A new mode of decadal variability in the Tropical Indian Ocean subsurface temperature and its association with shallow meridional overturning circulation

2021 ◽  
pp. 103656
Author(s):  
Sandeep Mohapatra ◽  
Chellappan Gnanaseelan
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sandeep Mohapatra ◽  
Chellappan Gnanaseelan

<p>Similar to the Pacific and Atlantic, Tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) has its own internal climate mode of variabilities such as Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and subsurface mode (SSM). A typical interannual SSM is characterized by the meridional gradient in opposing subsurface temperature anomalies in the eastern equatorial IO and in the southwestern IO. Here in the present study, we have explored the structure and the underlying dynamics for the SSM in decadal time scale which has not been reported before. By analyzing different reanalysis products we observe that decadal SSM is characterized by a pure north-south pattern with the northern mode covering the entire equatorial belt which is different from interannual SSM. A north-south SSM is the leading mode of decadal variability in the thermocline and subsurface temperature over the TIO. Our preliminary analysis suggests that the decadal variability in the surface winds along the equatorial IO and the associated wind stress curl are found to be the primary forcing mechanisms for the decadal evolution of the north-south mode. Positive wind stress curl anomalies south of 8<sup>o</sup>S intensify the downwelling Rossby waves in the south during the positive phase of the decadal SSM. On the other hand, the northern cooling is driven mostly by the equatorial upwelling Kelvin waves and the Ekman divergence. Further, the phase transition in the SSM is primarily determined by the strength of the surface wind and the associated Ekman transport. The equatorial easterlies (westerlies) diverge (converge) the meridional Ekman transport, transporting heat towards the off-equatorial (equatorial) region during the positive (negative) phase. Consistently with SSM, upper 500m oceanic heat content reveals a conventional north-south dipole highlighting the importance of SSM on the TIO heat redistribution. This is further supported by the modulation of meridional overturning circulation and the meridional heat balance across the southern Indian Ocean (SIO). Overall the present study explores the underlying mechanism responsible for decadal SSM and its association with the heat distribution across the SIO.</p>


2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (17) ◽  
pp. 6439-6455 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Duchez ◽  
J. J.-M. Hirschi ◽  
S. A. Cunningham ◽  
A. T. Blaker ◽  
H. L. Bryden ◽  
...  

Abstract The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) has received considerable attention, motivated by its major role in the global climate system. Observations of AMOC strength at 26°N made by the Rapid Climate Change (RAPID) array provide the best current estimate of the state of the AMOC. The period 2004–11 when RAPID AMOC is available is too short to assess decadal variability of the AMOC. This modeling study introduces a new AMOC index (called AMOCSV) at 26°N that combines the Florida Straits transport, the Ekman transport, and the southward geostrophic Sverdrup transport. The main hypothesis in this study is that the upper midocean geostrophic transport calculated using the RAPID array is also wind-driven and can be approximated by the geostrophic Sverdrup transport at interannual and longer time scales. This index is expected to reflect variations in the AMOC at interannual to decadal time scales. This estimate of the surface branch of the AMOC can be constructed as long as reliable measurements are available for the Gulf Stream and for wind stress. To test the reliability of the AMOCSV on interannual and longer time scales, two different numerical simulations are used: a forced and a coupled simulation. Using these simulations the AMOCSV captures a substantial fraction of the AMOC variability and is in good agreement with the AMOC transport at 26°N on both interannual and decadal time scales. These results indicate that it might be possible to extend the observation-based AMOC at 26°N back to the 1980s.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brady Ferster ◽  
Alexey Fedorov ◽  
Juliette Mignot ◽  
Eric Guilyardi

<p>The Arctic and North Atlantic Ocean play a fundamental role in Earth’s water cycle, distribution of energy (i.e. heat), and the formation of cold, dense waters. Through the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), heat is transported to the high-latitudes. Classically, the climate impact of AMOC variations has been investigated through hosing experiments, where anomalous freshwater is artificially added or removed from the North Atlantic to modulate deep water formation. However, such a protocol introduces artificial changes in the subpolar area, possibly masking the effect of the AMOC modulation. Here, we develope a protocol where AMOC intensity is modulated remotely through the teleconnection of the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO), so as to investigate more robustly the impact of the AMOC on climate. Warming in the TIO has recently been shown to strengthen the Walker circulation in the Atlantic through the propagation of Kelvin and Rossby waves, increasing and stabilizing the AMOC on longer timescales. Using the latest coupled-model from Insitut Pierre Simon Laplace (IPSL-CM6), we have designed a three-member ensemble experiment nudging the surface temperatures of the TIO by -2°C, +1°C, and +2°C for 100 years. The objectives are to better quantify the timescales of AMOC variability outside the use of hosing experiments and the TIO-AMOC relationship.  In each ensemble member, there are two distinct features compared to the control run. The initial changes in AMOC (≤20 years) are largely atmospherically driven, while on longer timescales is largely driven by the TIO teleconnection to the tropical Atlantic. In the northern North Atlantic, changes in sensible heat fluxes range from 15 to 20 W m<sup>-2 </sup>in all three members compared to the control run, larger than the natural variability. On the longer timescales, AMOC variability is strongly influenced from anomalies in the tropical Atlantic Ocean. The TIO teleconnection supports decreased precipitation in the tropical Atlantic Ocean during warming (opposite during TIO cooling) events, as well as positive salinity anomalies and negative temperature anomalies. Using lagged correlations, there are the strongest correlations on scales within one year and a delayed response of 30 years (in the -2°C ensembles). In comparing the last 20 years, nudging the TIO induces a 3.3 Sv response per 1°C change. In summary, we have designed an experiment to investigate the AMOC variability without directly changing the North Atlantic through hosing, making way for a more unbiased approach to analysing the AMOC variability in climate models.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leon Hermanson ◽  
Doug Smith ◽  
Nick Dunstone ◽  
Rosie Eade

<p>The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) at 26N has been measured since 2004 by the RAPID-MOCHA array. On a multi-year timescale it shows a decline with signs of a recovery since around 2012. This variability is likely to be part of longer decadal variability. We examine here the decadal variability of the AMOC and its drivers in a coupled model run nudged to observations from 1960-2017. Temperature and winds are nudged throughout the atmosphere and potential temperature and salinity are nudged in the ocean, but the ocean velocities are allowed to vary freely. We nudge an ensemble of 10 ocean analyses into the ocean model to get an ensemble of responses, the mean of which reproduces the observed AMOC. We use these ocean-atmosphere re-analyses to study the drivers of the AMOC. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is well known to have an impact on the AMOC and is an important driver here. We find that the tropical Pacific also has a strong impact on the subtropical AMOC on multi-annual to decadal timescales. Together these two factors can explain more than half of all variability of the AMOC at 26N through wind forcing associated with Rossby waves and western boundary waves. This Pacific impact, not reported on before, is from windstress curl anomalies close to the East Coast of the southern US due to changes in the Pacific storm track and the Walker Circulation. As both the NAO and tropical Pacific variability is associated with solar and volcanic forcing, it is possible that solar and volcanic forcing are important for multi-annual to multi-decadal AMOC variability. We use observations of the NAO and tropical Pacific to reconstruct the AMOC from 1870 to present day and predict a continued recovery in the future.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suyun Noh ◽  
SungHyun Nam

<p>The Seychelles-Chagos Thermocline Ridge (SCTR) in the western tropical Indian Ocean is known as a region of off-equatorial upwelling contrasting to equatorial upwelling in the Pacific and Atlantic where the most wide open-ocean upwelling occurs corresponding to ascending branch of one of the meridional overturning cells in the Indian Ocean, yet detailed stratification, upwelling intensity, and dynamics of SCTR upwelling variability are still poorly understood. Here, we present observational results on the SCTR upwelling based on ship-based data collected during April-May 2019 as a part of the Korea-US inDian Ocean Scientific Research Program (KUDOS). The upwelling structure is confirmed from 20 ℃ and 10 ℃ isotherms (D20 and D10) shoaling up in the center of SCTR, from 200 m to 100 m (D20) and from 600 m to 400 m (D10), respectively. Horizonal divergence at the upper 250 m within an 1° by 1° area in the SCTR center (8 °S, 61 °E) estimated from currents measurements along the boundaries (1.0 x 10<sup>-3</sup> Sv) supports a mean upwelling intensity of 7.0 x 10<sup>-3</sup> m day<sup>-1</sup> (1.0 x 10<sup>-3</sup> Sv divided by the area). The upwelling intensity generally decreases with depth but shows multiple peaks within the upper water column, yielding the maximum peak (5.0 x 10<sup>-2</sup> m day<sup>-1</sup>) at 60 m and the minimum peak (1.4 x 10<sup>-2</sup> m day<sup>-1</sup>) at 230 m, with negative peaks (downwelling) at depths around 100 and 210 m. Our results on the observed structure and intensity of SCTR upwelling are discussed in comparison to time-varying local wind stress curl-driven Ekman pumping, D20-based Seychelles Upwelling Index (SUI), and Indian Dipole Mode Index (DMI). Detailed observations on the structure and intensity of SCTR upwelling presented here have important implications on time-varying SCTR upwelling (e.g., weakened upwelling peaked in fall 2019) and climate via meridional overturning circulation in the upper Indian Ocean.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Linfang Zhang ◽  
Yaokun Li ◽  
Jianping Li

<p>            This paper investigates the impact of the equatorial wind stress on the Indian Ocean Shallow Meridional Overturning Circulation (SMOC) during the India Ocean Dipole (IOD) mature phase. The results show that the equatorial zonal wind stress directly drives the meridional motion of seawater at the upper level. In normal years, the wind stress in the Indian Ocean is easterly between 30°S-0°and the westerly wind is between 0°and 30°N, which contributes to a southward Ekman transport at the upper level to form the climatological SMOC. During the years of positive IOD events, abnormal easterly wind near the equator, accompanying with the cold sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) along the coast of Sumatra and Java and the warm SSTA along the coast of East Africa, brings southward Ekman transport south of the equator while northward Ekman transport north of the equator. This leads the seawaters moving away from the equator and hence upwelling near the equator as a consequence, to form a pair of small circulation cell symmetric about the equator.</p>


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