Prediction of geomagnetic storms from solar wind data with the use of a neural network

1994 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Lundstedt ◽  
P. Wintoft

Abstract. An artificial feed-forward neural network with one hidden layer and error back-propagation learning is used to predict the geomagnetic activity index (Dst) one hour in advance. The Bz-component and ΣBz, the density, and the velocity of the solar wind are used as input to the network. The network is trained on data covering a total of 8700 h, extracted from the 25-year period from 1963 to 1987, taken from the NSSDC data base. The performance of the network is examined with test data, not included in the training set, which covers 386 h and includes four different storms. Whilst the network predicts the initial and main phase well, the recovery phase is not modelled correctly, implying that a single hidden layer error back-propagation network is not enough, if the measured Dst is not available instantaneously. The performance of the network is independent of whether the raw parameters are used, or the electric field and square root of the dynamical pressure.

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Susmita Mall ◽  
S. Chakraverty

This paper investigates the solution of Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) with initial conditions using Regression Based Algorithm (RBA) and compares the results with arbitrary- and regression-based initial weights for different numbers of nodes in hidden layer. Here, we have used feed forward neural network and error back propagation method for minimizing the error function and for the modification of the parameters (weights and biases). Initial weights are taken as combination of random as well as by the proposed regression based model. We present the method for solving a variety of problems and the results are compared. Here, the number of nodes in hidden layer has been fixed according to the degree of polynomial in the regression fitting. For this, the input and output data are fitted first with various degree polynomials using regression analysis and the coefficients involved are taken as initial weights to start with the neural training. Fixing of the hidden nodes depends upon the degree of the polynomial. For the example problems, the analytical results have been compared with neural results with arbitrary and regression based weights with four, five, and six nodes in hidden layer and are found to be in good agreement.


Author(s):  
Y Li ◽  
B Mills ◽  
W B Rowe

This paper describes the development of a neural network system for grinding wheel selection. The system employs a back-propagation network with one hidden layer and was trained using data from reference handbooks. It is shown that a neural network is capable of learning the relationship between the wheel and the grinding process without a requirement for rules or equations. It was further found that a relatively small number of training examples allows the system to produce reliable recommendations for a much greater number of combinations of grinding conditions. The system was developed on a PC using the C++ programming language.


Author(s):  
Gustavo R. Matuck ◽  
Joa˜o Roberto Barbosa ◽  
Cleverson Bringhenti ◽  
Isaias Lima

This paper describes a procedure to measure the performance of detection and isolation of multiple faults in gas turbines using artificial neural network and optimization techniques. It is on a particular form of artificial neural networks, the traditional multi-layer perceptron (MLP). Error back-propagation and different activation functions are used. The main goal is to recognize single, double and triple faults in a turboshaft engine, whose performance data were output from a gas turbine simulator program, tuned to represent the engine running at an existing power station. MLP network is a nonlinear interpolation function usually made of input layer, hidden-layer and output-layer, with different neuronal units, but in this work, only one hidden-layer was used. Weights were altered by error back-propagation from the initial values established from a seed fixed between 0 and 1. The activation function in the MLP algorithm is the sigmoid function. The best moment to stop the training process and avoid the over fitting problem was chosen by cross-validation. Optimization of convergence error was achieved using the momentum criteria and reducing the oscillation problem in all nets trained. Several configurations of the neural network have been compared and evaluated, using several noise graduations incorporated to the data, aiming at finding the network most suitable to detect and isolate multiple faults in gas turbines. Based on the results obtained it is inferred that the procedure reported herein may be applied to actual systems in order to assist in maintenance programs, at least.


Author(s):  
Mohd. Tauseef ◽  
Dheeraj Kumar Verma

The surface roughness of manufactured product is final results of the turning technique parameters, and an critical characteristics that outline product first-rate, aesthetics etc. It imposes one of the most essential constraints for the choice of machines and slicing parameters in manner planning. In this paper, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) method has been used to develop surface roughness prediction model the use of experimental statistics, wherein Feed Forward Neural Network (FFNN) the usage of Back Propagation set of rules and Levenberg-Marquardt education function has been used. The work has been done using Neural etwork Toolbox in MATLAB. The overall performance of the version has been assessed based totally on Regression analysis, Mean Square Error (MSE) and Magnitude of Relative Error (MRE). A three-2-1 model with two neurons in the hidden layer turned into discovered to be the excellent developed model, having universal regression ( R) cost of zero.9923 and pleasant validation overall performance MSE value of 0.00913. The ANN model confirmed incredible consequences for forecasting


2020 ◽  
Vol 71 (6) ◽  
pp. 66-74
Author(s):  
Younis M. Younis ◽  
Salman H. Abbas ◽  
Farqad T. Najim ◽  
Firas Hashim Kamar ◽  
Gheorghe Nechifor

A comparison between artificial neural network (ANN) and multiple linear regression (MLR) models was employed to predict the heat of combustion, and the gross and net heat values, of a diesel fuel engine, based on the chemical composition of the diesel fuel. One hundred and fifty samples of Iraqi diesel provided data from chromatographic analysis. Eight parameters were applied as inputs in order to predict the gross and net heat combustion of the diesel fuel. A trial-and-error method was used to determine the shape of the individual ANN. The results showed that the prediction accuracy of the ANN model was greater than that of the MLR model in predicting the gross heat value. The best neural network for predicting the gross heating value was a back-propagation network (8-8-1), using the Levenberg�Marquardt algorithm for the second step of network training. R = 0.98502 for the test data. In the same way, the best neural network for predicting the net heating value was a back-propagation network (8-5-1), using the Levenberg�Marquardt algorithm for the second step of network training. R = 0.95112 for the test data.


2014 ◽  
Vol 119 ◽  
pp. 89-97 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maciej Oczak ◽  
Stefano Viazzi ◽  
Gunel Ismayilova ◽  
Lilia T. Sonoda ◽  
Nancy Roulston ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 0116
Author(s):  
Al-Saif Et al.

       In this paper, we focus on designing feed forward neural network (FFNN) for solving Mixed Volterra – Fredholm Integral Equations (MVFIEs) of second kind in 2–dimensions. in our method, we present a multi – layers model consisting of a hidden layer which has five hidden units (neurons) and one linear output unit. Transfer function (Log – sigmoid) and training algorithm (Levenberg – Marquardt) are used as a sigmoid activation of each unit. A comparison between the results of numerical experiment and the analytic solution of some examples has been carried out in order to justify the efficiency and the accuracy of our method.                                  


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
DEVIN NIELSEN ◽  
TYLER LOTT ◽  
SOM DUTTA ◽  
JUHYEONG LEE

In this study, three artificial neural network (ANN) models are developed with back propagation (BP) optimization algorithms to predict various lightning damage modes in carbon/epoxy laminates. The proposed ANN models use three input variables associated with lightning waveform parameters (i.e., the peak current amplitude, rising time, and decaying time) to predict fiber damage, matrix damage, and through-thickness damage in the composites. The data used for training and testing the networks was actual lightning damage data collected from peer-reviewed published literature. Various BP training algorithms and network architecture configurations (i.e., data splitting, the number of neurons in a hidden layer, and the number of hidden layers) have been tested to improve the performance of the neural networks. Among the various BP algorithms considered, the Bayesian regularization back propagation (BRBP) showed the overall best performance in lightning damage prediction. When using the BRBP algorithm, as expected, the greater the fraction of the collected data that is allocated to the training dataset, the better the network is trained. In addition, the optimal ANN architecture was found to have a single hidden layer with 20 neurons. The ANN models proposed in this work may prove useful in preliminary assessments of lightning damage and reduce the number of expensive experimental lightning tests.


Author(s):  
Tamer Emara

The IEEE 802.16 system offers power-saving class type II as a power-saving algorithm for real-time services such as voice over internet protocol (VoIP) service. However, it doesn't take into account the silent periods of VoIP conversation. This chapter proposes a power conservation algorithm based on artificial neural network (ANN-VPSM) that can be applied to VoIP service over WiMAX systems. Artificial intelligent model using feed forward neural network with a single hidden layer has been developed to predict the mutual silent period that used to determine the sleep period for power saving class mode in IEEE 802.16. From the implication of the findings, ANN-VPSM reduces the power consumption during VoIP calls with respect to the quality of services (QoS). Experimental results depict the significant advantages of ANN-VPSM in terms of power saving and quality-of-service (QoS). It shows the power consumed in the mobile station can be reduced up to 3.7% with respect to VoIP quality.


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