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Author(s):  
Т.С. Чернякина ◽  
В.П. Шестаков ◽  
Р.К. Кантемирова ◽  
А.А. Свинцов ◽  
В.И. Радуто ◽  
...  

В статье представлены сведения о значительной численности лиц старше трудоспособного возраста, инвалидов и получателей социальных услуг в стационарной форме и о неблагоприятном прогнозе численности лиц старше 65 лет на 2024 и 2030 гг. в РФ. Это определяет необходимость правового регулирования вопросов их жизнеустройства с соблюдением прав человека и инвалидов на ведение самостоятельного образа жизни. Авторами представлен анализ федеральной и региональной правовой базы в части определения обстоятельств, при которых гражданин признается нуждающимся в социальном обслуживании, участия органов местного самоуправления и подведомственных организаций в оказании социальных услуг, осуществления социального сопровождения, внедрения стационарзамещающих технологий социального обслуживания. В статье рассматриваются тенденции и пути совершенствования правового регулирования социального обслуживания граждан пожилого возраста и инвалидов на дому в ракурсе внедрения стационарзамещающих элементов. The article presents information about a significant number of people older than working age, disabled people and recipients of social services in stationary form and about the unfavorable forecast of the number of people older than 65 years for 2024 and 2030 in the Russian Federation, which determines the need for legal regulation of their lifestyle issues with respect for human rights to lead an independent lifestyle. The authors present an analysis of the federal and regional legal framework in terms of determining the circumstances under which a citizen is recognized as needing social services, the participation of local self-government bodies and subordinate organizations in the provision of social services, the implementation of social support, the introduction of hospital-substituting social service technologies. The article discusses the trends and ways to improve the legal regulation of social services for elderly and disabled citizens at home from the perspective of the introduction of hospital-substituting elements.


Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (14) ◽  
pp. 1604
Author(s):  
Carlos Chávez-Negrete ◽  
Daniel Santana-Quinteros ◽  
Francisco Domínguez-Mota

The accurate description of the flow of water in porous media is of the greatest importance due to its numerous applications in several areas (groundwater, soil mechanics, etc.). The nonlinear Richards equation is often used as the governing equation that describes this phenomenon and a large number of research studies aimed to solve it numerically. However, due to the nonlinearity of the constitutive expressions for permeability, it remains a challenging modeling problem. In this paper, the stationary form of Richards’ equation used in saturated soils is solved by two numerical methods: generalized finite differences, an emerging method that has been successfully applied to the transient case, and a finite element method, for benchmarking. The nonlinearity of the solution in both cases is handled using a Newtonian iteration. The comparative results show that a generalized finite difference iteration yields satisfactory results in a standard test problem with a singularity at the boundary.


Author(s):  
Deepanshu Sharma ◽  
Kritika Phulli

In the rapidly advancing dynamics of the economy trends of countries, the forecasting econometric techniques hold significant importance in the field of advance economics and management. Thus, this study intends to create Box Jenkins time series ARIMA model for analysing and predicting the trend of net FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) in India. The model was generated on the dataset of FDI inflow of India from the year 1950 to 2020. The trend was analysed for the generation of the model that best fitted the forecasting. The study highlights the minimum AIC value and involves ADF test (Augmented Dickey-Fuller) to transform FDI data into stationary form for model generation. It proposes ARIMA (1,1,4) model for optimal forecasting of net FDI inflow in India with an accuracy of 96.5%. The model thus predicts the steady-state exponential growth of FDI inflow in the coming 2020-25.In the rapidly advancing dynamics of the economy trends of countries, the forecasting econometric techniques hold significant importance in the field of advance economics and management. Thus, this study intends to create Box Jenkins time series ARIMA model for analysing and predicting the trend of net FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) in India. The model was generated on the dataset of FDI inflow of India from the year 1950 to 2020. The trend was analysed for the generation of the model that best fitted the forecasting. The study highlights the minimum AIC value and involves ADF test (Augmented Dickey-Fuller) to transform FDI data into stationary form for model generation. It proposes ARIMA (1,1,4) model for optimal forecasting of net FDI inflow in India with an accuracy of 96.5%. The model thus predicts the steady-state exponential growth of FDI inflow in the coming 2020-25.


2020 ◽  
Vol 65 (6) ◽  
pp. 1051-1058
Author(s):  
V. I. Rakin
Keyword(s):  

Author(s):  
Żaklin Grądz

In the combustion process, one of the most important tasks is related to maintaining its stability. Numerous methods of monitoring, diagnostics, and analysis of the measurement data are used for this purpose. The information recorded in the combustion chamber constitute one-dimensional time series. In the case of non-stationary time series, which can be transformed into the stationary form, the autoregressive integrated moving average process can be employed. The paper presented the issue of forecasting the changes in flame luminosity. The investigations discussed in the work were carried out with the ARIMA model (p,d,q). The presented forecasts of changes in flame luminosity reflect the actual processes, which enables to employ them in diagnostics and control of the combustion process.


2017 ◽  
Vol 97 (4) ◽  
pp. 125-142
Author(s):  
M. M. Arnaud ◽  
G. M de Araùjo ◽  
M. M. Freitas ◽  
E. F. L. Lucena

2015 ◽  
Vol 64 (6) ◽  
pp. 51-57 ◽  
Author(s):  
Victoriya Anatol’evna Pechenikova ◽  
Raisa Anatolievna Akopyan ◽  
Igor Moiseevich Kvetnoy

Clinical and morphological analysis of 91 cases of adenomyosis was performed. In our study deep adenomyosis was found to be prevailing. The incidence of stages III and IV of the process was 49,5 % (45 cases) and 14,3 % (13 cases), respectively. Stages I and II were detected in 4,3 % and 31,9 % of cases, respectively. The most common morphofunctional type in adenomyosis stages I-II was stationary form (36,4 %). Expression of vimentin - a marker of mesenchymal differentiation, detected in the epithelial component of endometrioid heterotopias and eutopic endometrium in adenomyosis, suggests pathogenetic role of epithelial and mesenchymal transformation in the development and progression of this disease. Positive expression of vascular endothelial growth factor in the basal layer of the endometrium and endometrial heterotopias confirms the importance and unidirectionality of changes in the foci of adenomyosis and in the basal layer of the endometrium in patients with internal genital endometriosis. Expression of Ki-67, bcl-2, prevalence of proliferative changes in glands of the epithelium and cytogenic stroma cells in heterotopias, high frequency of endometrial hyperplasia demonstrate the importance of proliferation activity and low level of apoptosis in endometrial heterotopias and endometrium in adenomyosis.


Author(s):  
Rebecca M. Empson

This introductory chapter begins with a description of a small district called Ashinga, in Hentii Province along the Mongolian-Russian border, where the author conducted her PhD fieldwork between 1999 and 2000. It describes the area, its people, and how they go about their daily lives. The chapter then sets out the book's purpose, which is to address a set of seemingly paradoxical questions that emerged out of the author's placement in a family and extends to wider spheres of social life for the Buriad: How do people who traverse the border zone between two countries and have no private land or state of their own accumulate possessions and grow things? How can people who have lived under intense persecution during the socialist period, when most of their male relatives were either killed or taken away, harness such loss and absence to generate a proliferation of relations? Why is it that when these people display wealth in a stationary form, they destroy these exhibits through acts of arson that separate them from such accumulation? An overview of the subsequent chapters is also presented.


2003 ◽  
Vol 93 (3) ◽  
pp. 835-857 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan Levin

Standard incentive theory models provide a rich framework for studying informational problems but assume that contracts can be perfectly enforced. This paper studies the design of self-enforced relational contracts. I show that optimal contracts often can take a simple stationary form, but that self-enforcement restricts promised compensation and affects incentive provision. With hidden information, it may be optimal for an agent to supply the same inefficient effort regardless of cost conditions. With moral hazard, optimal contracts involve just two levels of compensation. This is true even if performance measures are subjective, in which case optimal contracts terminate following poor performance.


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