scholarly journals Prognostic value of histopathological DCIS features in a large-scale international interrater reliability study

2020 ◽  
Vol 183 (3) ◽  
pp. 759-770
Author(s):  
Emma J. Groen ◽  
◽  
Jan Hudecek ◽  
Lennart Mulder ◽  
Maartje van Seijen ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose For optimal management of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS), reproducible histopathological assessment is essential to distinguish low-risk from high-risk DCIS. Therefore, we analyzed interrater reliability of histopathological DCIS features and assessed their associations with subsequent ipsilateral invasive breast cancer (iIBC) risk. Methods Using a case-cohort design, reliability was assessed in a population-based, nationwide cohort of 2767 women with screen-detected DCIS diagnosed between 1993 and 2004, treated by breast-conserving surgery with/without radiotherapy (BCS ± RT) using Krippendorff’s alpha (KA) and Gwet’s AC2 (GAC2). Thirty-eight raters scored histopathological DCIS features including grade (2-tiered and 3-tiered), growth pattern, mitotic activity, periductal fibrosis, and lymphocytic infiltrate in 342 women. Using majority opinion-based scores for each feature, their association with subsequent iIBC risk was assessed using Cox regression. Results Interrater reliability of grade using various classifications was fair to moderate, and only substantial for grade 1 versus 2 + 3 when using GAC2 (0.78). Reliability for growth pattern (KA 0.44, GAC2 0.78), calcifications (KA 0.49, GAC2 0.70) and necrosis (KA 0.47, GAC2 0.70) was moderate using KA and substantial using GAC2; for (type of) periductal fibrosis and lymphocytic infiltrate fair to moderate estimates were found and for mitotic activity reliability was substantial using GAC2 (0.70). Only in patients treated with BCS-RT, high mitotic activity was associated with a higher iIBC risk in univariable analysis (Hazard Ratio (HR) 2.53, 95% Confidence Interval (95% CI) 1.05–6.11); grade 3 versus 1 + 2 (HR 2.64, 95% CI 1.35–5.14) and a cribriform/solid versus flat epithelial atypia/clinging/(micro)papillary growth pattern (HR 3.70, 95% CI 1.34–10.23) were independently associated with a higher iIBC risk. Conclusions Using majority opinion-based scores, DCIS grade, growth pattern, and mitotic activity are associated with iIBC risk in patients treated with BCS-RT, but interrater variability is substantial. Semi-quantitative grading, incorporating and separately evaluating nuclear pleomorphism, growth pattern, and mitotic activity, may improve the reliability and prognostic value of these features.

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xi Jiao ◽  
Xin Wei ◽  
Shuang Li ◽  
Chang Liu ◽  
Huan Chen ◽  
...  

AbstractThe association between genetic variations and immunotherapy benefit has been widely recognized, while such evidence in gastrointestinal cancer remains limited. We analyzed the genomic profile of 227 immunotherapeutic gastrointestinal cancer patients treated with immunotherapy, from the Memorial Sloan Kettering (MSK) Cancer Center cohort. A gastrointestinal immune prognostic signature (GIPS) was constructed using LASSO Cox regression. Based on this signature, patients were classified into two subgroups with distinctive prognoses (p < 0.001). The prognostic value of the GIPS was consistently validated in the Janjigian and Pender cohort (N = 54) and Peking University Cancer Hospital cohort (N = 92). Multivariate analysis revealed that the GIPS was an independent prognostic biomarker. Notably, the GIPS-high tumor was indicative of a T-cell-inflamed phenotype and immune activation. The findings demonstrated that GIPS was a powerful predictor of immunotherapeutic survival in gastrointestinal cancer and may serve as a potential biomarker guiding immunotherapy treatment decisions.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
P Milani ◽  
G Cavenaghi ◽  
L Obici ◽  
R Mussinelli ◽  
C Klersy ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Skeletal scintigraphy with bone tracers is a key tool for cardiac ATTR diagnosis. However its prognostic value has not been systematically assessed. Purpose We evaluated the prognostic relevance of a quantitative method to assess regional 99mTc-DPD uptake by SPECT in the heart of ATTRwt patients. Methods All ATTRwt patients (n=229) undergoing clinical assessment and bone scintigraphy at our center (from 2012 to 2019) were enrolled. Theyreceived approximately 700 MBq of 99mTc-DPD. Planar whole body acquisition 10' after the injection followed by cardiac SPECT after 3 hours were performed. SPECT data were reconstructed into 64x64 matrices with an ordered-subset expectation maximization algorithm. For each wall region and for the apex, a circular region of interest (ROI, 20 pixels) was manually drawn and a value equating to the number of counts contained in the ROI was obtained. Partial correlation of ln-transformed ROI and biomarkers was retrieved from a multivariable regression model, while controlling for each cardiac wall region. Multivariable Cox regression was used to assess the prognostic role of lnROI while adjusting for wall region, NT-proBNP, cTnI and eGFR. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (HR, 95% CI) were computed. The Harrell's c statistic was reported for model discrimination. The interaction of biomarker and regional wall on survival was assessed; also, to account for intra-subject correlation of measures, within subject robust standard errors were computed. Results Median follow-up was 21 months (IQR 11, 40) and 39 (17%) patients died. Median age was 76 years (IQR, 72–80), NT-proBNP 2944 ng/L (IQR, 1815–5319), cTnI 0.095 ng/L (IQR, 0.062–0.144) and eGFR 62 mL/min (IQR, 51–77). ROI did not correlate with any of NT-proBNP, eGFR, age, cTnI or mLVWT (R&lt;1% in all cases). All analyses were adjusted for cardiac wall. At the multivariable Cox regression (Harrell's c=0.75), there was a linear increase in the risk of death associated with lnROI (HR 2.14, P=0.014), which was independent of cardiac wall region, NTproBNP, cTnI and eGFR. Only cTnI maintained a significant prognostic value. The association of lnROI and mortality was not modified by the site of measurement test for interaction with cardiac wall p=0.818). At the predefined subgroup analysis, the risk of death was similar for all walls; we computed the optimal cut-off for 12 months survival at the apex (a region usually lately involved) to 4193 (AUC: 0.68, sensitivity 80%, specificity 68%). At the multivariable Cox regression (Harrell's c 0.76), apex ROI&gt;4193 was an independent predictor of death (HR 3.60, 95% CI 1.45–8.93, p=0.006) and outperformed all the biomarkers tested. Conclusions Quantitative assessment of ROI uptake at cardiac SPECT is a powerful predictor of survival in ATTRwt patients, independent of and outperforming the other known prognostic factors. This observation warrants validation with prolonged follow-up and in independent patient series. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


Blood ◽  
1983 ◽  
Vol 61 (5) ◽  
pp. 867-870 ◽  
Author(s):  
CW Jackson ◽  
GV Dahl

Abstract Small megakaryocytes are frequently seen in patients with acute nonlymphocytic leukemia (ANLL). In this study, median megakaryocyte diameters were determined in marrow biopsy specimens of 32 children at diagnosis of ANLL and related to platelet count and chemotherapeutic response. The association between median megakaryocyte size and time-to- failure was striking. Seven of 9 patients with median megakaryocyte diameters greater than 20 microns remain in continuous complete remission for more than 3 yr, whereas 20 of 23 patients with smaller median megakaryocyte diameters failed therapy within 15 mo (p = 0.002). By Cox-regression analysis, megakaryocyte size had independent prognostic value (p less than 0.001), surpassing that of spleen size, the only other feature having significant association with time-to- failure. Megakaryocyte size at diagnosis may be useful for predicting the likelihood of prolonged complete remission in ANLL.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 2266
Author(s):  
Matthias Schneider ◽  
Varius Dannenberg ◽  
Andreas König ◽  
Welf Geller ◽  
Thomas Binder ◽  
...  

Background: Presence of severe tricuspid regurgitation (TR) has a significant impact on assessment of right ventricular function (RVF) in transthoracic echocardiography (TTE). High trans-valvular pendulous volume leads to backward-unloading of the right ventricle. Consequently, established cut-offs for normal systolic performance may overestimate true systolic RVF. Methods: A retrospective analysis was performed entailing all patients who underwent TTE at our institution between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2016. Only patients with normal left ventricular systolic function and with no other valvular lesion were included. All recorded loops were re-read by one experienced examiner. Patients without severe TR (defined as vena contracta width ≥7 mm) were excluded. All-cause 2-year mortality was chosen as the end-point. The prognostic value of several RVF parameters was tested. Results: The final cohort consisted of 220 patients, 88/220 (40%) were male. Median age was 69 years (IQR 52–79), all-cause two-year mortality was 29%, median TAPSE was 19 mm (15–22) and median FAC was 42% (30–52). In multivariate analysis, TAPSE with the cutoff 17 mm and FAC with the cutoff 35% revealed non-significant hazard ratios (HR) of 0.75 (95%CI 0.396–1.421, p = 0.38) and 0.845 (95%CI 0.383–1.867, p = 0.68), respectively. TAPSE with the cutoff 19 mm and visual eyeballing significantly predicted survival with HRs of 0.512 (95%CI 0.296–0.886, p = 0.017) and 1.631 (95%CI 1.101–2.416, p = 0.015), respectively. Conclusions: This large-scale all-comer study confirms that RVF is one of the main drivers of mortality in patients with severe isolated TR. However, the current cut-offs for established echocardiographic parameters did not predict survival. Further studies should investigate the prognostic value of higher thresholds for RVF parameters in these patients.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Belkin ◽  
D Wussler ◽  
I Strebel ◽  
E Michou ◽  
N Kozhuharov ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Previous studies have shown the prognostic value of health-related quality of life (HRQL) in stable and ambulatory chronic heart failure patients. However, it is unknown whether HRQL can predict all-cause mortality in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) after acute onset of symptoms. In order to address this unmet need, the aim of this study was to assess the prognostic value of HRQL in patients with acute dyspnea caused by acute heart failure (AHF) and other dyspnea aetiologies for 360-day mortality. Purpose To assess prognostic value of HRQL using the generic EQ-5D and visual analogue scale (EQ VAS) in patients with acute dyspnea. Methods Basics in Acute Shortness of Breath EvaLuation (BASEL V) is a prospective, multicenter, diagnostic study enrolling adult patients presenting with acute dyspnea to the ED. For this analysis, only patients with a complete set of variables necessary for calculation of EQ-5D (range 0–10; with higher score indicating worse HRQL) and EQ VAS (range 0–100; with 100 being the best imaginable health state) at baseline were included. The endpoint was the prognostic value of EQ-5D and EQ VAS at 360 days of follow-up regarding all-cause death. Prognostic accuracy was calculated using c-statistics. In a cox regression analysis EQ-5D was treated as both, a continuous and categorical variable. Adjustments were made for clinically relevant covariates (age, sex, orthopnoea, edema, level of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) at presentation, history of coronary artery disease and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diuretics, β-blockers and ACE-inhibitors at discharge). Results Among 2605 patients enrolled, 1141 (43,8%) had a complete set of variables allowing the calculation of EQ-5D and EQ VAS. Of these patients 594 (52.1%) had an adjudicated final diagnosis of AHF. 211 (18.5%) patients died within 360 days of follow-up. Median EQ-5D was 3 (interquartile range (IQR) 1.5–5) and median EQ VAS was 50 (IQR 40–70). The prognostic accuracy for 360-day mortality was 0.65 (95% confidence interval ((CI) 0.61–0.69) and 0.58 (95% CI 0.54–0.62) for EQ-5D and EQ VAS, respectively (p=0.002). After combining EQ-5D and EQ VAS in a logistic regression model c-statistics regarding all-cause mortality within 360 days did not improve. The prognostic accuracy of EQ-5D was comparable to that of NT-proBNP (c-statistics 0.69, p=0.385). In an adjusted cox regression analysis the hazard ratio for patients with EQ-5D &gt;4 was 2.2 (95% CI 1.7–2.9; p&lt;0.001). Conclusions In patients presenting with acute dyspnea HRQL is a strong prognostic instrument. Independently of the aetiology of the dyspnea the prognostic value of the generic EQ-5D for 360-day mortality is comparable to NT-proBNP. Patients with an EQ-5D &gt;4 are at significantly higher risk for mortality within 360 days. Figure 1. Prognostic value of HRQL Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Swiss National Science Foundation, Swiss Heart Foundation


2009 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 62-67 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valentina Zipoli ◽  
Benedetta Goretti ◽  
Bahia Hakiki ◽  
Gianfranco Siracusa ◽  
Sandro Sorbi ◽  
...  

Significant cognitive impairment has been found in 20—30% of patients with clinically isolated syndromes suggestive of multiple sclerosis. In this study we aimed to assess the prognostic value of the presence of cognitive impairment for the conversion to multiple sclerosis in patients with clinically isolated syndromes. All patients with clinically isolated syndromes consecutively referred to our centre since 2002 and who had been followed-up for at least one year underwent cognitive assessment through the Rao’s Battery and the Stroop test. Possible predictors of conversion to clinically definite multiple sclerosis were evaluated through the Kaplan Meier curves and Cox regression analysis. A total of 56 patients (41 women; age 33.2 ± 8.5 years; expanded disability scale score 1.2 ± 0.7) were recruited. At baseline, 32 patients (57%) fulfilled McDonald’s criteria for dissemination in space. During the follow-up (3.5 ± 2.3 years), 26 patients (46%) converted to a diagnosis of multiple sclerosis. In particular, 64% of patients failing ≥ 2 tests and 88% of patients failing ≥ 3 tests converted to multiple sclerosis. In the Cox regression model, the failure of at least three tests (HR 3.3; 95% CI 1.4—8.1; p = 0.003) and the presence of McDonald’s dissemination in space at baseline (HR 3.8; 95% CI 1.5—9.7; p = 0.005), were found to be predictors for conversion to multiple sclerosis. We conclude that cognitive impairment is detectable in a sizable proportion of patients with clinically isolated syndromes. In these subjects cognitive impairment has a prognostic value in predicting conversion to multiple sclerosis and may therefore play a role in therapeutic decision making.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
S.O Troebs ◽  
A Zitz ◽  
S Schwuchow-Thonke ◽  
A Schulz ◽  
M.W Heidorn ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Global longitudinal strain (GLS) demonstrated a superior prognostic value over left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in acute heart failure (HF). Its prognostic value across American Heart Association (AHA) stages of HF – especially under considering of conventional echocardiographic measures of systolic and diastolic function – has not yet been comprehensively evaluated. Purpose To evaluate the prognostic value of GLS for HF-specific outcome across AHA HF stages A to D. Methods Data from the MyoVasc-Study (n=3,289) were analysed. Comprehensive clinical phenotyping was performed during a five-hour investigation in a dedicated study centre. GLS was measured offline utilizing QLab 9.0.1 (PHILIPS, Germany) in participants presenting with sinus rhythm during echocardiography. Worsening of HF (comprising transition from asymptomatic to symptomatic HF, HF hospitalization, and cardiac death) was assessed during a structured follow-up with subsequent validation and adjudication of endpoints. AHA stages were defined according to current guidelines. Results Complete information on GLS was available in 2,400 participants of whom 2,186 categorized to AHA stage A to D were available for analysis. Overall, 434 individuals were classified as AHA stage A, 629 as stage B and 1,123 as stage C/D. Mean GLS increased across AHA stages of HF: it was lowest in stage A (−19.44±3.15%), −18.01±3.46% in stage B and highest in AHA stage C/D (−15.52±4.64%, P for trend &lt;0.0001). During a follow-up period of 3.0 [1.3/4.0] years, GLS denoted an increased risk for worsening of HF after adjustment for age and sex (hazard ratio, HRGLS [per standard deviation (SD)] 1.97 [95% confidence interval 1.73/2.23], P&lt;0.0001) in multivariable Cox regression analysis. After additional adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, clinical profile, LVEF and E/E' ratio, GLS was the strongest echocardiographic predictor of worsening of HF (HRGLS [per SD] 1.47 [1.20/1.80], P=0.0002) in comparison to LVEF (HRLVEF [per SD] 1.23 [1.02/1.48], P=0.031) and E/E' ratio (HRE/E' [per SD] 1.12 [0.99/1.26], P=0.083). Interestingly, when stratifying for AHA stages, GLS denoted a similar increased risk for worsening of HF in individuals classified as AHA stage A/B (HRGLS [per SD] 1.63 [1.02/2.61], P=0.039) and in those classified as AHA stage C/D (HRGLS [per SD] 1.95 [1.65/2.29], P&lt;0.0001) after adjustment for age and sex. For further evaluation, Cox regression models with interaction analysis indicated no significant interaction for (i) AHA stage A/B vs C/D (P=0.83) and (ii) NYHA functional class &lt;II vs ≥II in individuals classified as AHA stage C/D (P=0.12). Conclusions GLS demonstrated a higher predictive value for worsening of HF than conventional echocardiographic measures of systolic and diastolic function. Interestingly, GLS indicated an increased risk for worsening of HF across AHA stages highlighting its potential value to advance risk prediction in chronic HF. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), Center for Translational Vascular Biology (CTVB) of the University Medical Center of the Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz


2001 ◽  
Vol 125 (2) ◽  
pp. 274-277
Author(s):  
Michael R. Pins ◽  
Steven C. Campbell ◽  
William B. Laskin ◽  
Karen Steinbronn ◽  
Daniel P. Dalton

Abstract We report 2 cases of solitary fibrous tumor of the prostate. Histologically, both tumors demonstrated a multipatterned architecture with varying degrees of collagenization and hemangiopericytoma-like foci, and both were composed of CD34-immunopositive spindled cells that insinuated themselves between strips of collagen. The tumor in case 1 was well circumscribed and showed minimal mitotic activity or pleomorphism, whereas the tumor in case 2 was more cellular, less collagenous, had a more diffuse growth pattern, and exhibited cytologic atypia and high mitotic activity. Prostatic solitary fibrous tumor must be distinguished from other spindle cell tumors reported to occur in the prostate. To our knowledge, these cases represent only the fifth and sixth reported cases of prostatic solitary fibrous tumor.


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