Risk spillover from energy market uncertainties to the Chinese carbon market

2021 ◽  
Vol 67 ◽  
pp. 101561
Author(s):  
Yingying Xu
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sen Qiao ◽  
Chen Xi Zhao ◽  
Kai Quan Zhang ◽  
Zheng Yu Ren

With the improvement of China’s carbon emission trading system, the spillover effect between carbon and energy markets is becoming more and more prominent. This paper selects four representative pilot carbon markets, including Beijing (BEA), Guangdong (GDEA), Hubei (HBEA) and Shanghai (SHEA). And three representative energy markets, including Crude Oil Futures (SC), power index (L11655) and China Securities new energy index (NEI). Combining the rolling window technology with DY spillover index, set a 50-weeks rolling window to measure the spillover index, and deeply analyze the time-varying two-way spillover effect between China’s carbon and energy markets. The results show that the spillover effect between China’s carbon and energy markets has significant time variability and two-way asymmetry. The time-varying spillover effect of different carbon pilot markets on the energy market has regional heterogeneity. The volatility spillover effect of Beijing and Shanghai carbon markets mainly comes from the crude oil futures market, Guangdong carbon market mainly comes from the new energy market, and Hubei carbon market mainly comes from crude oil and electricity market. The above research results contribute to the prevention of potential risk spillover between carbon and energy markets, which can promote the establishment of China’s unified carbon market and the prevention of systemic financial risks in energy market.


2021 ◽  
Vol 275 ◽  
pp. 02046
Author(s):  
Yan Li

This paper divides the energy market into energy futures market and new energy stock market. At the same time, the closing price of Shenzhen carbon emission rights is used to represent the carbon market price, the energy futures composite index of China Securities Exchange is used to represent the energy futures market price, and the stock price of new energy listed companies is used to represent the new energy stock market price. VAR model and MSVAR model are used to empirically study the relationship between the three variables and the nonlinear relationship between them. VAR model results show that there will be more complex relationship among carbon market price, energy company stock price and energy futures price. MSVAR model shows that the energy futures market, new energy stock market and carbon market present nonlinear and structural changes, and MSVAR model can better explain the nonlinear relationship among the three markets than traditional VAR model.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (21) ◽  
pp. 7286
Author(s):  
Yang Liu ◽  
Xueqing Yang ◽  
Mei Wang

Connections to world markets facilitate local markets developments to support more efficient capital allocation and greater investment and growth opportunities. Under the framework of cross-market rebalancing theory, in this study, we aim to systematically examine the market connections among world financial, energy, renewable energy and European carbon markets by measuring the return spillovers from 2008 to 2021. We find that the renewable energy market is more closely connected to the world financial and energy markets in the sense of the return transmission, while the carbon market is less connected to them. However, due to improved market regulations and determinations related to fighting climate change, the connections between the carbon market and other markets have gradually intensified. Plotting the return spillover indexes, we observe that strong return spillovers from the renewable energy market to other markets occurred when large investment plans were announced. Regarding the carbon market, regulation changes introduced by the EU Commission to improve and stabilize market environment induced intensified return transmission from carbon market to other markets. Another interesting finding is that the highly intensified return transmission among markets due to the COVID-19 crisis started to loosen when COVAX published the first interim distribution forecast on 3 February 2021.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (5) ◽  
pp. 966-979
Author(s):  
O.B. Sheveleva ◽  
E.V. Slesarenko

Subject. The article deals with the security of the fiscal and budgetary system in resource-based regions during highly volatile prices in the global energy market external economic, political, technological and epidemiological shocks. Objectives. The study is to detect hazards in the fiscal and budgetary system of resource-based regions. Such hazards really put the regional competitiveness and economic security at peril. Methods. The article evaluates the security of the fiscal system in the Kemerovo Oblast through the integral indicator and the threshold (critical) value. Results. We found key threats to the fiscal and budgetary system of the Kemerovo Oblast, which undermine the regional competitiveness and economic security. Conclusions and Relevance. Authorities shall comprehensively attempt to create the environment for developing manufacturing sectors in the region, especially science-intensive and high-tech production enterprises by alleviating infrastructure and administrative constraints for business, raising the finance of science and innovation from the State and mobilize investors' resources, lure them to finance prioritized lines of the regional economic development. The findings and conclusions can be used to outline principles of the region's economic policy, socioeconomic development strategies of the region economy.


2016 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 78
Author(s):  
Blerina Muskaj

At the beginning of my paper I will explain the concept of "Geopolitics of Energy", this will be done for a quite simple reason, because I want everyone who can sit to read this article to understand more clearly what is at stake, therefore allow them the comprehension of what is being elaborated bellow at first sight. Geopolitics of energy is a concept that relates to policies choosing exporters to implement on importers, is the policy that has an impact on energy consumption, which includes consumer’s choice in the geopolitical context, taking into account the economy, foreign policy, the safety of energy, environmental consequences and priorities that carries the energy exporter. This concept permits the understanding of how works the politics that undertakes this initiative taking into account natural resources such as: natural gas and oil. Natural gas and oil are two main resources that produce energy but also two main elements on which arises all the topic in the energetics game. For this paper is used qualitative methodology, through which we were able to accomplish this work. I focused on scientific literature, official publications and reports on energy geopolitics. The main aim has been to show how in this decade, energy security is at the center of geopolitical agenda and has become the focus of numerous political debates. Regarding this point of view, Europe is taking the initiative to create a common energy market within the continent by creating projects, in which Albania appears as a new regional energy potential. Russia, which is aiming to play a role in the international arena, is seeking to position itself geopolitically in "its political weapon", hydrocarbon resources, in particular natural gas resources.


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