Role of Time Scales in the Coupled Epidemic-Opinion Dynamics on Multiplex Networks

Modelling the epidemic’s spread on multiplex networks, considering complex human behaviours, has recently gained the attention of many scientists. In this work, we study the interplay between epidemic spreading and opinion dynamics on multiplex networks. An agent in the epidemic layer could remain in one of five distinct states, resulting in the SIRQD model. The agent’s attitude towards respecting the restrictions of the pandemic plays a crucial role in its prevalence. In our model, the agent’s point of view could be altered by either conformism mechanism, social pressure, or independent actions. As the underlying opinion model, we leverage the q-voter model. The entire system constitutes a coupled opinion–dynamic model where two distinct processes occur. The question arises of how to properly align these dynamics, i.e., whether they should possess equal or disparate timescales. This paper highlights the impact of different timescales of opinion dynamics on epidemic spreading, focusing on the time and the infection’s peak.

Opinion Dynamic Modeling of News Perception

During the last decade, the advent of the Web and online social networks rapidly changed the way we were used to search, gather and discuss information of any kind. These tools have given everyone the chance to become a news medium. While promoting more democratic access to information, direct and unfiltered communication channels may increase our chances to confront malicious/misleading behavior. Fake news diffusion represents one of the most pressing issues of our online society. In recent years, fake news has been analyzed from several perspectives; among such vast literature, an important theme is the analysis of fake news’ perception. In this work, moving from such observation, I propose a family of opinion dynamics models to understand the role of specific social factors on the acceptance/rejection of news contents. In particular, I model and discuss the effect that stubborn agents, different levels of trust among individuals, open-mindedness, attraction/repulsion phenomena, and similarity between agents have on the population dynamics of news perception. To discuss the peculiarities of the proposed models, I tested them on two synthetic network topologies thus underlying when/how they affect the stable states reached by the performed simulations.

An online multi-dimensional opinion dynamic model with misinformation diffusion in emergency events

Multiple opinions, including many that are negative, are produced in emergency events. These opinions are commonly formed asynchronously based on misinformation. However, most researches on opinion dynamics involving information neglect the asynchronous process of initial opinion formation due to information diffusion. Since online social networks like Sina Weibo act as major avenues for the expression, after analysing online behaviours, an opinion dynamic model is developed with consideration of misinformation diffusion of public opinion. In this model, schemes are developed for opinion interactions in multiple dimensions by introducing characteristics of online communication as another way of opinion interactions besides communication between neighbours. Subsequently, we investigate the impacts of network structure, diffusion rate, repost rate and other factors, which provide insights into understanding online opinion dynamics during emergency events. Furthermore, we conduct simulations to determine the intervention effects of different official responses. Results show that removing comments compulsively exhibits better performance in reducing negative opinion as well as increasing the density of Spreaders. Debunking misinformation by posting early results officially which indicates the probability of the existence of misinformation may lead public opinion in time if it takes a long time to finally confirm the misinformation.

Opinion Dynamics with Bayesian Learning

Bayesian learning is a rational and effective strategy in the opinion dynamic process. In this paper, we theoretically prove that individual Bayesian learning can realize asymptotic learning and we test it by simulations on the Zachary network. Then, we propose a Bayesian social learning model with signal update strategy and apply the model on the Zachary network to observe opinion dynamics. Finally, we contrast the two learning strategies and find that Bayesian social learning can lead to asymptotic learning more faster than individual Bayesian learning.