Iranian surface air temperature periodicities and correlations with the North Atlantic and Indian Ocean sea surface temperature variations

AbstractThe North Atlantic (NA) basin-averaged sea surface temperature (NASST) is often used as an index to study climate variability in the NA sector. However, there is still some debate on what drives it. Based on observations and climate models, an analysis of the different influences on the NASST index and its low-pass filtered version, the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) index, is provided. In particular, the relationships of the two indices with some of its mechanistic drivers including the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) are investigated. In observations, the NASST index accounts for significant SST variability over the tropical and subpolar NA. The NASST index is shown to lump together SST variability originating from different mechanisms operating on different time scales. The AMO index emphasizes the subpolar SST variability. In the climate models, the SST-anomaly pattern associated with the NASST index is similar. The AMO index, however, only represents pronounced SST variability over the extratropical NA, and this variability is significantly linked to the AMOC. There is a sensitivity of this linkage to the cold NA SST bias observed in many climate models. Models suffering from a large cold bias exhibit a relatively weak linkage between the AMOC and AMO and vice versa. Finally, the basin-averaged SST in its unfiltered form, which has been used to question a strong influence of ocean dynamics on NA SST variability, mixes together multiple types of variability occurring on different time scales and therefore underemphasizes the role of ocean dynamics in the multidecadal variability of NA SSTs.

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Statistical models for the pattern of sea surface temperature in the North Atlantic during 1973-2008

International Journal of Climatology ◽

10.1002/joc.4598 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 36 (11) ◽

pp. 3856-3863 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Nittaya McNeil ◽

Busaban Chirtkiatsakul

Keyword(s):

Surface Temperature ◽

Sea Surface Temperature ◽

North Atlantic ◽

Statistical Models ◽

Sea Surface ◽

The North ◽

The North Atlantic

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Global Monsoon Responses to Decadal Sea Surface Temperature Variations during the Twentieth Century: Evidence from AGCM Simulations

Journal of Climate ◽

10.1175/jcli-d-18-0890.1 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 32 (22) ◽

pp. 7675-7695 ◽

Cited By ~ 3

Author(s):

Jie Jiang ◽

Tianjun Zhou

Keyword(s):

Twentieth Century ◽

Surface Temperature ◽

Sea Surface Temperature ◽

Atmospheric Circulation ◽

North Atlantic ◽

Sea Surface ◽

Monsoon Precipitation ◽

The North ◽

The North Atlantic ◽

Sst Anomalies

Abstract Multidecadal variations in the global land monsoon were observed during the twentieth century, with an overall increasing trend from 1901 to 1955 that was followed by a decreasing trend up to 1990, but the mechanisms governing the above changes remain inconclusive. Based on the outputs of two atmospheric general circulation models (AGCMs) forced by historical sea surface temperature (SST) covering the twentieth century, supplemented with AGCM simulations forced by idealized SST anomalies representing different conditions of the North Atlantic and tropical Pacific, evidence shows that the observed changes can be partly reproduced, particularly over the Northern Hemisphere summer monsoon (NHSM) domain, demonstrating the modulation of decadal SST changes on the long-term variations in monsoon precipitation. Moisture budget analysis is performed to understand the interdecadal changes in monsoon precipitation, and the dynamic term associated with atmospheric circulation changes is found to be prominent, while the contribution of the thermodynamic term associated with humidity changes can lead to coincident wetting over the NHSM domain. The increase (decrease) in NHSM land precipitation during 1901–55 (1956–90) is associated with the strengthening (weakening) of NHSM circulation and Walker circulation. The multidecadal scale changes in atmospheric circulation are driven by SST anomalies over the North Atlantic and the Pacific. A warmer North Atlantic together with a colder eastern tropical Pacific and a warmer western subtropical Pacific can lead to a strengthened meridional gradient in mid-to-upper-tropospheric thickness and strengthened trade winds, which transport more water vapor into monsoon regions, leading to an increase in monsoon precipitation.

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Comparison of in situ time-series of temperature with gridded sea surface temperature datasets in the North Atlantic

ICES Journal of Marine Science ◽

10.1093/icesjms/fsp041 ◽

2009 ◽

Vol 66 (7) ◽

pp. 1467-1479 ◽

Cited By ~ 16

Author(s):

Sarah L. Hughes ◽

N. Penny Holliday ◽

Eugene Colbourne ◽

Vladimir Ozhigin ◽

Hedinn Valdimarsson ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Surface Temperature ◽

Sea Surface Temperature ◽

North Atlantic ◽

Sea Surface ◽

The North ◽

Spatial Coverage ◽

The North Atlantic

Abstract Hughes, S. L., Holliday, N. P., Colbourne, E., Ozhigin, V., Valdimarsson, H., Østerhus, S., and Wiltshire, K. 2009. Comparison of in situ time-series of temperature with gridded sea surface temperature datasets in the North Atlantic. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 66: 1467–1479. Analysis of the effects of climate variability and climate change on the marine ecosystem is difficult in regions where long-term observations of ocean temperature are sparse or unavailable. Gridded sea surface temperature (SST) products, based on a combination of satellite and in situ observations, can be used to examine variability and long-term trends because they provide better spatial coverage than the limited sets of long in situ time-series. SST data from three gridded products (Reynolds/NCEP OISST.v2., Reynolds ERSST.v3, and the Hadley Centre HadISST1) are compared with long time-series of in situ measurements from ICES standard sections in the North Atlantic and Nordic Seas. The variability and trends derived from the two data sources are examined, and the usefulness of the products as a proxy for subsurface conditions is discussed.

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North Atlantic Storm-Track Sensitivity to Projected Sea Surface Temperature: Local versus Remote Influences

Journal of Climate ◽

10.1175/jcli-d-15-0860.1 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 29 (19) ◽

pp. 6973-6991 ◽

Cited By ~ 12

Author(s):

Laura M. Ciasto ◽

Camille Li ◽

Justin J. Wettstein ◽

Nils Gunnar Kvamstø

Keyword(s):

Surface Temperature ◽

Sea Surface Temperature ◽

North Atlantic ◽

Storm Track ◽

Sea Surface ◽

System Model ◽

Earth System ◽

Model Version ◽

The North ◽

The North Atlantic

Abstract This study investigates the sensitivity of the North Atlantic storm track to future changes in local and global sea surface temperature (SST) and highlights the role of SST changes remote to the North Atlantic. Results are based on three related coupled climate models: the Community Climate System Model, version 4 (CCSM4), the Community Earth System Model, version 1 (Community Atmosphere Model, version 5) [CESM1(CAM5)], and the Norwegian Earth System Model, version 1 (intermediate resolution) (NorESM1-M). Analysis reveals noticeable intermodel differences in projected storm-track changes from the coupled simulations [i.e., the difference in 200-hPa eddy activity between the representative concentration pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) and historical scenarios]. In the CCSM4 coupled simulations, the North Atlantic storm track undergoes a poleward shift and eastward extension. In CESM1(CAM5), the storm-track change is dominated by an intensification and eastward extension. In NorESM1-M, the storm-track change is characterized by a weaker intensification and slight eastward extension. Atmospheric experiments driven only by projected local (North Atlantic) SST changes from the coupled models fail to reproduce the magnitude and structure of the projected changes in eddy activity aloft and zonal wind from the coupled simulations. Atmospheric experiments driven by global SST and sea ice changes do, however, reproduce the eastward extension. Additional experiments suggest that increasing greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations do not directly influence storm-track changes in the coupled simulations, although they do through GHG-induced changes in SST. The eastward extension of the North Atlantic storm track is hypothesized to be linked to western Pacific SST changes that influence tropically forced Rossby wave trains, but further studies are needed to isolate this mechanism from other dynamical adjustments to global warming.

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