Development of Uncertainty Factors for Nonhuman Receptors

1991 ◽  
pp. 145-152
Author(s):  
A. B. Chandler ◽  
C. L. Fordham
Keyword(s):  
Uncertainty Factors

Perancangan Strategi Penjualan Menggunakan Dinamika Sistem Pada CV. Gajah Mungkur

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 215
Author(s):  
Maulana Hassan Syafrudin ◽  
Nunung Nurhasanah
Keyword(s):  
Swot Analysis ◽  
Online Marketing ◽  
Dynamics Simulation ◽  
Scenario Simulation ◽  
Dynamic Approach ◽  
Product Price ◽  
Output Analysis ◽  
Uncertainty Factors ◽  
The Right ◽  
A Company

<p><em>Abstrak</em> – <strong>CV. Gajah Mungkur adalah salah satu perusahaan yang bergerak di bidang bordir kain. Perusahaan ini mengalami pasang surut penjualan produknya selama dua tahun terakhir. Untuk itu dalam penelitian ini menggunakan strategi seperti analisis SWOT sebagai pendekatan perusahaan menghadapi persaingan bisnis penjualan serta pendekatan dinamika sistem dalam memberikan rekomendasi terhadap keputusan atau kebijakan perusahaan terkait nilai omset penjualan dan nilai profit perusahan yang dipengaruhi oleh faktor ketidakpastian (uncertainty). Berdasarkan hasil pengolahan ANP dengan software Super Decisions, didapatkan bahwa alternatif strategi yang tepat bagi perusahaan CV. Gajah Mungkur untuk melanjutkan proses bisnisnya yang lebih baik adalah dengan cara memberikan promo diskon dan melakukan pemasaran secara online. Berdasarkan analisis output hasil simulasi skenario, bahwa bila perusahaan menerapkan skenario diskon harga produk sebesar 5% perusahaan akan mendapatkan penambahan jumlah penjualan sebanyak 139.258 unit. Kemudian bila perusahaan menerapkan skenario diskon produk sebesar 10% perusahaan akan mendapatkan penambahan jumlah penjualan sebanyak 151.918 unit. Selanjutnya adalah bila perusahaan menerapkan skenario diskon produk sebesar 15% perusahaan akan mendapatkan penambahan jumlah penjualan sebanyak 164.577 unit. Selain itu bila perusahaan menerapkan pemasaran secara online, bila perusahaan menerapkan promosi online salah satunya di online shop shopee maka perusahaan akan mendapatkan penambahan jumlah penjualan sebanyak 174.533 unit.</strong></p><p><em>Abstract</em> - <strong>CV. Gajah Mungkur is one of the companies engaged in fabric embroidery. This company has experienced ups and downs in the sales of its products as per the data for the last two years. For this reason, this study uses strategies such as SWOT analysis as a company approach to dealing with sales business competition as well as a system dynamic approach in providing recommendations on company decisions or policies related to the value of sales turnover and the value of company profits which are influenced by uncertainty factors. The results of this study are based on the results of ANP processing with Super Decisions, it was found that the right alternative strategy for CV. Gajah Mungkur, to continue its better business process, is by providing discount promos and marketing online. Based on the output analysis scenario simulation results, that if the company applies a 5% discount on product price scenarios, the company will get an additional sales volume of 139,258 units. Then if the company applies a product discount scenario of 10%, the company will get an additional sales number of 151,918 units. Furthermore, if the company applies a product discount scenario of 15%, the company will get an additional sales number of 164,577 units. Besides, if the company implements online marketing, if the company implements online promotions, one of which is the online shopee, the company will get an additional sales number of 174,533 unit.</strong></p><p><strong><em>Keywords - </em></strong><em>SWOT, ANP, System Dynamics Simulation</em><em>.</em></p>

Percentiles of the Product of Uncertainty Factors for Establishing Probabilistic Reference Doses

Risk Analysis ◽  
2000 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 245-250 ◽  
Author(s):  
David W. Gaylor ◽  
Ralph L. Kodell
Keyword(s):  
Uncertainty Factors ◽  
Reference Doses

scholarly journals Identification and Assessment of Uncertainty Factors that Influence the Transaction Cost in Public Sector Construction Projects in Pakistan

Buildings ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. 157 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zaigham Ali ◽  
Fangwei Zhu ◽  
Shahid Hussain
Keyword(s):  
Transaction Cost ◽  
Construction Projects ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
Environmental Groups ◽  
Uncertainty Factors ◽  
Competitive Tendering ◽  
Importance Index ◽  
Force Majeure ◽  
Internal Sources ◽  
The Impact

Like other kinds of projects, construction projects are exposed to uncertainty, which plays a critical role in determining the transaction cost (TC). This study explores the uncertainty factors that are associated with construction projects that substantially influence the TC. To obtain the opinions of construction professionals, a survey questionnaire was developed after identifying 30 relevant causes of uncertainty from the literature. A survey of 216 professionals was conducted in Pakistan, and the relative importance index (RII) was used to prioritize the significant uncertainty factors that escalate the TC. Based on the responses from various construction professionals, this study determined that the most significant uncertainty factors that influence TC are: competitive tendering, incomplete design and specifications, late payments, conflict management, delayed possession of sites, force majeure, and work acceleration. This study also compared and analyzed the views of project managers and consultants and found that uncertainty from internal sources has a more significant influence on TC than that from external sources. The political and environmental groups do not contribute much escalating the TC. However, uncertainties that arise from the commercial, project site, and technical groups are more of an influence on TC. This research helps practitioners and professionals to adopt integrative systems in most uncertain situations proactively to find opportunities in volatile markets to reduce the impact of uncertainty on the total project cost.

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