The Stress Accumulation Method and the Pattern Informatics Index: Complementary Approaches to Earthquake Forecasting

Author(s):  
Kristy F. Tiampo ◽  
David D. Bowman ◽  
Harmony Colella ◽  
John B. Rundle
2008 ◽  
Vol 165 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 693-709 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kristy F. Tiampo ◽  
David D. Bowman ◽  
Harmony Colella ◽  
John B. Rundle

2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (12) ◽  
pp. 1569-1592 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Toya ◽  
K. F. Tiampo ◽  
J. B. Rundle ◽  
Chien-chih Chen ◽  
Hsien-Chi Li ◽  
...  

2012 ◽  
Vol 55 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Stuart Crampin

<p>The recently published report Operational Earthquake Forecasting: State of Knowledge and Guidelines for Utilization by the International Commission on Earthquake Forecasting for Civil Protection (ICEF) presupposes that there is no method for the short-term prediction of large earthquakes that has been demonstrated to be both reliable and skillful. This is no longer correct. Earthquakes can be deterministically stress-forecast by using shear-wave splitting to monitor stress-accumulation in the rock mass surrounding the earthquake source. This new understanding of fluid-rock deformation means that the recommendations of the ICEF Report are no longer appropriate. This comment reviews this new understanding and suggests that the way forward for operational earthquake forecasting in Italy is to install one or more controlled-source three-borehole Stress-Monitoring Sites and use shear-wave splitting to monitor stress-accumulation and stress-forecast all damaging (M ≥ 5) earthquakes in Italy.</p>


Ethology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 127 (3) ◽  
pp. 307-308
Author(s):  
Martin Wikelski ◽  
Uschi Mueller ◽  
Paola Scocco ◽  
Andrea Catorci ◽  
Lev V. Desinov ◽  
...  

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 422
Author(s):  
Jose M. Machorro-Lopez ◽  
Juan P. Amezquita-Sanchez ◽  
Martin Valtierra-Rodriguez ◽  
Francisco J. Carrion-Viramontes ◽  
Juan A. Quintana-Rodriguez ◽  
...  

Large civil structures such as bridges must be permanently monitored to ensure integrity and avoid collapses due to damage resulting in devastating human fatalities and economic losses. In this article, a wavelet-based method called the Wavelet Energy Accumulation Method (WEAM) is developed in order to detect, locate and quantify damage in vehicular bridges. The WEAM consists of measuring the vibration signals on different points along the bridge while a vehicle crosses it, then those signals and the corresponding ones of the healthy bridge are subtracted and the Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) is applied on both, the healthy and the subtracted signals, to obtain the corresponding diagrams, which provide a clue about where the damage is located; then, the border effects must be eliminated. Finally, the Wavelet Energy (WE) is obtained by calculating the area under the curve along the selected range of scale for each point of the bridge deck. The energy of a healthy bridge is low and flat, whereas for a damaged bridge there is a WE accumulation at the damage location. The Rio Papaloapan Bridge (RPB) is considered for this research and the results obtained numerically and experimentally are very promissory to apply this method and avoid accidents.


Author(s):  
Tushar K. Talukdar ◽  
Liang Wang ◽  
Sergio D. Felicelli

Solidification cracking represents a significant scientific and technical challenge in the rapid fabrication of bimetallic parts involving Cu and H13 tool steel. The main cause of the cracking formation is attributed to the residual stress accumulation, which depends on the thermal history and phase transformation during the deposition. In this research, a thermomechanical three-dimensional finite element model is developed to determine the temperature history and residual stress in Cu-H13 samples deposited by the Laser Engineered Net Shaping (LENS) process. The development of the model was carried out using the SYSWELD software package. The metallurgical transformations are taken into account using the temperature dependent material properties and the continuous cooling transformation diagram. Two different scanning strategies — alternative and unidirectional — are studied. The same model is also applied to a H13-H13 sample to compare the results. The input laser power is optimized for each layer and three different scanning speeds to maintain a steady molten pool size. It is observed that for a constant scanning speed the required laser power decreases with addition of more layers, and with the increase of scanning speed the laser power needs to be increased. The residual stress is found to be compressive near the center of the deposited wall and tensile at the free edges, which is consistent with the published experimental results in the literature. Similar stress distributions are obtained for both scanning strategies with higher stress concentration at the free edges of the interface between the substrate and the first layer. In these regions, the use of H13 substrate results in a higher stress accumulation than the Cu substrate.


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