Cyber-Attack Forecast Modeling and Complexity Reduction Using a Game-Theoretic Framework

Author(s):  
Malachi Jones ◽  
Georgios Kotsalis ◽  
Jeff S. Shamma
Author(s):  
Lee T. Maccarone ◽  
Daniel G. Cole

Cyber-physical systems consist of interconnected physical processes and computational resources. Because the cyber and physical worlds are integrated, the system’s physical assets are vulnerable to cyber-attack. An attacker who is able to access control inputs and mask measurements can damage the system while remaining undetected. By masking certain measurement signals, an attacker may render part of the state space unobservable, meaning that it is impossible to reconstruct those states. This is called an observability attack. A game-theoretic approach is presented to analyze observability attacks. The attacker’s strategy set includes all possible combinations of masked measurements. The defender’s strategy set includes redundant sensing and direct measurement of state variables. Attacker and defender payoffs are quantified using the responses of the observable and unobservable states. The observability attack game is analyzed for a nuclear balance of plant system. Combinations of sensor omissions are analyzed to find observability attacks with high impact and low detection. The effects of sensor augmentation are examined. A pure strategy Nash equilibrium is identified.


2017 ◽  
pp. 120-130
Author(s):  
A. Lyasko

Informal financial operations exist in the shadow of official regulation and cannot be protected by the formal legal instruments, therefore raising concerns about the enforcement of obligations taken by their participants. This paper analyzes two alternative types of auxiliary institutions, which can coordinate expectations of the members of informal value transfer systems, namely attitudes of trust and norms of social control. It offers some preliminary approaches to creating a game-theoretic model of partner interaction in the informal value transfer system. It also sheds light on the perspectives of further studies in this area of institutional economics.


2018 ◽  
pp. 114-131
Author(s):  
O. Yu. Bondarenko

his article explores theoretical and experimental approach to modeling social interactions. Communication and exchange of information with other people affect individual’s behavior in numerous areas. Generally, such influence is exerted by leaders, outstanding individuals who have a higher social status or expert knowledge. Social interactions are analyzed in the models of social learning, game theoretic models, conformity models, etc. However, there is a lack of formal models of asymmetric interactions. Such models could help elicit certain qualities characterizing higher social status and perception of status by other individuals, find the presence of leader influence and analyze its mechanism.


2019 ◽  
pp. 73-81
Author(s):  
Oleh Poshedin

The purpose of the article is to describe the changes NATO undergoing in response to the challenges of our time. Today NATO, as a key element of European and Euro-Atlantic security, is adapting to changes in the modern security environment by increasing its readiness and ability to respond to any threat. Adaptation measures include the components required to ensure that the Alliance can fully address the security challenges it might face. Responsiveness NATO Response Force enhanced by developing force packages that are able to move rapidly and respond to potential challenges and threats. As part of it, was established a Very High Readiness Joint Task Force, a new Allied joint force that deploy within a few days to respond to challenges that arise, particularly at the periphery of NATO’s territory. NATO emphasizes, that cyber defence is part of NATO’s core task of collective defence. A decision as to when a cyber attack would lead to the invocation of Article 5 would be taken by the North Atlantic Council on a case-by-case basis. Cooperation with NATO already contributes to the implementation of national security and defense in state policy. At the same time, taking into account that all decision-making in NATO based on consensus, Ukraine’s membership in the Alliance quite vague perspective. In such circumstances, in Ukraine you often can hear the idea of announcement of a neutral status. It is worth reminding that non-aligned status did not save Ukraine from Russian aggression. Neutral status will not accomplish it either. All talks about neutrality and the impossibility of Ukraine joining NATO are nothing but manipulations, as well as recognition of the Ukrainian territory as Russian Federation area of influence (this country seeks to sabotage the Euro-Atlantic movement of Ukraine). Think about it, Moldova’s Neutrality is enshrined in the country’s Constitution since 1994. However, this did not help Moldova to restore its territorial integrity and to force Russia to withdraw its troops and armaments from Transnistria.


2012 ◽  
Vol 132 (6) ◽  
pp. 344-348 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hideaki KOBAYASHI ◽  
Isao KAINE ◽  
Shunsuke TANIGUCHI
Keyword(s):  

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