Application of the Survival Analysis Methods in Contemporary Economics on the Example of Unemployment

Author(s):  
Beata Bieszk-Stolorz
Risks ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 121
Author(s):  
Beata Bieszk-Stolorz ◽  
Krzysztof Dmytrów

The aim of our research was to compare the intensity of decline and then increase in the value of basic stock indices during the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus pandemic in 2020. The survival analysis methods used to assess the risk of decline and chance of rise of the indices were: Kaplan–Meier estimator, logit model, and the Cox proportional hazards model. We observed the highest intensity of decline in the European stock exchanges, followed by the American and Asian plus Australian ones (after the fourth and eighth week since the peak). The highest risk of decline was in America, then in Europe, followed by Asia and Australia. The lowest risk was in Africa. The intensity of increase was the highest in the fourth and eleventh week since the minimal value had been reached. The highest odds of increase were in the American stock exchanges, followed by the European and Asian (including Australia and Oceania), and the lowest in the African ones. The odds and intensity of increase in the stock exchange indices varied from continent to continent. The increase was faster than the initial decline.


2019 ◽  
Vol 46 (4) ◽  
pp. 496-507
Author(s):  
Mohammad Tavakolizadeh-Ravari ◽  
Faramarz Soheili ◽  
Fatemeh Makkizadeh ◽  
Fatemeh Akrami

The current research employs two survival analysis methods: Cox regression and life tables. The first determines the effect of inventor, assignee and country for receiving the first citation by patents. Life tables concern the time-lag between the dates of granting and receiving the first citation by patents. Bradford’s method is also established as a technique for categorization of patents, inventors, assignees and countries as a prerequisite for survival analysis. The research materials consist of 2837 patents in the area of ‘purification, separation, or recovery of hydrocarbon components’ which were classified under the classes 585/800 and 585/868 by the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO). The findings showed that Bradford’s method complies with the distribution of citations of patents, first inventors and assignees. It means that Bradford’s distribution is well suited for determination of key patents, inventors and assignees in an area too. Cox regression revealed that only the inventors’ variable decides for receiving the first citation in terms of frequency, degrees of their inventions and citations. Life table data revealed that one half of the first citations were received in the first 10 years. As a conclusion, survival analysis methods provide the possibility for deciding technology lifetime and for predicting the determinants for the flow of knowledge through citation analysis.


2002 ◽  
Vol 81 (2) ◽  
pp. 144-148 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Harkanen ◽  
M.A. Larmas ◽  
J.I. Virtanen ◽  
E. Arjas

Author(s):  
Olha V. Kuzmenko ◽  
Tetiana V. Dotsenko ◽  
Liliia O. Skrynka

In modern world, the digitalisation of financial relations, the development of innovative technologies, and the emergence and use of cryptocurrencies for payments lead to an increase in the number of cyber frauds in the financial sector and their intellectualisation, increasing the illegal outflow of funds abroad. Ineffective decisions and inaction in counteracting these threats lead to large-scale negative consequences of both financial and social nature. The purpose of this study is to implement economic and mathematical modelling of the effectiveness of the national system for combatting cyber fraud and legalisation of criminal proceeds, which is based on the use of survival analysis methods. The study provides a bibliometric analysis of publications on the effectiveness of cyber fraud and combatting the legalisation of illegal funds, by building a bibliometric map of keywords, using VOSviewer software. This allowed identifying 7 clusters of basic categories of cyber fraud analysis, and changes in the vectors of research scientists showed a visual map of the contextual-temporal measurement of research into the effectiveness of cyber fraud in the publications of the Scopus database. The paper examines the effectiveness of the national system for combatting cyber fraud and money laundering based on survival tables. As a result of the study, the effectiveness of the national system for combatting cyber fraud and money laundering was analysed based on the Kaplan-Meier method. The study identified the dependences of the effectiveness of the national system for combatting cyber fraud and legalisation of criminal proceeds on the time interval after the discovery of violations. The practical value of applying the developed model is to form an analytical basis for further management decisions by the National Bank of Ukraine, the State Financial Monitoring Service, and the Security Service of Ukraine in terms of the effectiveness of the national system to combat cyber fraud and legalisation of criminal proceeds and the need to adjust it


2002 ◽  
Vol 81 (2) ◽  
pp. 144-148 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Härkänen ◽  
M.A. Larmas ◽  
J.I. Virtanen ◽  
E. Arjas

2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 8-14
Author(s):  
A. A. Korneenkov ◽  
◽  
I. V. Fanta ◽  
Е. E. Vyazemskaya ◽  
◽  
...  

2002 ◽  
Vol 50 (2) ◽  
pp. 277-289 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Stepanova ◽  
Lyn Thomas

2007 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-5
Author(s):  
Dewi Gayatri ◽  
Hanny Handiyani

AbstrakPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasi hubungan jarak pemasangan terapi intravena dari persendian dengan waktu terjadinya flebitis. Desain penelitian yang digunakan adalah penelitian kohort prospektif dengan lama pengamatan 72 jam. Sampel yang diambil berjumlah 120 responden. Teknik analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah survival analysis. Penelitian ini menyimpulkan bahwa semakin jauh jarak pemasangan terapi intravena dari persendian maka risiko untuk terjadi flebitis akan semakin meningkat. Hal ini dapat disebabkan karena kurangnya fiksasi dan dekatnya persambungan selang kanul dengan persendian lainnya. Faktor lain yang akan meningkatkan risiko terjadinya flebitis adalah cairan dengan osmolalitas tinggi dan pemakaian balutan konvensional. Hal utama yang direkomendasikan dari penelitian ini adalah pemasangan terapi intravena sebaiknya berjarak minimal 3-7 cm dari persendian serta diperlukan penelitian lanjutan di mana jumlah sampel dan desain yang lebih baik diterapkan. AbstractThis research aimed to identify the relationship between the distance vein puncture site from joint and survival rate of phlebitis. This research used cohort design with 72 hour observation. The size sample of this research was 120 respondents. Analysis methods which using in this research was survival analysis. The conclusions of this research are the distance vein puncture which far joint can increase phlebitis probability, osmolality and types of dressing can increase phlebitis probability too. The recommendations of this research are the inserting of infusion therapy is minimum 3-7 cm from joint and use the modern dressing. Besides that, the research have been recommending the next research which is using better design and bigger samples size.


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