Conditional Forecasting of Water Level Time Series with RNNs

2020 ◽  
pp. 55-71
Author(s):  
Bart J. van der Lugt ◽  
Ad J. Feelders
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Water Level

scholarly journals Assessing Stream-Aquifer Connectivity in a Coastal California Watershed

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 416
Author(s):  
Bwalya Malama ◽  
Devin Pritchard-Peterson ◽  
John J. Jasbinsek ◽  
Christopher Surfleet
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Spectral Analysis ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Low Permeability ◽  
Pumping Tests ◽  
Stream Flows ◽  
The Impact

We report the results of field and laboratory investigations of stream-aquifer interactions in a watershed along the California coast to assess the impact of groundwater pumping for irrigation on stream flows. The methods used include subsurface sediment sampling using direct-push drilling, laboratory permeability and particle size analyses of sediment, piezometer installation and instrumentation, stream discharge and stage monitoring, pumping tests for aquifer characterization, resistivity surveys, and long-term passive monitoring of stream stage and groundwater levels. Spectral analysis of long-term water level data was used to assess correlation between stream and groundwater level time series data. The investigations revealed the presence of a thin low permeability silt-clay aquitard unit between the main aquifer and the stream. This suggested a three layer conceptual model of the subsurface comprising unconfined and confined aquifers separated by an aquitard layer. This was broadly confirmed by resistivity surveys and pumping tests, the latter of which indicated the occurrence of leakage across the aquitard. The aquitard was determined to be 2–3 orders of magnitude less permeable than the aquifer, which is indicative of weak stream-aquifer connectivity and was confirmed by spectral analysis of stream-aquifer water level time series. The results illustrate the importance of site-specific investigations and suggest that even in systems where the stream is not in direct hydraulic contact with the producing aquifer, long-term stream depletion can occur due to leakage across low permeability units. This has implications for management of stream flows, groundwater abstraction, and water resources management during prolonged periods of drought.

Seasonal succession and long-term stability of pelagic community in a productive reservoir

2005 ◽  
Vol 56 (8) ◽  
pp. 1137 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. F. Matveev ◽  
L. K. Matveeva
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Seasonal Succession ◽  
Perca Fluviatilis ◽  
Taxonomic Composition ◽  
Stationary Time Series ◽  
Introduced Fish ◽  
Reservoir Water ◽  
Reservoir Water Level ◽  
Murray River

In Lake Hume, a reservoir located in an active agricultural zone of the Murray River catchment, Australia, time series for the abundances of phytoplankton and zooplankton taxa, monitored from 1991 through to 1996, were stationary (without trends), and plankton taxonomic composition did not change. This indicated ecosystem resilience to strong fluctuations in reservoir water level, and to other potential agricultural impacts, for example eutrophication and pollution. Although biological stressors such as introduced fish and invertebrate predators are known to affect planktonic communities and reduce biodiversity in lakes, high densities of planktivorous stages of alien European perch (Perca fluviatilis) and the presence of carp (Cyprinus carpio) did not translate into non-stationary time series or declining trends for plankton in Lake Hume. However, the seasonal successions observed in the reservoir in different years did not conform well to the Plankton Ecology Group (PEG) model. Significant deviations of the Lake Hume successional pattern from the PEG model included maxima for phytoplankton abundance being in winter and the presence of a clear water phase without large zooplankton grazers. The instability of the water level in Lake Hume probably causes the dynamics of most planktonic populations to be less predictable, but did not initiate the declining trends that have been observed in some other Australian reservoirs. Both the PEG model and the present study suggest that hydrology is one of the major drivers of seasonal succession.

scholarly journals Multifractal Analysis of Hydrologic Data Using Wavelet Methods and Fluctuation Analysis

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tongzhou Zhao ◽  
Liang Wu ◽  
Dehua Li ◽  
Yiming Ding
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Multifractal Analysis ◽  
Simulation Models ◽  
Northern China ◽  
Fluctuation Analysis ◽  
Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis ◽  
Wavelet Leaders ◽  
Detailed Characteristic ◽  
Wavelet Methods

We study the multifractal properties of water level with a high-frequency and massive time series using wavelet methods (estimation of Hurst exponents, multiscale diagram, and wavelet leaders for multifractal analysis (WLMF)) and multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA). The dataset contains more than two million records from 10 observation sites at a northern China river. The multiscale behaviour is observed in this time series, which indicates the multifractality. This multifractality is detected via multiscale diagram. Then we focus on the multifractal analysis using MF-DFA and WLMF. The two methods give the same conclusion that at most sites the records satisfy the generalized binomial multifractal model, which is robust for different times (morning, afternoon, and evening). The variation in the detailed characteristic parameters of the multifractal model indicates that both human activities and tributaries influence the multifractality. Our work is useful for building simulation models of the water level of local rivers with many observation sites.

scholarly journals Climate change or regional human impacts? remote sensing tools, artificial neural networks, and wavelet approaches aim to solve the problem

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ehsan Foroumandi ◽  
Vahid Nourani ◽  
Elnaz Sharghi
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Positive Trend ◽  
Water Level Change ◽  
Lake Urmia ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Artificial Neural

Abstract Lake Urmia, as the largest lake in Iran, has suffered from water-level decline and this problem needs to be investigated accurately. The major reason for the decline is controversial. The current paper aimed to study the hydro-environmental variables over the Lake Urmia basin using remote sensing tools, artificial neural networks, wavelet transforms, and Mann–Kendall trend tests from 1995 to 2019 in order to determine the primary reason of the decline and to find the most important hydrologic periodicities over the basin. The results indicated that for the monthly-, seasonally-, and annually-based time series, the components with 4-month and 16-month, 24- and 48-month, and 2- and 4-year, respectively, are the most dominant periodicities over the basin. The agricultural increase according to the vegetation index and evapotranspiration and their close relationship with the water-level change indicated that human land-use is the main reason for the decline. The increasing agriculture, in the situations that the precipitation has not increased, caused the inflow runoff to the lake to decline and the remaining smaller discharge is not sufficient to stabilize the water level. Temperature time series, also, has experienced a significant positive trend which intensified the water-level change.

Prediction of Water Level Using Time Series, Wavelet and Neural Network Approaches

2022 ◽  
pp. 1077-1097
Author(s):  
Nguyen Quang Dat ◽  
Ngoc Anh Nguyen Thi ◽  
Vijender Kumar Solanki ◽  
Ngo Le An
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Project Work ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Water Level Data ◽  
Ann Models ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Network Approaches ◽  
Short Time

To control water resources in many domains such as agriculture, flood forecasting, and hydro-electrical dams, forecasting water level needs to predict. In this article, a new computational approach using a data driven model and time series is proposed to calculate the forecast water level in short time. Concretely, wavelet-artificial neural network (WAANN) and time series (TS) are combined together called WAANN-TS that encourages the advantage of each model. For this real time project work, Yen Bai station, Northwest Vietnam was chosen as an experimental case study to apply the proposed model. Input variables into the Wavelet-ANN structure is water level data. Time series and ANN models are built, and their performances are compared. The results indicate the greater accuracy of the proposed models at Hanoi station. The final proposal WAANN−TS for water level forecasting shows good performance with root mean square error (RMSE) from 10−10 to 10−11.

scholarly journals Statistical analysis of rainfall and streamflow time series in the Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 258-273 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tibebe B. Tigabu ◽  
Georg Hörmann ◽  
Paul D. Wagner ◽  
Nicola Fohrer
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Lake Water ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Annual Rainfall ◽  
Lake Tana ◽  
Agricultural Water Management ◽  
Lake Water Level ◽  
Rainfall Variation ◽  
Sample Data

Abstract This research focuses on the statistical analyses of hydrometeorological time series in the basin of Lake Tana, the largest freshwater lake in Ethiopia. We used autocorrelation, cross-correlation, Mann–Kendall, and Tukey multiple mean comparison tests to understand the spatiotemporal variation of the hydrometeorological data in the period from 1960 to 2015. Our results show that mean annual streamflow and the lake water level are varying significantly from decade to decade, whereas the mean annual rainfall variation is not significant. The decadal mean of the lake outflow and the lake water level decreased between the 1990s and 2000s by 11.34 m3/s and 0.35 m, respectively. The autocorrelation for both rainfall and streamflow were significantly different from zero, indicating that the sample data are non-random. Changes in streamflow and lake water level are linked to land use changes. Improvements in agricultural water management could contribute to mitigate the decreasing trends.

scholarly journals Wetland Dynamics Inferred from Spectral Analyses of Hydro-Meteorological Signals and Landsat Derived Vegetation Indices

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 12
Author(s):  
Subrina Tahsin ◽  
Stephen C. Medeiros ◽  
Arvind Singh
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Spectral Analysis ◽  
Frequency Domain ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Time Lag ◽  
Forested Wetlands ◽  
Wetland Dynamics ◽  
Apalachicola Bay ◽  
Emergent Wetlands

The dynamic response of coastal wetlands (CWs) to hydro-meteorological signals is a key indicator for understanding climate driven variations in wetland ecosystems. This study explored the response of CW dynamics to hydro-meteorological signals using time series of Landsat-derived normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) values at six locations and hydro-meteorological time-series from 1984 to 2015 in Apalachicola Bay, Florida. Spectral analysis revealed more persistence in NDVI values for forested wetlands in the annual frequency domain, compared to scrub and emergent wetlands. This behavior reversed in the decadal frequency domain, where scrub and emergent wetlands had a more persistent NDVI than forested wetlands. The wetland dynamics were found to be driven mostly by the Apalachicola Bay water level and precipitation. Cross-spectral analysis indicated a maximum time-lag of 2.7 months between temperature and NDVI, whereas NDVI lagged water level by a maximum of 2.2 months. The quantification of persistent behavior and subsequent understanding that CW dynamics are mostly driven by water level and precipitation suggests that the severity of droughts, floods, and storm surges will be a driving factor in the future sustainability of CW ecosystems.

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