scholarly journals Familiarity and Surprises in International Financial Markets: Bad news travels like wildfire; good news travels slow

2021 ◽  
pp. 102390
Author(s):  
Jordi Mondria ◽  
Xin Wang ◽  
Thomas Wu
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Bad News ◽  
Good News ◽  
International Financial Markets

AN EXAMINATION OF IN-PLAY SPORTS BETTING USING ONE-DAY CRICKET MATCHES

2012 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 93-109
Author(s):  
Steve Easton ◽  
Katherine Uylangco
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Psychological Factors ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Sports Betting ◽  
Bad News ◽  
Good News ◽  
Informational Efficiency ◽  
Betting Market ◽  
Betting Markets ◽  
Betting Odds

There is a wide literature on sports betting markets, a literature that examines the informational efficiency of these markets and uses them as laboratories to test for possible impacts of psychological factors on financial markets. The innovation of this study is the examination of price behaviour in an in-play betting market – namely that for one-day cricket. Cricket provides an ideal construct in which to examine in-play market behaviour, as it is a sport where outcomes can be calibrated as good news or bad news on a play-by-play basis. The results from an examination of over 8000 balls corresponding to over 8000 “news events” shows that the in-play betting market is one in which news is impounded rapidly into betting odds. There is also evidence that odds have a level of predictive ability with respect to outcomes from balls before they are bowled. Further, there is evidence of a drift in odds subsequent to the outcome of balls being known.

scholarly journals IMPACT OF POLITICAL INSTABILITY AND TERRORISM ON STOCK RETURNS: EVIDENCE FROM PAKISTAN

2013 ◽  
Vol 01 (02) ◽  
pp. 47-54
Author(s):  
Hasan Raza ◽  
Shafaq Malik
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Political Instability ◽  
Bad News ◽  
Good News ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Egarch Model ◽  
Year 2000 ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of terrorist activities and regime in Pakistan on the return and volatility dynamics of the financial markets in Pakistan between year 2000 and 2010. The study constructs two dummy variables that quantify political instability and terror and examine the effect on stock market volatility. An ARCH and GARCH model to discover evidence that terrorism and regime has a significant impact on both the return and volatility dynamics of stock markets. To capture the asymmetries in terms of negative and positive shocks, this study also uses threshold GARCH (TGARCH) and an exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model. From both of the TGARCH and EGARCH results, it can be reveal that for the return of KSE-100, there are asymmetries in the news that shows bad news has a larger effect on the volatility of return than good news. Finally study of the reaction of the stock market to terrorist events may also provide indication to investors and speculators to adjust their positions when such events transpire.

scholarly journals Financial Integration in Antebellum America: Strengthening Bodenhorn's Results

1993 ◽  
Vol 53 (3) ◽  
pp. 653-658 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sumner J. La Croix ◽  
Christopher Grandy
Keyword(s):  
Civil War ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Recent Article ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Bad News ◽  
Good News ◽  
Rate Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Antebellum America

In a recent article in this Journal, Howard Bodenhorn made a remarkable suggestion: “Antebellum financial markets may have outperformed those of the post–Civil War period.” According to Bodenhorn, antebellum capital markets displayed notable integration, as indicated by movements in short-term (60–day) interest rate data for important commercial centers east of the Mississippi. When considered in light of Lance Davis's work, suggesting poor integration of credit markets immediately after the Civil War and only gradual integration thereafter, we believe economic historians will find Bodenhorn's hypothesis provocative—even startling. We found the hypothesis so suggestive that we attempted to replicate Bodenhorn's analysis—a process that generated both “bad news” and “good news.” The “bad news” is that we believe the evidence Bodenhorn provided for his hypothesis is weak or irrelevant. The “good news” is that the data Bodenhorn generated support the integration hypothesis more strongly than even Bodenhorn suggested.

Do you want the good news or the bad news first?

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Angela Legg ◽  
Kate Sweeny
Keyword(s):  
Bad News ◽  
Good News

Volatility Transmission in Indian Banking Sector

2019 ◽  
Vol 118 (7) ◽  
pp. 161-165
Author(s):  
Cyano Prem ◽  
Dr M. Babu ◽  
C. Hariharan ◽  
R. Muneeswaran
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Bad News ◽  
Private Bank ◽  
Volatility Transmission ◽  
The People ◽  
New Information ◽  
High Volatility ◽  
The Government ◽  
Awareness Programme

Any new information about the economy is transmitted fast and it may influence the financial markets, positively or negatively. The present study used GARCH (1, 1) and EGARCH models, to investigate the volatility of Indian banking sectors indices, namely, Nifty PSU Index and Nifty Private Bank Index of NSE India Ltd. The result of the study confirmed that the high volatility was found in both the bank indices. At the same time, negative information about Indian economics did affect the PSU and Private Bank Sector indices during the study period. Finally, the study concluded that bad news travels fast and it increased volatility more than good. Hence the Government should give more information and awareness programme to the people before the implementation of any economic policy.

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