Predictors of poor outcomes among patients of acute methanol intoxication with particular reference to Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score

Author(s):  
Asmaa Fady Sharif ◽  
Mahdi Riyadh AlAmeer ◽  
Duhaim Saad AlSubaie ◽  
Naser Husam Alarfaj ◽  
Mubarak Khalifah AlDawsari ◽  
...  
2021 ◽  
Vol 49 (5) ◽  
pp. 030006052110119
Author(s):  
Shuai Zheng ◽  
Jun Lyu ◽  
Didi Han ◽  
Fengshuo Xu ◽  
Chengzhuo Li ◽  
...  

Objective This study aimed to identify the prognostic factors of patients with first-time acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and to establish a nomogram for prognostic modeling. Methods We studied 985 patients with first-time AMI using data from the Multi-parameter Intelligent Monitoring for Intensive Care database and extracted their demographic data. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine outcome-related variables. We also tested a new predictive model that includes the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and compared it with the SOFA-only model. Results An older age, higher SOFA score, and higher Acute Physiology III score were risk factors for the prognosis of AMI. The risk of further cardiovascular events was 1.54-fold higher in women than in men. Patients in the cardiac surgery intensive care unit had a better prognosis than those in the coronary heart disease intensive care unit. Pressurized drug use was a protective factor and the risk of further cardiovascular events was 1.36-fold higher in nonusers. Conclusion The prognosis of AMI is affected by age, the SOFA score, the Acute Physiology III score, sex, admission location, type of care unit, and vasopressin use. Our new predictive model for AMI has better performance than the SOFA model alone.


2018 ◽  
Vol 24 (9_suppl) ◽  
pp. 332S-339S
Author(s):  
Katsunori Mochizuki ◽  
Kotaro Mori ◽  
Yuta Nakamura ◽  
Ryo Uchimido ◽  
Hiroshi Kamijo ◽  
...  

It is unclear whether initial infection control or anticoagulant therapy exerts a greater effect on early changes in the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score among patients with sepsis-induced disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC). This retrospective propensity score cohort study aimed to evaluate whether adequacy of infection control or anticoagulation therapy had a greater effect on early changes in the SOFA scores among 52 patients with sepsis-induced DIC. Inadequate initial infection control was associated with a lower 28-day survival rate among patients with sepsis-induced DIC (odds ratio [OR]: 0.116, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.022-0.601; P = .010); however, the adequacy was not associated with an early improvement in the SOFA score. However, despite adjusting for inadequate initial infection control, administration of recombinant human soluble thrombomodulin was associated with an early improvement in the SOFA score (OR: 5.058, 95% CI: 1.047-24.450; P = .044). Therefore, early changes in the SOFA score within 48 hours after the DIC diagnosis were more strongly affected by the administration of recombinant human soluble thrombomodulin than the adequacy of initial infection control.


2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (8) ◽  
pp. 810-817 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tushar Gupta ◽  
Michael A. Puskarich ◽  
Elizabeth DeVos ◽  
Adnan Javed ◽  
Carmen Smotherman ◽  
...  

Objectives: Early organ dysfunction in sepsis confers a high risk of in-hospital mortality, but the relative contribution of specific types of organ failure to overall mortality is unclear. The objective of this study was to assess the predictive ability of individual types of organ failure to in-hospital mortality or prolonged intensive care. Methods: Retrospective cohort study of adult emergency department patients with sepsis from October 1, 2013, to November 10, 2015. Multivariable regression was used to assess the odds ratios of individual organ failure types for the outcomes of in-hospital death (primary) and in-hospital death or ICU stay ≥ 3 days (secondary). Results: Of 2796 patients, 283 (10%) experienced in-hospital mortality, and 748 (27%) experienced in-hospital mortality or an ICU stay ≥ 3 days. The following components of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score were most predictive of in-hospital mortality (descending order): coagulation (odds ratio [OR]: 1.60, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.32-1.93), hepatic (1.58, 95% CI: 1.32-1.90), respiratory (OR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.21-1.47), neurologic (OR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.07-1.35), renal (OR: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.02-1.27), and cardiovascular (OR: 1.13, 95% CI: 1.01-1.25). For mortality or ICU stay ≥3 days, the most predictive SOFA components were respiratory (OR: 1.97, 95% CI: 1.79-2.16), neurologic (OR: 1.72, 95% CI: 1.54-1.92), cardiovascular (OR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.23-1.54), coagulation (OR: 1.31, 95% CI: 1.10-1.55), and renal (OR: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.08-1.30) while hepatic SOFA (OR: 1.16, 95% CI: 0.98-1.37) did not reach statistical significance ( P = .092). Conclusion: In this retrospective study, SOFA score components demonstrated varying predictive abilities for mortality in sepsis. Elevated coagulation or hepatic SOFA scores were most predictive of in-hospital death, while an elevated respiratory SOFA was most predictive of death or ICU stay >3 days.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew M. Harrison ◽  
Hemang Yadav ◽  
Brian W. Pickering ◽  
Rodrigo Cartin-Ceba ◽  
Vitaly Herasevich

Purpose. To validate the use of a computer program for the automatic calculation of the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, as compared to the gold standard of manual chart review.Materials and Methods. Adult admissions (age > 18 years) to the medical ICU with a length of stay greater than 24 hours were studied in the setting of an academic tertiary referral center. A retrospective cross-sectional analysis was performed using a derivation cohort to compare automatic calculation of the SOFA score to the gold standard of manual chart review. After critical appraisal of sources of disagreement, another analysis was performed using an independent validation cohort. Then, a prospective observational analysis was performed using an implementation of this computer program in AWARE Dashboard, which is an existing real-time patient EMR system for use in the ICU.Results. Good agreement between the manual and automatic SOFA calculations was observed for both the derivation (N=94) and validation (N=268) cohorts: 0.02 ± 2.33 and 0.29 ± 1.75 points, respectively. These results were validated in AWARE (N=60).Conclusion. This EMR-based automatic tool accurately calculates SOFA scores and can facilitate ICU decisions without the need for manual data collection. This tool can also be employed in a real-time electronic environment.


2010 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 277-284 ◽  
Author(s):  
Colin K. Grissom ◽  
Samuel M. Brown ◽  
Kathryn G. Kuttler ◽  
Jonathan P. Boltax ◽  
Jason Jones ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTObjective: The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score has been recommended for triage during a mass influx of critically ill patients, but it requires laboratory measurement of 4 parameters, which may be impractical with constrained resources. We hypothesized that a modified SOFA (MSOFA) score that requires only 1 laboratory measurement would predict patient outcome as effectively as the SOFA score.Methods: After a retrospective derivation in a prospective observational study in a 24-bed medical, surgical, and trauma intensive care unit, we determined serial SOFA and MSOFA scores on all patients admitted during the 2008 calendar year and compared the ability to predict mortality and the need for mechanical ventilation.Results: A total of 1770 patients (56% male patients) with a 30-day mortality of 10.5% were included in the study. Day 1 SOFA and MSOFA scores performed equally well at predicting mortality with an area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.83 (95% confidence interval 0.81-.85) and 0.84 (95% confidence interval 0.82-.85), respectively (P = .33 for comparison). Day 3 SOFA and MSOFA predicted mortality for the 828 patients remaining in the intensive care unit with an AUC of 0.78 and 0.79, respectively. Day 5 scores performed less well at predicting mortality. Day 1 SOFA and MSOFA predicted the need for mechanical ventilation on day 3, with an AUC of 0.83 and 0.82, respectively. Mortality for the highest category of SOFA and MSOFA score (>11 points) was 53% and 58%, respectively.Conclusions: The MSOFA predicts mortality as well as the SOFA and is easier to implement in resource-constrained settings, but using either score as a triage tool would exclude many patients who would otherwise survive.(Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2010;4:277-284)


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