Solar evolution and extrema: current state of understanding of long-term solar variability and its planetary impacts

The activity of stars such as the Sun varies over timescales ranging from the very short to the very long—stellar and planetary evolutionary timescales. Experience from our solar system indicates that short-term, transient events such as stellar flares and coronal mass ejections create hazardous space environmental conditions that impact Earth-orbiting satellites and planetary atmospheres. Extreme events such as stellar superflares may play a role in atmospheric mass loss and create conditions unsuitable for life. Slower, long-term evolutions of the activity of Sun-like stars over millennia to billions of years result in variations in stellar wind properties, radiation flux, cosmic ray flux, and frequency of magnetic storms. This coupled evolution of star-planet systems eventually determines planetary and exoplanetary habitability. The Solar Evolution and Extrema (SEE) initiative of the Variability of the Sun and Its Terrestrial Impact (VarSITI) program of the Scientific Committee on Solar-Terrestrial Physics (SCOSTEP) aimed to facilitate and build capacity in this interdisciplinary subject of broad interest in astronomy and astrophysics. In this review, we highlight progress in the major themes that were the focus of this interdisciplinary program, namely, reconstructing and understanding past solar activity including grand minima and maxima, facilitating physical dynamo-model-based predictions of future solar activity, understanding the evolution of solar activity over Earth’s history including the faint young Sun paradox, and exploring solar-stellar connections with the goal of illuminating the extreme range of activity that our parent star—the Sun—may have displayed in the past, or may be capable of unleashing in the future.

Solar structure and evolution

The Sun provides a critical benchmark for the general study of stellar structure and evolution. Also, knowledge about the internal properties of the Sun is important for the understanding of solar atmospheric phenomena, including the solar magnetic cycle. Here I provide a brief overview of the theory of stellar structure and evolution, including the physical processes and parameters that are involved. This is followed by a discussion of solar evolution, extending from the birth to the latest stages. As a background for the interpretation of observations related to the solar interior I provide a rather extensive analysis of the sensitivity of solar models to the assumptions underlying their calculation. I then discuss the detailed information about the solar interior that has become available through helioseismic investigations and the detection of solar neutrinos, with further constraints provided by the observed abundances of the lightest elements. Revisions in the determination of the solar surface abundances have led to increased discrepancies, discussed in some detail, between the observational inferences and solar models. I finally briefly address the relation of the Sun to other similar stars and the prospects for asteroseismic investigations of stellar structure and evolution.

The impact of composition choices on solar evolution: age, helio- and asteroseismology, and neutrinos

ABSTRACT The Sun is the most studied and well-known star, and as such, solar fundamental parameters are often used to bridge gaps in the knowledge of other stars, when these are required for modelling. However, the two most powerful and precise independent methodologies currently available to infer the internal solar structure are in disagreement. We aim to show the potential impact of composition choices in the overall evolution of a star, using the Sun as example. To this effect, we create two Standard Solar Models and a comparison model using different combinations of metallicity and relative element abundances and compare evolutionary, helioseismic, and neutrino-related properties for each. We report differences in age for models calibrated to the same point on the HR diagram, in red giant branch, of more than 1 Gyr, and found that the current precision level of asteroseismic measurements is enough to differentiate these models, which would exhibit differences in period spacing of 1.30–2.58 per cent. Additionally, we show that the measurement of neutrino fluxes from the carbon–nitrogen–oxygen cycle with a precision of around 17 per cent, which could be achieved by the next generation of solar neutrino experiments, could help resolve the stellar abundance problem.

Updated solar neutrino fluxes with new heavy element abundances

In the present work we carry out an extensive study of the solar structure and solar evolution through the use of the TYCHO 6.92 code, which includes a variety of programs and subroutines. In this code we incorporate the most updated microphysical parameters such as screening, recent experimental measurements of the astrophysical factors-S (LUNA), several updated, recently measured, heavy element abundances, etc., and created new models describing crucial phenomena of the solar structure and solar evolution. We used this code to calculate and update nuclear reaction rates, solar neutrino fluxes, solar quantities which characterize the internal solar structure such as temperature, pressure, density, luminosity, heavy element abundances (4He, 12C, 14N, 16O, etc.) as well as sound speed profile and depth of the convection zone.

Mass-loss varying luminosity and its implication to the solar evolution

Several models of the solar luminosity, , in the evolutionary timescale, have been computed as a function of time. However, the solar mass-loss, , is one of the drivers of variation in this timescale. The purpose of this study is to model mass-loss varying solar luminosity, , and to predict the luminosity variation before it leaves the main sequence. We numerically computed the up to 4.9 Gyrs from now. We used the solution to compute the modeled . We then validated our model with the current solar standard model (SSM). The shows consistency up to 8 Gyrs. At about 8.85 Gyrs, the Sun loses 28% of its mass and its luminosity increased to 2.2. The model suggests that the total main sequence lifetime is nearly 9 Gyrs. The model explains well the stage at which the Sun exhausts its central supply of hydrogen and when it will be ready to leave the main sequence. It may also explain the fate of the Sun by making some improvements in comparison to previous models.

On the Tachocline Zone Location in the Sun, the Luminosity Transport time scale, the Rotational Inertia and their Time Variation in Standard Solar Evolution Models

Studies with GONG Standard Solar Evolution Models sampling the evolution of the sun from its ZAMS stage show the following. The location of the tachocline zone is nearly fixed as it is not affected by shell burning although it co-moves with the expansion of the sun up to the present age of 4.6 Gyr. The luminosity transport time scale of the sun is entirely dominated by photon diffusion and during the evolution has decreased from over 204000 years to 187000 years. The rotational inertia of the sun shows a small gradual increase from