scholarly journals Interannual variability of precipitable water

1996 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 464-467 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. P. Kane
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Radiosonde Data ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Low Latitudes ◽  
Linear Trends

Abstract. The 12-month running means of the surface-to-500 mb precipitable water obtained from analysis of radiosonde data at seven selected locations showed three types of variability viz: (1) quasi-biennial oscillations; these were different in nature at different latitudes and also different from the QBO of the stratospheric tropical zonal winds; (2) decadal effects; these were prominent at middle and high latitudes and (3) linear trends; these were prominent at low latitudes, up trends in the Northern Hemisphere and downtrends in the Southern Hemisphere.

scholarly journals Simulations of Global Hurricane Climatology, Interannual Variability, and Response to Global Warming Using a 50-km Resolution GCM

2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (24) ◽  
pp. 6653-6678 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming Zhao ◽  
Isaac M. Held ◽  
Shian-Jiann Lin ◽  
Gabriel A. Vecchi
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Vertical Shear ◽  
Shallow Convection ◽  
Coupled Models ◽  
Lower Boundary Condition ◽  
Atlantic Hurricane ◽  
Sst Anomalies

Abstract A global atmospheric model with roughly 50-km horizontal grid spacing is used to simulate the interannual variability of tropical cyclones using observed sea surface temperatures (SSTs) as the lower boundary condition. The model’s convective parameterization is based on a closure for shallow convection, with much of the deep convection allowed to occur on resolved scales. Four realizations of the period 1981–2005 are generated. The correlation of yearly Atlantic hurricane counts with observations is greater than 0.8 when the model is averaged over the four realizations, supporting the view that the random part of this annual Atlantic hurricane frequency (the part not predictable given the SSTs) is relatively small (<2 hurricanes per year). Correlations with observations are lower in the east, west, and South Pacific (roughly 0.6, 0.5, and 0.3, respectively) and insignificant in the Indian Ocean. The model trends in Northern Hemisphere basin-wide frequency are consistent with the observed trends in the International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) database. The model generates an upward trend of hurricane frequency in the Atlantic and downward trends in the east and west Pacific over this time frame. The model produces a negative trend in the Southern Hemisphere that is larger than that in the IBTrACS. The same model is used to simulate the response to the SST anomalies generated by coupled models in the World Climate Research Program Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 3 (CMIP3) archive, using the late-twenty-first century in the A1B scenario. Results are presented for SST anomalies computed by averaging over 18 CMIP3 models and from individual realizations from 3 models. A modest reduction of global and Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone frequency is obtained in each case, but the results in individual Northern Hemisphere basins differ among the models. The vertical shear in the Atlantic Main Development Region (MDR) and the difference between the MDR SST and the tropical mean SST are well correlated with the model’s Atlantic storm frequency, both for interannual variability and for the intermodel spread in global warming projections.

scholarly journals Interannual Variability of Stratospheric Final Warming in the Southern Hemisphere and its Tropospheric Origin

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-59
Author(s):  
Soichiro Hirano ◽  
Masashi Kohma ◽  
Kaoru Sato
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Stationary Waves ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Wave Source ◽  
Barotropic Model ◽  
Stratospheric Final Warming ◽  
Zonal Wavenumber ◽  
Favorable Conditions

AbstractThe relation between interannual variability of stratospheric final warming (SFW) and tropospheric circulation in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) is explored using reanalysis data and a linear barotropic model. The analysis is focused on quasi-stationary waves with zonal wavenumber 1 (s = 1 QSWs; s is zonal wavenumber), which are the dominant component of the SH extratropical planetary waves.First, interannual variability of SFW is investigated in terms of amplitudes of stratospheric and tropospheric s = 1 QSWs, and wave transmission properties of the mean flow from the late austral winter to spring. Upward Eliassen–Palm flux due to s = 1 QSWs is larger from the stratosphere down to the middle troposphere in early-SFW years than late-SFW years. More favorable conditions for propagation of s = 1 stationary waves into the stratosphere are identified in early-SFW years. These results indicate that the amplification of tropospheric s = 1 QSWs and the favorable conditions for their propagation into the stratosphere lead to the amplification of stratospheric s = 1 QSWs, and hence earlier SFWs.Next, numerical calculations using a linear barotropic model are performed to explore how tropospheric s = 1 QSWs at high latitudes amplifies in early-SFW years. By using tropical Rossby wave source and horizontal winds in the reanalysis data as a source and background field, respectively, differences in s = 1 steady responses between early- and late-SFWs are examined at high latitudes. It is suggested that the larger amplitudes of tropospheric s = 1 QSWs in early-SFW years are attributed to differences in wave propagation characteristics associated with structure of the midlatitude jets in austral spring.

Temperate Forests of the Southern Andean Region

2007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas T. Veblen
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Boreal Forests ◽  
Temperate Forests ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Andean Region ◽  
Southern South America ◽  
The Andes ◽  
Evergreen Conifers

Although most of the continent of South America is characterized by tropical vegetation, south of the tropic of Capricorn there is a full range of temperate-latitude vegetation types including Mediterranean-type sclerophyll shrublands, grasslands, steppe, xeric woodlands, deciduous forests, and temperate rain forests. Southward along the west coast of South America the vast Atacama desert gives way to the Mediterranean-type shrublands and woodlands of central Chile, and then to increasingly wet forests all the way to Tierra del Fuego at 55°S. To the east of the Andes, these forests are bordered by the vast Patagonian steppe of bunch grasses and short shrubs. The focus of this chapter is on the region of temperate forests occurring along the western side of the southernmost part of South America, south of 33°S. The forests of the southern Andean region, including the coastal mountains as well as the Andes, are presently surrounded by physiognomically and taxonomically distinct vegetation types and have long been isolated from other forest regions. Although small in comparison with the extent of temperate forests of the Northern Hemisphere, this region is one of the largest areas of temperate forest in the Southern Hemisphere and is rich in endemic species. For readers familiar with temperate forests of the Northern Hemisphere, it is difficult to place the temper temperate forests of southern South America into a comparable ecological framework owing both to important differences in the histories of the biotas and to contrasts between the broad climatic patterns of the two hemispheres. There is no forest biome in the Southern Hemisphere that is comparable to the boreal forests of the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. The boreal forests of the latter are dominated by evergreen conifers of needle-leaved trees, mostly in the Pinaceae family, and occur in an extremely continental climate. In contrast, at high latitudes in southern South America, forests are dominated mostly by broadleaved trees such as the southern beech genus (Nothofagus). Evergreen conifers with needle or scaleleaves (from families other than the Pinaceae) are a relatively minor component of these forests.

scholarly journals Climatology of the mesopause density using a global distribution of meteor radars

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen Yi ◽  
Xianghui Xue ◽  
Iain M. Reid ◽  
Damian J. Murphy ◽  
Chris M. Hall ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Meteor Radar ◽  
Low Latitude ◽  
Wave Forcing ◽  
Spring Equinox ◽  
Spatial Coverage ◽  
Low Latitudes ◽  
Variation Characteristics ◽  
Temporal And Spatial

Abstract. The existing distribution of meteor radars located from high- to low-latitude regions provides a favourable temporal and spatial coverage for investigating the climatology of the global mesopause density. In this study, we report the climatology of the mesopause density estimated using multiyear observations from nine meteor radars, namely, the Davis Station (68.6° S, 77.9° E), Svalbard (78.3° N, 16° E) and Tromsø (69.6° N, 19.2° E) meteor radars located at high latitudes, the Mohe (53.5° N, 122.3° E), Beijing (40.3° N, 116.2° E), Mengcheng (33.4° N, 116.6° E) and Wuhan (30.5° N, 114.6° E) meteor radars located in the mid-latitudes, and the Kunming (25.6° N, 103.8° E) and Darwin (12.3° S, 130.8° E) meteor radars located at low latitudes. The daily mean density was estimated using ambipolar diffusion coefficients derived from the meteor radars and temperatures from the Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) on board the Aura satellite. The seasonal variations in the Davis Station meteor radar densities in the southern polar mesopause are mainly dominated by an annual oscillation (AO). The mesopause densities observed by the Svalbard and Tromsø meteor radars at high latitudes and the Mohe and Beijing meteor radars at high mid-latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere show mainly an AO and a relatively weak semiannual oscillation (SAO). The mesopause densities observed by the Mengcheng and Wuhan meteor radars at lower mid-latitudes and the Kunming and Darwin meteor radars at low latitudes show mainly an AO. The SAO is evident in the Northern Hemisphere, especially at high latitudes, and its largest amplitude, which is detected at the Tromsø meteor radar, is comparable to the AO amplitudes. These observations indicate that the mesopause densities over the southern and northern high latitudes exhibit a clear seasonal asymmetry. The maxima of the yearly variations in the mesopause densities display a clear temporal variation across the spring equinox as the latitude decreases; these latitudinal variation characteristics may be related to latitudinal changes influenced by gravity wave forcing. In addition to an AO, the mesopause densities over low latitudes also clearly show a variation with a periodicity of 30–60 days related to the Madden-Julian oscillation in the subtropical troposphere.

Recent Stratospheric Climate Trends as Evidenced in Radiosonde Data: Global Structure and Tropospheric Linkages

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (22) ◽  
pp. 4785-4795 ◽  
Author(s):  
David W. J. Thompson ◽  
Susan Solomon
Keyword(s):  
Radiative Transfer ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Global Structure ◽  
Current Understanding ◽  
Radiosonde Data ◽  
Climate Trends ◽  
The Past ◽  
Stratospheric Temperature ◽  
Temperature Trends

Abstract The global structure of recent stratospheric climate trends is examined in radiosonde data. In contrast to conclusions published in previous assessments of stratospheric temperature trends, it is demonstrated that in the annual mean the tropical stratosphere has cooled substantially over the past few decades. The cooling of the tropical stratosphere is apparent in both nighttime and adjusted radiosonde data, and seems to be robust to changes in radiosonde instrumentation. The meridional structure of the annual-mean stratospheric trends is not consistent with our current understanding of radiative transfer and constituent trends but is consistent with increased upwelling in the tropical stratosphere. The annual-mean cooling of the tropical stratosphere is juxtaposed against seasonally varying trends in the extratropical stratosphere dominated by the well-known springtime cooling at polar latitudes. The polar stratospheric trends are accompanied by similarly signed trends at tropospheric levels in the Southern Hemisphere but not in the Northern Hemisphere.

Properties of polar mesospheric clouds measured by Odin/OSIRIS in the northern hemisphere in 2002–2005

2007 ◽  
Vol 85 (11) ◽  
pp. 1143-1158 ◽  
Author(s):  
S V Petelina ◽  
E J Llewellyn ◽  
D A Degenstein
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Occurrence Frequency ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Polar Mesospheric Clouds ◽  
Infrared Imager ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Mesospheric Clouds

Interseasonal variations in the properties of Polar Mesospheric Clouds (PMC) measured by the Optical Spectrograph and InfraRed Imager System (OSIRIS) on the Odin satellite during the northern hemisphere (NH) summers of 2002–2005 are described in this work. The lowest PMC latitudes were about 50°N for every season with the number of detections smallest in 2002 and largest in 2004. In 2004 and 2005, the detection of PMCs at lower latitudes was asymmetric with the larger number of clouds observed during the first half and fewer at during the second half of the season. PMC occurrence frequency in 2002 was 25–30% lower than in 2003–2005, and the season duration was shortest in 2002 and longest in 2004. For all NH seasons except 2002, PMC occurrence frequency was systematically 20–50% higher than the Solar Mesosphere Explorer climatology. Similar to PMC occurrence frequency, cloud brightness was lowest in 2002 and highest in 2004 at all latitudes. The daily mean brightness maximum at 50°–60°N was less than 8% of that at highest latitudes. This contrasts with the maximum PMC occurrence frequency that reached nearly 30% at these latitudes in 2004 and 2005. PMC brightness showed no apparent seasonal asymmetry at lower latitudes in 2004 and 2005 that was seen in the occurrence frequency. Significant, by about a factor of 2, oscillations observed in the daily mean cloud brightness at high latitudes were also not seen in the corresponding occurrence frequency. These results suggest that the occurrence frequency alone does not provide detailed information on the cloud population and ice mass in the mesosphere. There is no significant interannual variability in the seasonal mean OSIRIS PMC altitude. Its value was very close to 8350 km for all seasons except 2004 when it was 83.42 km. The mean PMC altitudes for each season increased by 0.3–0.6 when the minimum altitude in the database was increased from 80 to 82 km. PACS Nos.: 92.05.Fg, 92.60.hc, 92.60.Jq, 92.60.Mt, 92.60.Nv, 92.60.Vb

scholarly journals Interannual Variability and Trends of Extratropical Ozone. Part II: Southern Hemisphere

2008 ◽  
Vol 65 (10) ◽  
pp. 3030-3041 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xun Jiang ◽  
Steven Pawson ◽  
Charles D. Camp ◽  
J. Eric Nielsen ◽  
Run-Lie Shia ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Observation System ◽  
Stationary Waves ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Total Column Ozone ◽  
The Third ◽  
Column Ozone

A principal component analysis (PCA) is applied to the Southern Hemisphere (SH) total column ozone following the method established for analyzing the data in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) in a companion paper. The interannual variability (IAV) of extratropical O3 in the SH is characterized by four main modes, which account for 75% of the total variance. The first two leading modes are approximately zonally symmetric and relate to the Southern Hemisphere annular mode and the quasi-biennial oscillation. The third and fourth modes exhibit wavenumber-1 structures. Contrary to the Northern Hemisphere, the third and fourth modes are not related to stationary waves. Similar results are obtained for the 30–100-hPa geopotential thickness. The decreasing O3 trend in the SH is captured in the first mode. The largest trend is at the South Pole, with value ∼−2 Dobson Units (DU) yr−1. Both the spatial pattern and trends in the column ozone are captured by the Goddard Earth Observation System chemistry–climate model (GEOS-CCM) in the SH.

scholarly journals Hemispheric ozone variability indices derived from satellite observations and as diagnostics for coupled chemistry-climate models

2006 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 5671-5709
Author(s):  
T. Erbertseder ◽  
V. Eyring ◽  
M. Bittner ◽  
M. Dameris ◽  
V. Grewe
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Total Ozone ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Model Simulation ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Satellite Observations ◽  
Ozone Hole ◽  
Wave Number

Abstract. Dynamics and chemistry of the lower and middle stratosphere are characterized by manifold processes on different scales in time and space. The total column density of ozone, measured by numerous instruments, can be used to trace the resulting variability. In particular, satellite-borne spectrometers allow global observation of the total ozone distribution with proven accuracy and high temporal and spatial resolution. In order to analyse the zonal and hemispherical ozone variability a spectral statistical Harmonic Analysis is applied to multi-year total ozone observations from the Total Ozone Monitoring Spectrometer (TOMS). As diagnostic variables we introduce the hemispheric ozone variability indices one and two. They are defined as the hemispheric means of the amplitudes of the zonal waves number one and two, respectively, as traced by the total ozone field. In order to demonstrate the capability of the diagnostic for intercomparison studies we apply the hemispheric ozone variability indices to evaluate total ozone fields of the coupled chemistry-climate model ECHAM4.L39(DLR)/CHEM (hereafter: E39/C) against satellite observations. Results of a multi-year model simulation representing ''2000" climate conditions with an updated version of E39/C and corresponding total ozone data of TOMS from 1996 to 2004 (Version 8.0) are used. It is quantified to what extent E39/C is able to reproduce the zonal and hemispherical large scale total ozone variations. The different representations of the hemispheric ozone variability indices are discussed. Summarizing the main differences of model and reference observations, we show that both indices, one and two, in E39/C are preferably too high in the Northern Hemisphere and preferably too low in the Southern Hemisphere. In the Northern Hemisphere, where the coincidence is generally better, E39/C produces a too strong planetary wave one activity in winter and spring as well as a too high interannual variability. For the Southern Hemisphere we conclude that model and observations differ significantly during the ozone hole season. In October and November amplitudes of wave number one and two are underestimated. This explains that E39/C exhibits a too stable polar vortex and a too low interannual variability of the ozone hole. Further, a strong negative bias of wave number one amplitudes in the tropics and subtropics from October to December is identified, which may also contribute to the zonal-symmetric polar vortex. The lack of wave two variability in October and November leads to weak vortex elongation and eventually a too late final warming. Contrary, too high wave number two amplitudes in July and August indicate why the polar vortex is formed too late in season by E39/C. In general, the hemispheric ozone variability indices can be regarded as a simple and robust approach to quantify differences in total ozone variability on a monthly mean basis. Therefore, the diagnostic represents a core diagnostic for model intercomparisons within the CCM Validation Activity for WCRP's (World Climate Research Programme) SPARC (Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate) regarding stratospheric dynamics.

Preliminary investigation of long-term changes in the stratospheric N2O abundances as a proxy for the Brewer-Dobson Circulation in a climate model, dynamical and chemical reanalyses and observations.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniele Minganti ◽  
Simon Chabrillat ◽  
Quentin Errera ◽  
Maxime Prignon ◽  
Emmanuel Mahieu
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Seasonal Cycle ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Swiss Alps ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Hemispheric Differences ◽  
Early Results ◽  
Long Term Trends

<p>The Brewer-Dobson Circulation (BDC) is a wintertime stratospheric circulation characterized by upwelling of tropospheric air in the tropics, poleward flow in the stratosphere, and downwelling at mid and high latitudes, with important implications for chemical tracer distributions, stratospheric heat and momentum budgets, and mass exchange with the troposphere. <br>Nitrous oxide (N2O) is continuously emitted in the troposphere, where has no sinks, and transported into the stratosphere, where is destroyed by photodissociaiton. The lifetime of N2O is approximately 100 years, which makes it an excellent long-lived tracer for transport studies in the stratosphere. <br>In this study, we investigate the long-term N2O changes in the stratosphere using a number a different datasets. We analyze the simulation from the state-of-the-art Chemistry-Climate Model WACCM (period: 1990-2014), together with the BASCOE Chemistry-Transport Model driven by five dynamical reanalyses (ERA5, ERA-Interim, JRA-55, MERRA, MERRA-2, period: 1996-2014), and the chemical reanalysis of Aura Microwave Limb Sounder version 3 (BRAM3, period: 2004-2013). We will also compare those gridded data to ground-based observations from Fourier transform infrared spectrometer at the Jungfraujoch station in the Swiss Alps. <br>The long-term trends of the N2O concentration are investigated using the Dynamic Linear Model (DLM). The DLM is a regression model based on the Bayesian inference, which allow fitting atmospheric data with four main components: a linear trend, a seasonal cycle, a number of proxies (solar cycle, ENSO, QBO ?) and an autoregressive process. DLM has the advantage that the trend and the seasonal and regression coefficients depend on time; DLM can therefore detect changes in the recovered trend, and modulations of the amplitude of the regressors with time. <br>Early results show that the datasets exhibit hemispheric differences in the long-term N2O changes in the lower stratosphere. In the Southern Hemisphere, the DLM fit of the N2O concentrations increases across the datasets, but the resulting trend is statistically significant only in limited regions of the stratosphere. In the Northern Hemisphere, the N2O fit does not change significantly in the considered period, resulting in a near-zero trend. These hemispheric differences are in line with previous studies of transport that identify different long-term trends of tracers and mean age of air between the hemispheres. <br>The fit through the DLM allows the amplitude of the seasonal cycle component to vary in time. Preliminary results indicate that the time variations depend on the hemisphere in the extra-tropical regions. In the Southern Hemisphere, the datasets generally show a constant amplitude of the seasonal cycle throughout the considered periods, with the largest values in the high latitudes in response to the polar vortex. In the Northern Hemisphere, the inter-annual variations of the seasonal cycle amplitude are stronger, with BRAM3 showing the largest modulations. In addition, larger differences arise in the amplitude of the seasonal component. WACCM simulates large amplitudes of the seasonal cycle, while the reanalyses show smaller values. <br>A more detailed analysis of the results will include ground-based observations, and the extension of the CTM runs to a longer period that matches the length of the WACCM run.</p>

scholarly journals Climatology of the mesopause relative density using a global distribution of meteor radars

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (11) ◽  
pp. 7567-7581 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen Yi ◽  
Xianghui Xue ◽  
Iain M. Reid ◽  
Damian J. Murphy ◽  
Chris M. Hall ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Relative Density ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Latitudinal Variation ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Meteor Radar ◽  
Intraseasonal Variation ◽  
Spring Equinox ◽  
Spatial Coverage ◽  
Low Latitudes ◽  
Variation Characteristics

Abstract. The existing distribution of meteor radars located from high- to low-latitude regions provides a favorable temporal and spatial coverage for investigating the climatology of the global mesopause density. In this study, we report the climatology of the mesopause relative density estimated using multiyear observations from nine meteor radars, namely, the Davis Station (68.6∘ S, 77.9∘ E), Svalbard (78.3∘ N, 16∘ E) and Tromsø (69.6∘ N, 19.2∘ E) meteor radars located at high latitudes; the Mohe (53.5∘ N, 122.3∘ E), Beijing (40.3∘ N, 116.2∘ E), Mengcheng (33.4∘ N, 116.6∘ E) and Wuhan (30.5∘ N, 114.6∘ E) meteor radars located in the midlatitudes; and the Kunming (25.6∘ N, 103.8∘ E) and Darwin (12.3∘ S, 130.8∘ E) meteor radars located at low latitudes. The daily mean relative density was estimated using ambipolar diffusion coefficients derived from the meteor radars and temperatures from the Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) on board the Aura satellite. The seasonal variations in the Davis Station meteor radar relative densities in the southern polar mesopause are mainly dominated by an annual oscillation (AO). The mesopause relative densities observed by the Svalbard and Tromsø meteor radars at high latitudes and the Mohe and Beijing meteor radars at high midlatitudes in the Northern Hemisphere show mainly an AO and a relatively weak semiannual oscillation (SAO). The mesopause relative densities observed by the Mengcheng and Wuhan meteor radars at lower midlatitudes and the Kunming and Darwin meteor radars at low latitudes show mainly an AO. The SAO is evident in the Northern Hemisphere, especially at high latitudes, and its largest amplitude, which is detected at the Tromsø meteor radar, is comparable to the AO amplitudes. These observations indicate that the mesopause relative densities over the southern and northern high latitudes exhibit a clear seasonal asymmetry. The maxima of the yearly variations in the mesopause relative densities display a clear latitudinal variation across the spring equinox as the latitude decreases; these latitudinal variation characteristics may be related to latitudinal changes influenced by gravity wave forcing. In addition to an AO, the mesopause relative densities over low latitudes also clearly show an intraseasonal variation with a periodicity of 30–60 d.

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