for the scanning system, and the serial-parallel computing strategy is developed based on the unified computing equipment architecture (CUDA), so as to realize the rapid calculation and automatic registration of local point cloud data. Finally, the effectiveness and time efficiency of the system are evaluated through anthropometric experiments.

GACM: A Graph Attention Capsule Model for the Registration of TLS Point Clouds in the Urban Scene

Point cloud registration is the foundation and key step for many vital applications, such as digital city, autonomous driving, passive positioning, and navigation. The difference of spatial objects and the structure complexity of object surfaces are the main challenges for the registration problem. In this paper, we propose a graph attention capsule model (named as GACM) for the efficient registration of terrestrial laser scanning (TLS) point cloud in the urban scene, which fuses graph attention convolution and a three-dimensional (3D) capsule network to extract local point cloud features and obtain 3D feature descriptors. These descriptors can take into account the differences of spatial structure and point density in objects and make the spatial features of ground objects more prominent. During the training progress, we used both matched points and non-matched points to train the model. In the test process of the registration, the points in the neighborhood of each keypoint were sent to the trained network, in order to obtain feature descriptors and calculate the rotation and translation matrix after constructing a K-dimensional (KD) tree and random sample consensus (RANSAC) algorithm. Experiments show that the proposed method achieves more efficient registration results and higher robustness than other frontier registration methods in the pairwise registration of point clouds.

Detection of Outliers in LiDAR Data Acquired by Multiple Platforms over Sorghum and Maize

High-resolution point cloud data acquired with a laser scanner from any platform contain random noise and outliers. Therefore, outlier detection in LiDAR data is often necessary prior to analysis. Applications in agriculture are particularly challenging, as there is typically no prior knowledge of the statistical distribution of points, plant complexity, and local point densities, which are crop-dependent. The goals of this study were first to investigate approaches to minimize the impact of outliers on LiDAR acquired over agricultural row crops, and specifically for sorghum and maize breeding experiments, by an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) and a wheel-based ground platform; second, to evaluate the impact of existing outliers in the datasets on leaf area index (LAI) prediction using LiDAR data. Two methods were investigated to detect and remove the outliers from the plant datasets. The first was based on surface fitting to noisy point cloud data via normal and curvature estimation in a local neighborhood. The second utilized the PointCleanNet deep learning framework. Both methods were applied to individual plants and field-based datasets. To evaluate the method, an F-score was calculated for synthetic data in the controlled conditions, and LAI, the variable being predicted, was computed both before and after outlier removal for both scenarios. Results indicate that the deep learning method for outlier detection is more robust than the geometric approach to changes in point densities, level of noise, and shapes. The prediction of LAI was also improved for the wheel-based vehicle data based on the coefficient of determination (R2) and the root mean squared error (RMSE) of the residuals before and after the removal of outliers.

Change Detection of Urban Trees in MLS Point Clouds Using Occupancy Grids

Trees play an important role in the complex system of urban environments. Their benefits to environment and health are manifold. Yet, especially near streets, the traffic can be impaired by a limited clearance. Even injuries could be caused by breaking tree parts. Hence, it is important to capture the trees in the frame of a tree cadastre and to ensure regular monitoring. Mobile laser scanning (MLS) can be used for data acquisition, followed by an automated analysis of the point clouds acquired over time. The presented approach uses occupancy grids with a grid size of 10 cm, which enable the comparison of several epochs in three-dimensional space. Prior to that, a segmentation of single tree objects is conducted. After cylinder-based trunk localisation, closely neighboured tree crowns are separated using weights derived from local point densities. Therefore, changes for every single tree can be derived with regard to its parameters and its point cloud. The testing area is set along an urban street in Munich, Germany, using the publicly available benchmark data sets TUM-MLS-2016/2018. In the frame of the evaluation, tree objects are geo-referenced and mapped in 2D. The tree parameters height and diameter at breast height are derived. The geometric evaluation of the change analysis facilitates not only the acquisition of stock changes, but also the detection of shape changes for the tree objects.

A PARALLEL ALGORITHM FOR LOCAL POINT DENSITY INDEX COMPUTATION OF LARGE POINT CLOUDS

Point density is an important property that dictates the usability of a point cloud data set. This paper introduces an efficient, scalable, parallel algorithm for computing the local point density index, a sophisticated point cloud density metric. Computing the local point density index is non-trivial, because this computation involves a neighbour search that is required for each, individual point in the potentially large, input point cloud. Most existing algorithms and software are incapable of computing point density at scale. Therefore, the algorithm introduced in this paper aims to address both the needed computational efficiency and scalability for considering this factor in large, modern point clouds such as those collected in national or regional scans. The proposed algorithm is composed of two stages. In stage 1, a point-level, parallel processing step is performed to partition an unstructured input point cloud into partially overlapping, buffered tiles. A buffer is provided around each tile so that the data partitioning does not introduce spatial discontinuity into the final results. In stage 2, the buffered tiles are distributed to different processors for computing the local point density index in parallel. That tile-level parallel processing step is performed using a conventional algorithm with an R-tree data structure. While straight-forward, the proposed algorithm is efficient and particularly suitable for processing large point clouds. Experiments conducted using a 1.4 billion point data set acquired over part of Dublin, Ireland demonstrated an efficiency factor of up to 14.8/16. More specifically, the computational time was reduced by 14.8 times when the number of processes (i.e. executors) increased by 16 times. Computing the local point density index for the 1.4 billion point data set took just over 5 minutes with 16 executors and 8 cores per executor. The reduction in computational time was nearly 70 times compared to the 6 hours required without parallelism.