scholarly journals Financial Integration in Antebellum America: Strengthening Bodenhorn's Results

1993 ◽  
Vol 53 (3) ◽  
pp. 653-658 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sumner J. La Croix ◽  
Christopher Grandy
Keyword(s):  
Civil War ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Recent Article ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Bad News ◽  
Good News ◽  
Rate Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Antebellum America

In a recent article in this Journal, Howard Bodenhorn made a remarkable suggestion: “Antebellum financial markets may have outperformed those of the post–Civil War period.” According to Bodenhorn, antebellum capital markets displayed notable integration, as indicated by movements in short-term (60–day) interest rate data for important commercial centers east of the Mississippi. When considered in light of Lance Davis's work, suggesting poor integration of credit markets immediately after the Civil War and only gradual integration thereafter, we believe economic historians will find Bodenhorn's hypothesis provocative—even startling. We found the hypothesis so suggestive that we attempted to replicate Bodenhorn's analysis—a process that generated both “bad news” and “good news.” The “bad news” is that we believe the evidence Bodenhorn provided for his hypothesis is weak or irrelevant. The “good news” is that the data Bodenhorn generated support the integration hypothesis more strongly than even Bodenhorn suggested.

Capital Mobility and Financial Integration in Antebellum America

1992 ◽  
Vol 52 (3) ◽  
pp. 585-610 ◽  
Author(s):  
Howard Bodenhorn
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Capital Mobility ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
The United States ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Antebellum America ◽  
Antebellum Era ◽  
Regional Interest ◽  
Antebellum Period

Studies of postbellum financial markets have shown that the United States was not served by an integrated short-term capital market until the turn of the twentieth century. Until recently the data necessary for the study of a similar phenomenon in the antebellum period have not been available. This article reports several new regional interest rate series for the antebellum era that show that antebellum credit markets were more integrated than postbellum markets.

A Note Concerning the Dynamics of Government Bond Yields

2021 ◽  
pp. 056943452098827
Author(s):  
Tanweer Akram
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
State Theory ◽  
Government Bond ◽  
Bond Yields ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Government Bonds

Keynes argued that the central bank can influence the long-term interest rate on government bonds and the shape of the yield curve mainly through the short-term interest rate. Several recent empirical studies that examine the dynamics of government bond yields not only substantiate Keynes’s view that the long-term interest rate responds markedly to the short-term interest rate but also have relevance for macroeconomic theory and policy. This article relates Keynes’s discussions of money, the state theory of money, financial markets, investors’ expectations, uncertainty, and liquidity preference to the dynamics of government bond yields for countries with monetary sovereignty. Investors’ psychology, herding behavior in financial markets, and uncertainty about the future reinforce the effects of the short-term interest rate and the central bank’s monetary policy actions on the long-term interest rate. JEL classifications: E12; E40; E43; E50; E58; E60; F30; G10; G12; H62; H63

AN EXAMINATION OF IN-PLAY SPORTS BETTING USING ONE-DAY CRICKET MATCHES

2012 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 93-109
Author(s):  
Steve Easton ◽  
Katherine Uylangco
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Psychological Factors ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Sports Betting ◽  
Bad News ◽  
Good News ◽  
Informational Efficiency ◽  
Betting Market ◽  
Betting Markets ◽  
Betting Odds

There is a wide literature on sports betting markets, a literature that examines the informational efficiency of these markets and uses them as laboratories to test for possible impacts of psychological factors on financial markets. The innovation of this study is the examination of price behaviour in an in-play betting market – namely that for one-day cricket. Cricket provides an ideal construct in which to examine in-play market behaviour, as it is a sport where outcomes can be calibrated as good news or bad news on a play-by-play basis. The results from an examination of over 8000 balls corresponding to over 8000 “news events” shows that the in-play betting market is one in which news is impounded rapidly into betting odds. There is also evidence that odds have a level of predictive ability with respect to outcomes from balls before they are bowled. Further, there is evidence of a drift in odds subsequent to the outcome of balls being known.

scholarly journals Existence of Equilibrium for Segmented Markets Models with Interest Rate Monetary Policies

2006 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Filippo Occhino
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Nominal Interest Rate ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Segmented Markets ◽  
Monetary Analysis ◽  
Maximum Value ◽  
Similar Proof

Several studies have recently adopted the segmented markets model as a framework for monetary analysis. The characteristic assumption is that some households never participate in financial markets. This paper proves the existence of an equilibrium for segmented markets models where monetary policy is defined in terms of the short-term nominal interest rate. The model allows us to consider the important cases where monetary policy affects output, and responds to any sources of uncertainty, including output itself. The assumptions required for existence constrain the maximum value and the variability of the nominal interest rate. The period utility function is logarithmic. The proof is constructive, and shows how the model can be solved numerically. A similar proof can be used in the case that monetary policy is defined in terms of the bond supply.

scholarly journals Capital Markets Union: A Vision for the Long Term

2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 130-153 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicolas Véron ◽  
Guntram B. Wolff
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Capital Markets ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Capital Markets Union ◽  
Improve Access

Abstract Capital Markets Union (CMU) is a welcome economic policy initiative. If well designed and implemented, it can improve access to funding, the allocation of capital, prospects for savers, and financial stability in the European Union. But since financial ecosystems only change slowly, CMU cannot be a short-term cyclical instrument to substitute for subdued bank lending. Shifting financial intermediation towards capital markets will require persistent action on multiple fronts. The policy agenda should aim to enhance both capital markets development and cross-border financial integration, two distinct but mutually reinforcing aims; to increase the transparency, reliability, and comparability of information, a key enabler of trust in financial markets which always involve information asymmetries; and to adequately address financial stability concerns. We propose a staged process to sustain the momentum and make Europe’s CMU fully worthy of its 'union' label.

scholarly journals Necessity of the Establishment of a Financial Derivatives Market in Bangladesh

2014 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-32
Author(s):  
Md. Habibur Rahman ◽  
Bijoy Chandra Das
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Capital Structure ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Market Economy ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Theoretical Framework ◽  
Financial Derivatives ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Equity Indices

Derivatives instruments have been a feature of modern financial markets for several decades. They play a pivotal role in managing the risk of underlying securities such as bonds, equity, equity indices, currency, and short-term interest rate asset or liability positions. With the development of Bangladesh’s market economy, it is now becomes very essential of the establishment of a financial derivatives market in this country. In our article is has been tried to explain in detail the theoretical framework of various types of derivatives and their potential usage in strengthening capital market, capital structure of commercial banks, against the fluctuation of major import(petroleum) and export(RMG) sectors, and thus turning Bangladesh’s economy into a strong global one. In the last part of our study, some strong recommendations with the suggestion of phase by phase establishment of a financial derivatives market are included.

scholarly journals IMPACT OF POLITICAL INSTABILITY AND TERRORISM ON STOCK RETURNS: EVIDENCE FROM PAKISTAN

2013 ◽  
Vol 01 (02) ◽  
pp. 47-54
Author(s):  
Hasan Raza ◽  
Shafaq Malik
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Political Instability ◽  
Bad News ◽  
Good News ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Egarch Model ◽  
Year 2000 ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of terrorist activities and regime in Pakistan on the return and volatility dynamics of the financial markets in Pakistan between year 2000 and 2010. The study constructs two dummy variables that quantify political instability and terror and examine the effect on stock market volatility. An ARCH and GARCH model to discover evidence that terrorism and regime has a significant impact on both the return and volatility dynamics of stock markets. To capture the asymmetries in terms of negative and positive shocks, this study also uses threshold GARCH (TGARCH) and an exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model. From both of the TGARCH and EGARCH results, it can be reveal that for the return of KSE-100, there are asymmetries in the news that shows bad news has a larger effect on the volatility of return than good news. Finally study of the reaction of the stock market to terrorist events may also provide indication to investors and speculators to adjust their positions when such events transpire.

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