Ground Failure from the Anchorage, Alaska, Earthquake of 30 November 2018

Investigation of ground failure triggered by the 2018 Mw 7.1 Anchorage earthquake showed that landslides, liquefaction, and ground cracking all occurred and caused significant damage. Shallow rock falls and rock slides were the most abundant types of landslides, but they occurred in smaller numbers than global models that are based on earthquake magnitude predict; this might result from the 2018 earthquake being an intraslab event. Liquefaction was common in alluvial and intertidal areas; ground deformation probably related to liquefaction damaged numerous houses and port facilities in Anchorage. Ground cracking was pervasive near the edges of slopes in hilly areas and caused perhaps the most significant property damage of all types of ground failure. A complex of slump–earth flows was triggered along coastal bluffs in southern Anchorage where slides also occurred in 1964; the 2018 slides involved both mobilization of new landside material and reactivation of parts of the 1964 landslide deposits. Large translational slides that formed during the 1964 Alaska earthquake showed evidence of deformation along pre‐existing failure surfaces but did not reactivate with new net downslope displacement. Modeling suggests that ground motion in 2018 was of insufficient duration and too high frequency to trigger reactivation of the deep landslides.

Stress states and moment rates of a two-asperity fault in the presence of viscoelastic relaxation

A fault containing two asperities with different strengths is considered. The fault is embedded in a shear zone subject to a constant strain rate by the motions of adjacent tectonic plates. The fault is modelled as a discrete dynamical system where the average values of stress, friction and slip on each asperity are considered. The state of the fault is described by three variables: the slip deficits of the asperities and the viscoelastic deformation. The system has four dynamic modes, for which analytical solutions are calculated. The relationship between the state of the fault before a seismic event and the sequence of slipping modes in the event is enlightened. Since the moment rate depends on the number and sequence of slipping modes, the knowledge of the source function of an earthquake constrains the orbit of the system in the phase space. If the source functions of a larger number of consecutive earthquakes were known, the orbit could be constrained more and more and its evolution could be predicted with a smaller uncertainty. The model is applied to the 1964 Alaska earthquake, which was the effect of the failure of two asperities and for which a remarkable post-seismic relaxation has been observed in the subsequent decades. The evolution of the system after the 1964 event depends on the state from which the event was originated, that is constrained by the observed moment rate. The possible durations of the interseismic interval and the possible moment rates of the next earthquake are calculated as functions of the initial state.

Dynamics of a two-fault system with viscoelastic coupling

A fault system made of two segments or asperities subject to a constant strain rate is considered. The fault is modelled as a discrete dynamical system made of two blocks coupled by a Maxwell spring dashpot element and pulled at constant velocity on a rough plane. The long-term behaviour of the fault is studied by calculating the orbits of the system in the phase space. The model shows the role of viscoelastic relaxation in the Earth's crust in controlling the occurrence times of earthquakes. If a viscoelastic coupling is present, earthquakes are anticipated or delayed with respect to the elastic case. The limit cycles made of two alternate asperity failures, which are observed in the case of purely elastic coupling, are no longer produced. The model is applied to the 1964 Alaska earthquake, which was the effect of the failure of two asperities and for which a remarkable post-seismic relaxation has been observed in the subsequent decades. In such a fault system, viscoelastic coupling of the asperities appears to have a great influence on the occurrence times of earthquakes.