Time-varying cross-correlation between trading volume and returns in US stock markets

Author(s):  
E. Rodriguez ◽  
J. Alvarez-Ramirez
2010 ◽  
Vol 09 (02) ◽  
pp. 203-217 ◽  
Author(s):  
XIAOJUN ZHAO ◽  
PENGJIAN SHANG ◽  
YULEI PANG

This paper reports the statistics of extreme values and positions of extreme events in Chinese stock markets. An extreme event is defined as the event exceeding a certain threshold of normalized logarithmic return. Extreme values follow a piecewise function or a power law distribution determined by the threshold due to a crossover. Extreme positions are studied by return intervals of extreme events, and it is found that return intervals yield a stretched exponential function. According to correlation analysis, extreme values and return intervals are weakly correlated and the correlation decreases with increasing threshold. No long-term cross-correlation exists by using the detrended cross-correlation analysis (DCCA) method. We successfully introduce a modification specific to the correlation and derive the joint cumulative distribution of extreme values and return intervals at 95% confidence level.


2008 ◽  
Vol 40 (19) ◽  
pp. 2501-2507 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y.-P. Hu ◽  
L. Lin ◽  
J.-W. Kao

Ekonomika ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 100 (2) ◽  
pp. 144-170
Author(s):  
Cuma Demirtaş ◽  
Munise Ilıkkan Özgür ◽  
Esra Soyu

In this study, the effects of COVID-19 (mortality rate, case rate, and bed capacity) on the stock market was examined within the framework of the efficient market hypothesis. Unlike other studies in the literature, we used the variable of bed capacity besides the mortality rate and case rate variables. The relationship between the mentioned variables, using daily data between December 31 of 2019 and November 10 of 2020, has been analyzed with time-varying symmetric and asymmetric causality tests for China, Germany, the USA, and India. Considering that the responses to positive and negative shocks during the pandemic process may be different and that the results may change depending on time, time-varying symmetric and asymmetric causality tests were used. According to the time-varying symmetric causality test, stock markets in all countries were affected in the period when the cases first appeared. A causal relationship between COVID-19 and country stock markets was found. The results showed that the effects of the case rate and bed capacity on the stock market occurred around the same time in Germany and the United States; however, these dates differed in China and India. According to time-varying asymmetric causality test findings, the asymmetric effect of the pandemic on the stock market in countries emerged during the second wave. The findings showed that the period during which positive and negative information about the pandemic intensified coincided with the period during which the second wave occurred; besides, the results show the effect of this information on the stock market differed as positive and negative shocks.


2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 137-152 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kee Tuan Teng ◽  
Siew Hwa Yen ◽  
Soo Y. Chua ◽  
Hooi Hooi Lean

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
José Soares Da Fonseca

This article studies the linkages among the stock markets of Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovenia and Ukraine. The empirical analysis begins with the estimation of a regional market model, whose beta parameters depend on predetermined information variables. Those parameters support the calculation of time‑varying Treynor ratios used on a comparative performance analysis. A Vector Auto Regressive Model (VAR) is used to estimate the performance causality within this group of markets. The VAR model results provide evidence that there is reciprocal performance across the majority of the selected stock markets.


2010 ◽  
Vol 40 (2) ◽  
pp. 393-407 ◽  
Author(s):  
Balázs Égert ◽  
Evžen Kočenda

2014 ◽  
Vol 29 (01) ◽  
pp. 1450236 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guangxi Cao ◽  
Yan Han

Recent studies confirm that weather affects the Chinese stock markets, based on a linear model. This paper revisits this topic using DCCA cross-correlation coefficient (ρ DCCA (n)), which is a nonlinear method, to determine if weather variables (i.e., temperature, humidity, wind and sunshine duration) affect the returns/volatilities of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets. We propose an asymmetric ρ DCCA (n) by improving the traditional ρ DCCA (n) to determine if different cross-correlated properties exist when one time series trending is either positive or negative. Further, we improve a statistical test for the asymmetric ρ DCCA (n). We find that cross-correlation exists between weather variables and the stock markets on certain time scales and that the cross-correlation is asymmetric. We also analyze the cross-correlation at different intervals; that is, the relationship between weather variables and the stock markets at different intervals is not always the same as the relationship on the whole.


2009 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-105
Author(s):  
Koulakiotis Dasilas ◽  
Tolikas Molyneux

This paper investigates the relationship between volatility transmission and stock market regulatory structures, interest rates and trading volume for European securities which are cross-listed on stock exchanges of higher, lower or similar regulatory standards compared to their home stock markets. The empirical results suggested that the regulatory environment has a significant impact on volatility spillovers and the level of interest rates and trading volume have a positive impact on the magnitude and persistence of these volatility spillovers. These findings have potentially important implications for both regulators and investors who are concerned with the effectiveness of legislation aiming to harmonise the European stock markets and the effects of volatility transmission on investment positions across European stock markets.


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