Estimation of Regression Model Parameters with Specific Constraints

2011 ◽  
pp. 1-28
Author(s):  
Pavel S. Knopov ◽  
Arnold S. Korkhin
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Model Parameters

Forecasting stock market price by using fuzzified Choquet integral based fuzzy measures with genetic algorithm for parameter optimization

2020 ◽  
Vol 54 (2) ◽  
pp. 597-614
Author(s):  
Shanoli Samui Pal ◽  
Samarjit Kar
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Choquet Integral ◽  
Time Series Forecasting ◽  
Fuzzy Measure ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Forecasting Models ◽  
Non Linear

In this paper, fuzzified Choquet integral and fuzzy-valued integrand with respect to separate measures like fuzzy measure, signed fuzzy measure and intuitionistic fuzzy measure are used to develop regression model for forecasting. Fuzzified Choquet integral is used to build a regression model for forecasting time series with multiple attributes as predictor attributes. Linear regression based forecasting models are suffering from low accuracy and unable to approximate the non-linearity in time series. Whereas Choquet integral can be used as a general non-linear regression model with respect to non classical measures. In the Choquet integral based regression model parameters are optimized by using a real coded genetic algorithm (GA). In these forecasting models, fuzzified integrands denote the participation of an individual attribute or a group of attributes to predict the current situation. Here, more generalized Choquet integral, i.e., fuzzified Choquet integral is used in case of non-linear time series forecasting models. Three different real stock exchange data are used to predict the time series forecasting model. It is observed that the accuracy of prediction models highly depends on the non-linearity of the time series.

scholarly journals Generalized Exponentiated Weibull Linear Model in the Presence of Covariates

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 75
Author(s):  
Tiago V. F. Santana ◽  
Edwin M. M. Ortega ◽  
Gauss M. Cordeiro ◽  
Adriano K. Suzuki
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Linear Model ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Likelihood Function ◽  
Confidence Bands ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Random Component ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Study ◽  
New Model ◽  
Exponentiated Weibull

A new regression model based on the exponentiated Weibull with the structure distribution and the structure of the generalized linear model, called the generalized exponentiated Weibull linear model (GEWLM), is proposed. The GEWLM is composed by three important structural parts: the random component, characterized by the distribution of the response variable; the systematic component, which includes the explanatory variables in the model by means of a linear structure; and a link function, which connects the systematic and random parts of the model. Explicit expressions for the logarithm of the likelihood function, score vector and observed and expected information matrices are presented. The method of maximum likelihood and a Bayesian procedure are adopted for estimating the model parameters. To detect influential observations in the new model, we use diagnostic measures based on the local influence and Bayesian case influence diagnostics. Also, we show that the estimates of the GEWLM are  robust to deal with the presence of outliers in the data. Additionally, to check whether the model supports its assumptions, to detect atypical observations and to verify the goodness-of-fit of the regression model, we define residuals based on the quantile function, and perform a Monte Carlo simulation study to construct confidence bands from the generated envelopes. We apply the new model to a dataset from the insurance area.

scholarly journals Estimation and application in log-Fréchet regression model using censored data

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanan Alamoudi ◽  
Salwa‎ Mousa‎ ◽  
Lamya Baharith
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Censored Data ◽  
Empirical Distribution ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Study ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Data Validity ◽  
Global Influence ◽  
Deviance Residuals

This article introduces a new location-scale regression model based on a log-Fréchet distribution. Maximum likelihood and Jackknife methods are used to estimate the new model parameters for censored data. Martingale and deviance residuals are obtained to check model assumptions, data validity, and detect outliers. Moreover, global influence is used to detect influential observations. Monte Carlo simulation study is provided to compare the performance of the maximum likelihood and jackknife estimators for different sample sizes and censoring percentages. The empirical distribution of the martingale and deviance residuals of the proposed model is examined. A real lifetime heart transplant data is analyzed under the log-Fréchet regression model to illustrate the satisfactory results of the proposed model.

The Odd Log-Logistic Geometric Normal Regression Model with Applications

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (01n02) ◽  
pp. 1950003
Author(s):  
Fábio Prataviera ◽  
Gauss M. Cordeiro ◽  
Edwin M. M. Ortega ◽  
Adriano K. Suzuki
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Normal Distribution ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Empirical Distribution ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Standard Normal Distribution ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Diagnostic Measures ◽  
Standard Normal

In several applications, the distribution of the data is frequently unimodal, asymmetric or bimodal. The regression models commonly used for applications to data with real support are the normal, skew normal, beta normal and gamma normal, among others. We define a new regression model based on the odd log-logistic geometric normal distribution for modeling asymmetric or bimodal data with support in [Formula: see text], which generalizes some known regression models including the widely known heteroscedastic linear regression. We adopt the maximum likelihood method for estimating the model parameters and define diagnostic measures to detect influential observations. For some parameter settings, sample sizes and different systematic structures, various simulations are performed to verify the adequacy of the estimators of the model parameters. The empirical distribution of the quantile residuals is investigated and compared with the standard normal distribution. We prove empirically the usefulness of the proposed models by means of three applications to real data.

scholarly journals Slashed Lomax Distribution and Regression Model

Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 1877
Author(s):  
Huihui Li ◽  
Weizhong Tian
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Hazard Rate ◽  
Rate Function ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Asymmetric Distribution ◽  
Hazard Rate Function ◽  
Simulation Studies ◽  
Ecm Algorithm ◽  
Lomax Distribution ◽  
Skewness And Kurtosis

In this article, the slashed Lomax distribution is introduced, which is an asymmetric distribution and can be used for fitting thick-tailed datasets. Various properties are explored, such as the density function, hazard rate function, Renyi entropy, r-th moments, and the coefficients of the skewness and kurtosis. Some useful characterizations of this distribution are obtained. Furthermore, we study a slashed Lomax regression model and the expectation conditional maximization (ECM) algorithm to estimate the model parameters. Simulation studies are conducted to evaluate the performances of the proposed method. Finally, two sets of data are applied to verify the importance of the slashed Lomax distribution.

scholarly journals A Parametric Quantile Regression Model for Asymmetric Response Variables on the Real Line

Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 1938
Author(s):  
Diego I. Gallardo ◽  
Marcelo Bourguignon ◽  
Christian E. Galarza ◽  
Héctor W. Gómez
Keyword(s):  
Quantile Regression ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Real Line ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Response Variable ◽  
The Real ◽  
Quantile Regression Model ◽  
Asymmetric Response ◽  
Response Variables

In this paper, we introduce a novel parametric quantile regression model for asymmetric response variables, where the response variable follows a power skew-normal distribution. By considering a new convenient parametrization, these distribution results are very useful for modeling different quantiles of a response variable on the real line. The maximum likelihood method is employed to estimate the model parameters. Besides, we present a local influence study under different perturbation settings. Some numerical results of the estimators in finite samples are illustrated. In order to illustrate the potential for practice of our model, we apply it to a real dataset.

scholarly journals New Flexible Regression Models Generated by Gamma Random Variables with Censored Data

2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elizabeth M. Hashimoto ◽  
Gauss M. Cordeiro ◽  
Edwin M.M. Ortega ◽  
G.G. Hamedani
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Censored Data ◽  
Survival Data ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Empirical Distribution ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimates ◽  
Standard Normal Distribution ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Linear Regression Models

We propose and study a new log-gamma Weibull regression model. We obtain explicit expressions for the raw and incomplete moments, quantile and generating functions and mean deviations of the log-gamma Weibull distribution. We demonstrate that the new regression model can be applied to censored data since it represents a parametric family of models which includes as sub-models several widely-known regression models and therefore can be used more effectively in the analysis of survival data. We obtain the maximum likelihood estimates of the model parameters by considering censored data and evaluate local influence on the estimates of the parameters by taking different perturbation schemes. Some global-influence measurements are also investigated. Further, for different parameter settings, sample sizes and censoring percentages, various simulations are performed. In addition, the empirical distribution of some modified residuals are displayed and compared with the standard normal distribution. These studies suggest that the residual analysis usually performed in normal linear regression models can be extended to a modified deviance residual in the proposed regression model applied to censored data. We demonstrate that our extended regression model is very useful to the analysis of real data and may give more realistic fits than other special regression models. 

scholarly journals The Effect of the Size of Traffic Analysis Zones on the Quality of Transport Demand Forecasts and Travel Assignments

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mehmet Fatih Altan ◽  
Yunus Emre Ayözen
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Traffic Analysis ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
The Public ◽  
Employment Density ◽  
Exponential Regression Model ◽  
Demand Forecasts

In this work we have studied the selection criteria for traffic analysis zones and the effects of their size and number on the model’s forecasting capabilities. To do so we have focused on the corridor of İstanbul’s Kadıköy-Kartal Metro Line and evaluated the consistency of demand forecasts and travel assignments versus actual measurements under different sizes of the Traffic Analysis Zones (TAZ). Significant improvements in model accuracy were observed by decreasing the zone size. Specifically, studying the public transport network assignments for the metro line when increasing the number of traffic analysis zones from 540 to 1,788 the root mean square error (RMSE) of forecasted vs. actual station-based counts was reduced by 23%. Subsequently, the study used population density and employment density as independent variables for the determination of the optimal radius for the 1,788 zone area, and applied an exponential regression model. Appropriate model parameters were derived for the above case study. The regression model resulted in R2 values over 0.62.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document