scholarly journals Development and external validation of a nomogram for predicting the effect of tumor size on cancer-specific survival of resected gallbladder cancer: a population-based study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaodong Zhang ◽  
Tao Zhou ◽  
Sheng Han ◽  
Jiang Chang ◽  
Wangjie Jiang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gallbladder Cancer ◽  
Tumor Size ◽  
External Validation ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cancer Specific Survival ◽  
Population Based Study

scholarly journals Endoscopic and Surgical Treatment of T1N0M0 Colorectal Neuroendocrine Tumors: A Population-Based Comparative Study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanlong Zhu ◽  
Si Zhao ◽  
Kun Ji ◽  
Wei Wu ◽  
Jian Zhou ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neuroendocrine Tumors ◽  
Tumor Size ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Treatment Modalities ◽  
Cancer Specific Survival ◽  
Term Survival ◽  
Population Based Study

Abstract Background: With the rapid advances in endoscopic technology, endoscopic therapy (ET) is increasingly applied to the treatment of small (≤20 mm) colorectal neuroendocrine tumors (NETs). However, long-term data comparing ET and surgery for management of T1N0M0 colorectal NETs are lacking. The purpose of this work was to compare overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of such patients with ET or surgery.Methods: Patients with T1N0M0 colorectal NETs were identified within the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database (2004-2016). Demographics, tumor characteristics, therapeutic methods, and survival were compared. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used 1:3 and among this cohort, Cox proportional hazards regression models were performed to evaluate correlation between treatment and outcomes.Results: Of 4487 patients with T1N0M0 colorectal NETs, 1125 were identified in the matched cohort, among whom 819 (72.8%) underwent ET and 306 (27.2%) underwent surgery. There was no difference in the 5-year and 10-year OS and CSS rates between the 2 treatment modalities. Likewise, analyses stratified by tumor size and site showed that patients did not benefit more from surgery compared with ET. Moreover, multivariate analyses found no significant differences in OS [Hazard Ratio (HR) = 0.857, 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 0.513–1.431, P = 0.555] and CSS (HR = 0.925, 95% CI: 0.282–3.040, P = 0.898) between the 2 groups. Similar results were observed when comparisons were limited to patients with different tumor size and site.Conclusions: In this population-based study, patients treated endoscopically had comparable long-term survival compared with those treated surgically, which demonstrates ET as an alternative to surgery in T1N0M0 colorectal NETs.

scholarly journals Development and external validation of a nomogram for predicting the effect of tumor size on cancer specific survival of resected gallbladder cancer: a population-based study.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaodong Zhang ◽  
Tao Zhou ◽  
Sheng Han ◽  
Yirui Wang ◽  
Jiang Chang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gallbladder Cancer ◽  
Tumor Size ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
External Validation ◽  
Optimal Cutoff ◽  
Cancer Specific Survival ◽  
Discrimination Power ◽  
Term Survival ◽  
Cutoff Value ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Background & Aims: The impact of tumor size on account of the long-term survival results in gallbladder cancer (GBC) patients has been controversial. It is urgent necessary to identify the optimal cutoff value of tumor size in resected GBC, and we attempted to integrate tumor size with other prognostic factors into a prognostic nomogram to predict the cancer-specific survival (CSS) of GBC patients. Methods 1639 patients with resected GBC were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. X-tile program was used to identify the optimal cutoff value of tumor size. A nomogram including tumor size was established to predict 1-, 3- and 5-year CSS based on the independent risk factors chosen by univariate and multivariable cox analyses. The precision of the nomogram for predicting survival was validated with Harrell’s concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) internally and externally. Results Patients with GBC were classified into 1–13 mm, 14–63 mm and 64 mm subgroup based on the optimal cutoff for tumor size in terms of CSS. The nomogram according to the independent factors was well calibrated and displayed better discrimination power than 7th Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) stage systems. Conclusions The results demonstrated that increased tumor size is closely associated with the worse CSS. Our novel nomogram, which outperforms the conventional TNM staging system, showed satisfactory accuracy and clinically practicality for predicting the outcome of resected GBC patients.

scholarly journals Comparing the characteristics and predicting the survival of patients with head and neck melanoma versus body melanoma: a population-based study

BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuxin Ding ◽  
Runyi Jiang ◽  
Yuhong Chen ◽  
Jing Jing ◽  
Xiaoshuang Yang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Head And Neck ◽  
Health Management ◽  
External Validation ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Survival Prediction ◽  
Cancer Specific Survival ◽  
Cox Models ◽  
Lentigo Maligna Melanoma ◽  
Clinical Tools

Abstract Background Previous studies reported cutaneous melanoma in head and neck (HNM) differed from those in other regions (body melanoma, BM). Individualized tools to predict the survival of patients with HNM or BM remain insufficient. We aimed at comparing the characteristics of HNM and BM, developing and validating nomograms for predicting the survival of patients with HNM or BM. Methods The information of patients with HNM or BM from 2004 to 2015 was obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The HNM group and BM group were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts. We used the Kaplan-Meier method and multivariate Cox models to identify independent prognostic factors. Nomograms were developed via the rms and dynnom packages, and were measured by the concordance index (C-index), the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration plots. Results Of 70,605 patients acquired, 21% had HNM and 79% had BM. The HNM group contained more older patients, male sex and lentigo maligna melanoma, and more frequently had thicker tumors and metastases than the BM group. The 5-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) rates were 88.1 ± 0.3% and 74.4 ± 0.4% in the HNM group and 92.5 ± 0.1% and 85.8 ± 0.2% in the BM group, respectively. Eight variables (age, sex, histology, thickness, ulceration, stage, metastases, and surgery) were identified to construct nomograms of CSS and OS for patients with HNM or BM. Additionally, four dynamic nomograms were available on web. The internal and external validation of each nomogram showed high C-index values (0.785–0.896) and AUC values (0.81–0.925), and the calibration plots showed great consistency. Conclusions The characteristics of HNM and BM are heterogeneous. We constructed and validated four nomograms for predicting the 3-, 5- and 10-year CSS and OS probabilities of patients with HNM or BM. These nomograms can serve as practical clinical tools for survival prediction and individual health management.

scholarly journals Survival predictors of metastatic angiosarcomas: a surveillance, epidemiology, and end results program population-based retrospective study

BMC Cancer ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shihong Ren ◽  
Yucheng Wang ◽  
Zhan Wang ◽  
Jinxiang Shao ◽  
Zhaoming Ye
Keyword(s):  
Tumor Size ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Radiation Treatment ◽  
Tumor Grade ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cancer Specific Survival ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Metastatic Sites ◽  
Survival Predictors ◽  
End Results

Abstract Background Angiosarcomas (AS) have poor prognosis and often metastasize to distant sites. The potential predictors of metastatic angiosarcomas (MAS) have not been extensively investigated. The main objective of this study was to identify survival predictors of MAS. Methods Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) datasets were used to identify patients with MAS from 2010 to 2016. Risk predictors were determined with the aid of Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression model analyses. Results A total of 284 MAS patients met the study entry criteria. Among these, 121 patients (42.6%) were diagnosed with metastasis in bone, 26 in brain (9.2%), 86 in liver (30.3%) and 171 in lung (60.2%). Overall, 96 patients (33.8%) had two or more metastatic sites. The 1- and 3-year overall survival (OS) rates were 20.8 and 3.8% while 1- and 3-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) rates were 22.0 and 5.2%, respectively. Cox regression analysis revealed chemotherapy, radiation treatment (RT) and tumor size ≤10 cm as independent favorable predictors of OS. In terms of CSS, tumor grade IV, tumor size > 10 cm and absence of chemotherapy were independent adverse predictors. Surgery did not prolong survival outcomes (both OS and CSS) in the current cohort. Conclusion MAS is associated with extremely poor survival. Chemotherapy, RT, and tumor size are independent predictors of OS. Chemotherapy and tumor size are independent prognostic factors of CSS. Chemotherapy is therefore recommended as the preferred treatment option for MAS patients.

scholarly journals Time Trends and Prognostic Factors for Overall Survival in Myxoid Liposarcomas: A Population-Based Study

Sarcoma ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Jules Lansu ◽  
Winan J. Van Houdt ◽  
Michael Schaapveld ◽  
Iris Walraven ◽  
Michiel A. J. Van de Sande ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
The Netherlands ◽  
Metastatic Disease ◽  
Lower Limb ◽  
Tumor Size ◽  
Tumor Location ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Population Based Study ◽  
Over Time

Background. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the overall survival (OS) and associated characteristics for patients with Myxoid Liposarcoma (MLS) over time in The Netherlands. Methods. A population-based study was performed of patients with primary localized (n = 851) and metastatic (n = 50) MLS diagnosed in The Netherlands between 1989 and 2016, based on data from the National Cancer Registry. Results. The median age of the MLS patients was 49 years, and approximately two-thirds was located in the lower limb. An association was revealed between age and the risk of having a Round Cell (RC) tumor. OS rates for primary localized MLS were 93%, 83%, 78%, and 66% after 1, 3, 5, and 10 years, respectively. The median OS for patients with metastatic disease at diagnosis was 10 months. Increasing age (Hazard Ratio (HR) 1.05, p=0.00), a tumor size >5 cm (HR 2.18; p=0.00), and tumor location (trunk HR 1.29; p=0.09, upper limb HR 0.83; p=0.55, and “other” locations HR 2.73; p=0.00, as compared to lower limb) were independent prognostic factors for OS. The percentage of patients treated with radiotherapy (RT) increased over time, and preoperative RT gradually replaced postoperative RT. In contrast to patients with localized disease, significant improvement of OS was observed in patients with metastatic disease over time. Conclusions. In this large nationwide cohort, tumor size and tumor location were independent prognostic factors for OS. Furthermore, a higher probability of an RC tumor with increasing age was suggested. An increased use of RT over the years did not translate into improved OS for localized MLS.

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