Analysis of Multivariate Survival Times with Non-Proportional Hazards Models

Author(s):  
L. Chen ◽  
L. J. Wei
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 500 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jose Martínez ◽  
Klaus Langohr ◽  
Julián Felipo ◽  
Martí Casals

Concerns have been raised recently by players’ associations regarding the risk of death among retired players. Using a retrospective cohort study, we analyzed factors associated with the mortality of National Basketball Association (NBA) players and compared their life expectancy with that of the general population. We analyzed a cohort of 3985 players who participated in the NBA from its inception in 1946 to April 2015 (481 active and 3504 former players). We used the data for the 3504 former NBA players, of whom 687 (19.1%) died before 15 April 2015, to study the elapsed time between the end of their NBA careers until death. Cox proportional hazards models were employed in the multivariate survival analysis. After adjusting for age at the end of the NBA career and calendar year, we found that mortality is associated with height and ethnicity. Taller players and African-American players had a higher instantaneous risk of death than shorter players or white players. In addition, the life expectancy of players (regardless of height and ethnicity) has increased since the inception of the NBA. This is one of the first studies using such an extensive cohort of professional basketball players and Cox proportional hazards models. Results confirmed that height is associated with mortality. In addition, ethnicity is also linked to mortality; white players and small players live longer. Our study is useful for devising strategies for health interventions and the proper allocation of resources with respect to the general population.


2021 ◽  
Vol 44 (4) ◽  
pp. 145-152
Author(s):  
Hualei Guo ◽  
Hao Chen ◽  
Wenhui Wang ◽  
Lingna Chen

Objective: The aim of this study was to investigate the clinicopathological prognostic factors of malignant ovarian germ cell tumors (MOGCT) and evaluate the survival trends of MOGCT by histotype. Methods: We extracted data on 1,963 MOGCT cases diagnosed between 2000 and 2014 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and the histological classification of MOGCT, including 5 categories: dysgerminoma, embryonal carcinoma (EC), yolk sac tumor, malignant teratoma, and mixed germ cell tumor. We examined overall and disease-specific survival of the 5 histological types. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate survival curves and prognostic factors. We also estimated survival curves of MOGCT according to different treatments. Results: There was a significant difference in prognosis among different histological classifications. Age, histotype, grade, SEER stage, and surgery were independent prognostic factors for survival of patients with MOGCT. For all histotypes, 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rate estimates were >85%, except for EC, which had the worst outcomes at 1 year (55.6%), 3 years (44.4%), and 5 years (33.3%). In the distant SEER stage, both chemotherapy and surgery were associated with improved survival outcomes compared with surgery- and chemotherapy-only groups. Conclusions: Dysgerminoma patients had the most favorable outcomes, whereas EC patients had the worst survival. A young age, low grade, and surgery were all significant predictors for improved survival. In contrast, a distant SEER stage was a risk factor for poor survival. Chemotherapy combined with surgery contributed to longer survival times of patients with MOGCT in the distant SEER stage.


Nutrients ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 39
Author(s):  
Pierre Ménager ◽  
Olivier Brière ◽  
Jennifer Gautier ◽  
Jérémie Riou ◽  
Guillaume Sacco ◽  
...  

Background. Vitamin K concentrations are inversely associated with the clinical severity of COVID-19. The objective of this cohort study was to determine whether the regular use of vitamin K antagonist (VKA) prior to COVID-19 was associated with short-term mortality in frail older adults hospitalized for COVID-19. Methods. Eighty-two patients consecutively hospitalized for COVID-19 in a geriatric acute care unit were included. The association of the regular use of VKA prior to COVID-19 with survival after 7 days of COVID-19 was examined using a propensity-score-weighted Cox proportional-hazards model accounting for age, sex, severe undernutrition, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, prior myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, prior stroke and/or transient ischemic attack, CHA2DS2-VASc score, HAS-BLED score, and eGFR. Results. Among 82 patients (mean ± SD age 88.8 ± 4.5 years; 48% women), 73 survived COVID-19 at day 7 while 9 died. There was no between-group difference at baseline, despite a trend for more frequent use of VKA in those who did not survive on day 7 (33.3% versus 8.2%, p = 0.056). While considering “using no VKA” as the reference (hazard ratio (HR) = 1), the HR for 7-day mortality in those regularly using VKA was 5.68 [95% CI: 1.17; 27.53]. Consistently, COVID-19 patients using VKA on a regular basis had shorter survival times than the others (p = 0.031). Conclusions. Regular use of VKA was associated with increased mortality at day 7 in hospitalized frail elderly patients with COVID-19.


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