scholarly journals Nonlinear parsimonious forest modeling assuming normal distribution of residuals

Author(s):  
Bogdan M. Strimbu ◽  
Alexandru Amarioarei ◽  
Mihaela Paun

AbstractTo avoid the transformation of the dependent variable, which introduces bias when back-transformed, complex nonlinear forest models have the parameters estimated with heuristic techniques, which can supply erroneous values. The solution for accurate nonlinear models provided by Strimbu et al. (Ecosphere 8:e01945, 2017) for 11 functions (i.e., power, trigonometric, and hyperbolic) is not based on heuristics but could contain a Taylor series expansion. Therefore, the objectives of the present study are to present the unbiased estimates for variance following the transformation of the predicted variable and to identify an expansion of the Taylor series that does not induce numerical bias for mean and variance. We proved that the Taylor series expansion present in the unbiased expectation of mean and variance depends on the variance. We illustrated the new modeling approach on two problems, one at the ecosystem level, namely site productivity, and one at individual tree level, namely stem taper. The two models are unbiased, more parsimonious, and more precise than the existing less parsimonious models. This study focuses on research methods, which could be applied in similar studies of other species, ecosystem, as well as in behavioral sciences and econometrics.

Forests ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 458
Author(s):  
Alexandru Amarioarei ◽  
Mihaela Paun ◽  
Bogdan Strimbu

The parameters of nonlinear forest models are commonly estimated with heuristic techniques, which can supply erroneous values. The use of heuristic algorithms is partially rooted in the avoidance of transformation of the dependent variable, which introduces bias when back-transformed to original units. Efforts were placed in computing the unbiased estimates for some of the power, trigonometric, and hyperbolic functions since only few transformations of the predicted variable have the corrections for bias estimated. The approach that supplies unbiased results when the dependent variable is transformed without heuristic algorithms, but based on a Taylor series expansion requires implementation details. Therefore, the objective of our study is to investigate the efficient expansion of the Taylor series that should be included in applications, such that numerical bias is not present. We found that five functions require more than five terms, whereas the arcsine, arccosine, and arctangent did not. Furthermore, the Taylor series expansion depends on the variance. We illustrated the results on two forest modeling problems, one at the stand level, namely site productivity, and one at individual tree level, namely taper. The models that are presented in the paper are unbiased, more parsimonious, and they have a RMSE comparable with existing less parsimonious models.


Author(s):  
Ruifei Peng ◽  
Haitian Yang ◽  
Yanni Xue

A package solution is presented for the full-scale bounds estimation of temperature in the nonlinear transient heat transfer problems with small or large uncertainties. When the interval scale is relatively small, an efficient Taylor series expansion-based bounds estimation of temperature is stressed on the acquirement of first and second-order derivatives of temperature with high fidelity. When the interval scale is relatively large, an optimization-based approach in conjunction with a dimension-adaptive sparse grid (DSG) surrogate is developed for the bounds estimation of temperature, and the heavy computational burden of repeated deterministic solutions of nonlinear transient heat transfer problems can be efficiently alleviated by the DSG surrogate. A temporally piecewise adaptive algorithm with high fidelity is employed to gain the deterministic solution of temperature, and is further developed for recursive adaptive computing of the first and second-order derivatives of temperature. Therefore, the implementation of Taylor series expansion and the construction of DSG surrogate are underpinned by a reliable numerical platform. The parallelization is utilized for the construction of DSG surrogate for further acceleration. The accuracy and efficiency of the proposed approaches are demonstrated by two numerical examples.


Sensors ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (10) ◽  
pp. 3242 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ke Wei Zhang ◽  
Gang Hao ◽  
Shu Li Sun

The multi-sensor information fusion particle filter (PF) has been put forward for nonlinear systems with correlated noises. The proposed algorithm uses the Taylor series expansion method, which makes the nonlinear measurement functions have a linear relationship by the intermediary function. A weighted measurement fusion PF (WMF-PF) was put forward for systems with correlated noises by applying the full rank decomposition and the weighted least square theory. Compared with the augmented optimal centralized fusion particle filter (CF-PF), it could greatly reduce the amount of calculation. Moreover, it showed asymptotic optimality as the Taylor series expansion increased. The simulation examples illustrate the effectiveness and correctness of the proposed algorithm.


2017 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 199-214
Author(s):  
S.P. Vijayalakshmi ◽  
T.V. Sudharsan ◽  
Daniel Breaz ◽  
K.G. Subramanian

Abstract Let A be the class of analytic functions f(z) in the unit disc ∆ = {z ∈ C : |z| < 1g with the Taylor series expansion about the origin given by f(z) = z+ ∑n=2∞ anzn, z ∈∆ : The focus of this paper is on deriving upper bounds for the third order Hankel determinant H3(1) for two new subclasses of A.


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