Ordering results for smallest claim amounts from two portfolios of risks with dependent heterogeneous exponentiated location-scale claims

Let $\{Y_{1},\ldots ,Y_{n}\}$ be a collection of interdependent nonnegative random variables, with $Y_{i}$ having an exponentiated location-scale model with location parameter $\mu _i$ , scale parameter $\delta _i$ and shape (skewness) parameter $\beta _i$ , for $i\in \mathbb {I}_{n}=\{1,\ldots ,n\}$ . Furthermore, let $\{L_1^{*},\ldots ,L_n^{*}\}$ be a set of independent Bernoulli random variables, independently of $Y_{i}$ 's, with $E(L_{i}^{*})=p_{i}^{*}$ , for $i\in \mathbb {I}_{n}.$ Under this setup, the portfolio of risks is the collection $\{T_{1}^{*}=L_{1}^{*}Y_{1},\ldots ,T_{n}^{*}=L_{n}^{*}Y_{n}\}$ , wherein $T_{i}^{*}=L_{i}^{*}Y_{i}$ represents the $i$ th claim amount. This article then presents several sufficient conditions, under which the smallest claim amounts are compared in terms of the usual stochastic and hazard rate orders. The comparison results are obtained when the dependence structure among the claim severities are modeled by (i) an Archimedean survival copula and (ii) a general survival copula. Several examples are also presented to illustrate the established results.

SURVIVAL COPULA PARAMETERS ESTIMATION FOR ARCHIMEDEAN FAMILY UNDER SINGLY CENSORING

Given $(Z_{i},\delta _{i})=\left\{ \min (T_{i},C_{i}),I_{(T_{i}<C_{i})_{i=1,2}}\right\} ,$ as dependent or independent right-censored variables, general formulas are proven for a semi-parametric estimation of the proposed method. As a logical continuation of results established by N.IDIOU et al 2021 \cite{ref16}, a new estimator of $\tilde{C}$ is proposed by considering that the underlying copula is Archimedean, under singly censoring data. As an application, two Archimedean copulas models have been chosen to illustrate our theoretical results. A simulation study follows, which sheds light on the behavior of the process estimation method shown that the proposed estimator performs well in terms of relative bias and RMSE. The methodology of the proposed estimator is also illustrated by using lifetime data from the Diabetic Retinopathy Study, where its efficiency and robustness are observed.

Diagonal sections of copulas, multivariate conditional hazard rates and distributions of order statistics for minimally stable lifetimes

As a motivating problem, we aim to study some special aspects of the marginal distributions of the order statistics for exchangeable and (more generally) for minimally stable non-negative random variables T 1, ..., Tr. In any case, we assume that T 1, ..., Tr are identically distributed, with a common survival function ̄G and their survival copula is denoted by K. The diagonal sections of K, along with ̄G, are possible tools to describe the information needed to recover the laws of order statistics. When attention is restricted to the absolutely continuous case, such a joint distribution can be described in terms of the associated multivariate conditional hazard rate (m.c.h.r.) functions. We then study the distributions of the order statistics of T 1, ..., Tr also in terms of the system of the m.c.h.r. functions. We compare and, in a sense, we combine the two different approaches in order to obtain different detailed formulas and to analyze some probabilistic aspects for the distributions of interest. This study also leads us to compare the two cases of exchangeable and minimally stable variables both in terms of copulas and of m.c.h.r. functions. The paper concludes with the analysis of two remarkable special cases of stochastic dependence, namely Archimedean copulas and load sharing models. This analysis will allow us to provide some illustrative examples, and some discussion about peculiar aspects of our results.

New results on perturbation-based copulas

A prominent example of a perturbation of the bivariate product copula (which characterizes stochastic independence) is the parametric family of Eyraud-Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern copulas which allows small dependencies to be modeled. We introduce and discuss several perturbations, some of them perturbing the product copula, while others perturb general copulas. A particularly interesting case is the perturbation of the product based on two functions in one variable where we highlight several special phenomena, e.g., extremal perturbed copulas. The constructions of the perturbations in this paper include three different types of ordinal sums as well as flippings and the survival copula. Some particular relationships to the Markov product and several dependence parameters for the perturbed copulas considered here are also given.

Weak Dependence Notions and Their Mutual Relationships

New weak notions of positive dependence between the components X and Y of a random pair (X,Y) have been considered in recent papers that deal with the effects of dependence on conditional residual lifetimes and conditional inactivity times. The purpose of this paper is to provide a structured framework for the definition and description of these notions, and other new ones, and to describe their mutual relationships. An exhaustive review of some well-know notions of dependence, with a complete description of the equivalent definitions and reciprocal relationships, some of them expressed in terms of the properties of the copula or survival copula of (X,Y), is also provided.

On Some Properties of Copula-Based Partial Moments

Partial moments are extensively used in the field of analysis of risks. This paper aims at extending it to the bivariate case based on copula function and study its various properties. The relationship between survival copula and first-order bivariate partial moments are established. We also investigate some applications of copula-based partial moments and conditional partial moments in the context of reliability, income and actuarial studies.

Trivariate copula to design coastal structures

Some coastal structures must be redesigned in the future due to rising sea levels caused by global warming. The design of structures subjected to the actions of waves requires an accurate estimate of the long return period of such parameters as wave height, wave period, storm surge and more specifically their joint exceedance probabilities. The Defra method that is currently used makes it possible to directly connect the joint exceedance probabilities to the product of the univariate probabilities by means of a simple factor. These schematic correlations do not, however, represent all the complexity of the reality and may lead to damaging errors in coastal structure design. The aim of this paper is therefore to remedy the lack of accuracy of these current approaches. To this end, we use copula theory with a copula function that aggregates joint distribution function to its univariate margins. We select a bivariate copula that is adapted to our application by the likelihood method with a copula parameter that is obtained by the error method. In order to integrate extreme events, we also resort to the notion of tail dependence. We can select the copulas with the same tail dependence as data. In the event of an opposite tail dependence structure, we resort to the survival copula. The tail dependence parameter makes it possible to estimate the optimal copula parameter. The most accurate copulas for our practical case with applications in Saint-Malo and Le Havre (France), are the Clayton normal copula and the Gumbel survival copula. The originality of this paper is the creation of a new and accurate trivariate copula. Firstly, we select the fittest bivariate copula with its parameter for the two most correlated univariate margins. Secondly, we build a trivariate function. For this purpose, we aggregate the bivariate function with the remaining univariate margin with its parameter. We show that this trivariate function satisfies the mathematical properties of the copula. We can finally represent joint trivariate exceedance probabilities for a return period of 10, 100 and 1000 years.