Planning for the future: Combining spatially-explicit public preferences with tenure policies to support land-use planning

2019 ◽  
Vol 82 ◽  
pp. 497-508 ◽  
Author(s):  
Azadeh Karimi ◽  
Vanessa M. Adams
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Spatially Explicit ◽  
Public Preferences ◽  
The Future

Upwards from the Plateau

1968 ◽  
Vol 44 (2) ◽  
pp. 11-13
Author(s):  
G. H. Bayly
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Forest Management ◽  
Land Management ◽  
Wildlife Management ◽  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Regional Planning ◽  
Leadership Role ◽  
Forest Land ◽  
The Future

The development of the forester's leadership role in forest land management is compared to rising profile of land between a sea or lake shoreline and a range of mountains, the progression is upward but the rate of climb changes. No plateau is identified. Reference is made to forestry leadership in several fields of forest land management; administration, land use, planning, research, forest management, recreational land use and fish and wildlife management. It is noted that forest land management includes activities for which foresters were not academically trained and reference is made to the fact that non-foresters, e.g. biologists and geographers are giving leadership in forest land management and thus providing beneficial competition and stimulation. The most important leadership role in the future may relate to regional planning. The forestry profession is cautioned not to abdicate this field to those in other disciplines.

scholarly journals New land use change scenarios for Brazil: refining global SSPs with a regional spatially-explicit allocation model

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francisco Gilney Silva Bezerra ◽  
Celso Von Randow ◽  
Talita Oliveira Assis ◽  
Karine Rocha Aguiar Bezerra ◽  
Graciela Tejada ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Forest Restoration ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Analysis ◽  
Spatially Explicit ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Modeling Framework ◽  
Allocation Model ◽  
The Future

The future of land use and cover change in Brazil, in particular due to deforestation and forest restoration processes, is critical for the future of global climate and biodiversity, given the richness of its five biomes. These changes in Brazil depend on the interlink between global factors, due to its role as one of the main exporters of commodities in the world, and the national to local institutional, socioeconomic and biophysical contexts. Aiming to develop scenarios that consider the balance between global and local factors, a new set of land use change scenarios for Brazil were developed, aligned with the global structure Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSPs) and Representative Concentration Pathway (RCPs) developed by the global change research community. The narratives of the new scenarios align with  SSP1/RCP 1.9, SSP2/RCP 4.5, and SSP3/RCP 7.0. The scenarios were developed combining the LuccME spatially explicit land change allocation modeling framework and the INLAND surface model to incorporate the climatic variables in water deficit.  Based on detailed biophysical, socio-economic and institutional factors for each biome in Brazil, we have created spatially-explicit scenarios  until 2050, considering the following classes: forest vegetation, grassland vegetation, planted pasture, agriculture, mosaic of small land uses, and forestry. The results aim at regionally detailing global models and could be used both regionally to support decision-making, but also to enrich global analysis.

Engaging Regional Stakeholders in Scenario Planning for the Long-Term Preservation of Ecosystem Services in Northwestern Virginia

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iara Lacher ◽  
Thomas Akre ◽  
William J. McShea ◽  
Marissa McBride ◽  
Jonathan R. Thompson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Ecosystem Services ◽  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Scenario Planning ◽  
Scenario Development ◽  
Change Models ◽  
Shenandoah Valley ◽  
The Future

This case study describes the application of a framework for developing stakeholder-driven scenarios of the future. The purpose of these scenarios is to inform land use planning toward the protection of ecosystems and derivable ecosystem services in Northwestern Virginia. We held two scenario development workshops with regional experts in conservation, agriculture, land use planning, policy, and economic development to create scenarios of land use in the northern Piedmont and northern Shenandoah Valley of Virginia. We structured the workshops around a framework that guided stakeholders through several steps eventually resulting in four unique scenarios describing the region in 50 years. Scenario narratives were defined by the intersection of highly influential and uncertain drivers of change relevant to land use planning and ecosystem services. Participants from the northern Shenandoah Valley region selected population growth and climate change adaptation as their scenario defining drivers, while participants from the northern Piedmont region selected planning strategy and climate change impact as their scenario defining drivers. Participants fleshed out scenarios into descriptive narratives that incorporated qualitative and quantitative measures of change. Details from the scenario narratives informed land use change models to further quantify tradeoffs between land use planning decisions and ecosystem services. Individuals interested in using scenario planning to guide research efforts, conservation, or land use planning, or even to broaden perspectives on how to view the future, will find value in this case study.

scholarly journals Integrating Ecosystem Services into Land-Use Modeling to Assess the Effects of Future Land-Use Strategies in Northern Ghana

Land ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (10) ◽  
pp. 379
Author(s):  
Hongmi Koo ◽  
Janina Kleemann ◽  
Christine Fürst
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Ecosystem Services ◽  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Agricultural Land ◽  
Assessment Process ◽  
Northern Ghana ◽  
Agricultural Land Use ◽  
Spatially Explicit ◽  
Management Options ◽  
Trade Offs

In West Africa, where the majority of the population relies on natural resources and rain-fed agriculture, regionally adapted agricultural land-use planning is increasingly important to cope with growing demand for land-use products and intensifying climate variability. As an approach to identify effective future land-use strategies, this study applied spatially explicit modeling that addresses the spatial connectivity between the provision of ecosystem services and agricultural land-use systems. Considering that the status of ecosystem services varies with the perception of stakeholders, local knowledge, and characteristics of a case study area, two adjoining districts in northern Ghana were integrated into an assessment process of land-use strategies. Based on agricultural land-management options that were identified together with the local stakeholders, 75 future land-use strategies as combinations of multiple agricultural practices were elaborated. Potential impacts of the developed land-use strategies on ecosystem services and land-use patterns were assessed in a modeling platform that combines Geographic Information System (GIS) and Cellular Automaton (CA) modules. Modeled results were used to identify best land-use strategies that could deliver multiple ecosystem services most effectively. Then, local perception was applied to determine the feasibility of the best land-use strategies in practice. The results presented the different extent of trade-offs and synergies between ecosystem services delivered by future land-use strategies and their different feasibility depending on the district. Apart from the fact that findings were context-specific and scale-dependent, this study revealed that the integration of different local characteristics and local perceptions to spatially explicit ecosystem service assessment is beneficial for determining locally tailored recommendations for future agricultural land-use planning.

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