scholarly journals Savanna domain in the herbivores-fire parameter space exploiting a tree–grass–soil water dynamic model

2011 ◽  
Vol 289 ◽  
pp. 74-82 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. De Michele ◽  
F. Accatino ◽  
R. Vezzoli ◽  
R.J. Scholes
2009 ◽  
Vol 21 ◽  
pp. 13-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Conrad ◽  
N. Fohrer

Abstract. This study provides results for the optimization strategy of highly parameterized models, especially with a high number of unknown input parameters and joint problems in terms of sufficient parameter space. Consequently, the uncertainty in model parameterization and measurements must be considered when highly variable nitrogen losses, e.g. N leaching, are to be predicted. The Bayesian calibration methodology was used to investigate the parameter uncertainty of the process-based CoupModel. Bayesian methods link prior probability distributions of input parameters to likelihood estimates of the simulation results by comparison with measured values. The uncertainty in the updated posterior parameters can be used to conduct an uncertainty analysis of the model output. A number of 24 model variables were optimized during 20 000 simulations to find the "optimum" value for each parameter. The likelihood was computed by comparing simulation results with observed values of 23 output variables including soil water contents, soil temperatures, groundwater level, soil mineral nitrogen, nitrate concentrations below the root zone, denitrification and harvested carbon from grassland plots in Northern Germany for the period 1997–2002. The posterior parameter space was sampled with the Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach to obtain plot-specific posterior parameter distributions for each system. Posterior distributions of the parameters narrowed down in the accepted runs, thus uncertainty decreased. Results from the single-plot optimization showed a plausible reproduction of soil temperatures, soil water contents and water tensions in different soil depths for both systems. The model performed better for these abiotic system properties compared to the results for harvested carbon and soil mineral nitrogen dynamics. The high variability in modeled nitrogen leaching showed that the soil nitrogen conditions are highly uncertain associated with low modeling efficiencies. Simulated nitrate leaching was compared to more general, site-specific estimations, indicating a higher leaching during the seepage periods for both simulated grassland systems.


Pedosphere ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 303-317 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang-Ren WANG ◽  
Shao-Zhong KANG ◽  
Fu-Sheng LI ◽  
Lu ZHANG ◽  
Jian-Hua ZHANG

Soil Research ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 50 (5) ◽  
pp. 360 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongyong Zhang ◽  
Pute Wu ◽  
Xining Zhao ◽  
Ping Li

The soil water dynamic process is critical for the design, management, and evaluation of ridge–furrow tillage in the semi-arid region of the Loess Plateau. The aim of this study was to determine the effectual infiltration variables, to evaluate the performance of four classical infiltration models, and to investigate the effect of those variables on the infiltration characteristics in a ridge–furrow configuration. Sixteen experimental treatments with two replications were conducted to monitor furrow infiltration in four types of Loess Plateau soils. The path analysis method was applied to quantify the effects of variables—opportunity time (T), initial soil water content (Q), bulk density (P), flow section area (S), and wetted perimeter (Wp) as independent variables—on cumulative infiltration (I). The results revealed that the direct effects of variables Wp, P, T, Q, and S on I were 0.751, –0.649, 0.291, –0.251, and –0.123, respectively. Variables Wp and P were the effectual components of furrow infiltration. The direct effect and total effect of Q on I were relatively minor compared with the other variables. The performance of four infiltration models (Philip model, Kostiakov–Lewis model, Kostiakov model, and Horton model) was investigated on the basis of evaluation indices. The Kostiakov–Lewis infiltration model with three parameters provided the best description of the relationship between cumulative infiltration and time. The influence of Wp on the constant coefficient k of the Kostiakov–Lewis model was significant. A furrow infiltration model taking Wp into consideration was developed. Validations in different Wp of two other soil types indicated that the soil water infiltration characteristics could be effectively simulated by the effectual variable based model for an uncropped ridge–furrow system. The information obtained from this research is useful in designing irrigation schemes and field management for ridge–furrow tillage.


CATENA ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 70 (2) ◽  
pp. 200-208 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liding Chen ◽  
Zhilin Huang ◽  
Jie Gong ◽  
Bojie Fu ◽  
Yilong Huang

Author(s):  
Franklin F. K. Chen ◽  
B. Ronald Moncrief

Abstract A canyon building houses special nuclear material processing facilities in two canyon like structures, each with approximately a million cubic feet of air space and a hundred thousand hydraulic equivalent feet of ductwork of various cross sections. The canyon ventilation system is a “once through” design with separate supply and exhaust fans, utilizes two large sand filters to remove radionuclide particulate matter, and exhausts through a tall stack. The ventilation equipment is similar to most industrial ventilation systems. However, in a canyon building, nuclear contamination prohibits access to a large portion of the system and therefore limits the kind of plant data possible. The facility investigated is 40 years old and is operating with original or replacement equipment of comparable antiquity. These factors, access and aged equipment, present a challenge in gauging the performance of canyon ventilation, particularly under uncommon operating conditions. The ability to assess canyon ventilation system performance became critical with time, as the system took on additional exhaust loads and aging equipment approached design maximum. Many “What if?” questions, needed to address modernization/safety issues, are difficult to answer without a dynamic model. This paper describes the development, the validation and the utilization of a dynamic model to analyze the capacity of this ventilation system, under many unusual but likely conditions. The development of a ventilation model with volume and hydraulics of this scale is unique. The resultant model resolutions of better than 0.05″wg under normal plant conditions and approximately 0.2″wg under all plant conditions achievable with a desktop computer is a benchmark of the power of micro-computers. The detail planning and the persistent execution of large scale plant experiments under very restrictive conditions not only produced data to validate the model but lent credence to subsequent applications of the model to mission oriented analysis. Modelling methodology adopted a two parameter space approach, rational parameters and irrational parameters. Rational parameters, such as fan age-factors, idle parameters, infiltration areas and tunnel hydraulic parameters are deduced from plant data based on certain hydraulic models. Due to limited accessibility and therefore partial data availability, the identification of irrational model parameters, such as register positions and unidentifiable infiltrations, required unique treatment of the parameter space. These unique parameters were identified by a numerical search strategy to minimize a set of performance indices. With the large number of parameters, this further attests to our strategy in utilizing the computing power of modern micros. Nine irrational parameters at five levels and 12 sets of plant data, counting up to 540 runs, were completely searched over the time span of a long weekend. Some key results, in assessing emergency operation, in evaluating modernization options, are presented to illustrate the functions of the dynamic model.


Author(s):  
A.P. CHERENKOV ◽  
V.V. MIKHAILENKO ◽  
B.S. SHUSTERMAN

This paper is devoted to the determination of parameter values of optimization problems for which they are solvable. In relation to this, the concept of monotone solvability with respect to parameter is essentially used. The procedure of construction of solvability boundaries in parameter space is realized, and it is essentially reduced to decipher the monotone function. This procedure is used for the consideration of a dynamic model of simulative control of the geological-prospecting process (the resource allocation between stages of geological-prospecting work). On the basis of this procedure using the standard package of linear programming, the complex program of decision-making for personal computers compatible with IBM XT/AT is implemented.


2018 ◽  
Vol 198 ◽  
pp. 19-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
Baoqing Chen ◽  
Enke Liu ◽  
Xurong Mei ◽  
Changrong Yan ◽  
Sarah Garré

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