scholarly journals Large-scale modelling and forecasting of ambulance calls in northern Sweden using spatio-temporal log-Gaussian Cox processes

2020 ◽  
Vol 39 ◽  
pp. 100471
Author(s):  
Fekadu L. Bayisa ◽  
Markus Ådahl ◽  
Patrik Rydén ◽  
Ottmar Cronie
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Northern Sweden ◽  
Cox Processes ◽  
Scale Modelling ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Modelling And Forecasting

scholarly journals The large-scale spatio-temporal variability of precipitation over Sweden observed from the weather radar network

2013 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 10699-10730
Author(s):  
A. Devasthale ◽  
L. Norin
Keyword(s):  
Temporal Variability ◽  
High Intensity ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Weather Radar ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Northern Sweden ◽  
Late Night ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Precipitation Events

Abstract. Using measurements from the national network of 12 weather radar stations for the last decade (2000–2010), we investigate the large-scale spatio-temporal variability of precipitation over Sweden. These statistics provide useful information to evaluate regional climate models as well as for hydrology and energy applications. A strict quality control is applied to filter out noise and artifacts from the radar data. We focus on investigating four distinct aspects namely, the diurnal cycle of precipitation and its seasonality, the dominant time scale (diurnal vs. seasonal) of variability, precipitation response to different wind directions, and the correlation of precipitation events with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). When classified based on their intensity, moderate to high intensity events (precipitation > 0.34 mm (3 h)−1) peak distinctly during late afternoon over the majority of radar stations in summer and during late night or early morning in winter. Precipitation variability is highest over the southwestern parts of Sweden. It is shown that the high intensity events (precipitation > 1.7mm (3 h)−1) are positively correlated with NAO and AO (esp. over northern Sweden), while the low intensity events are negatively correlated (esp. over southeastern parts). It is further observed that southeasterly winds often lead to intense precipitation events over central and northern Sweden, while southwesterly winds contribute most to the total accumulated precipitation for all radar stations. Apart from its operational applications, the present study demonstrates the potential of the weather radar data set for studying climatic features of precipitation over Sweden.

scholarly journals The large-scale spatio-temporal variability of precipitation over Sweden observed from the weather radar network

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (6) ◽  
pp. 1605-1617 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Devasthale ◽  
L. Norin
Keyword(s):  
Temporal Variability ◽  
High Intensity ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Weather Radar ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Northern Sweden ◽  
Late Night ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Precipitation Events

Abstract. Using measurements from the national network of 12 weather radar stations for the 11-year period 2000–2010, we investigate the large-scale spatio-temporal variability of precipitation over Sweden. These statistics provide useful information to evaluate regional climate models as well as for hydrology and energy applications. A strict quality control is applied to filter out noise and artifacts from the radar data. We focus on investigating four distinct aspects: the diurnal cycle of precipitation and its seasonality, the dominant timescale (diurnal versus seasonal) of variability, precipitation response to different wind directions, and the correlation of precipitation events with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). When classified based on their intensity, moderate- to high-intensity events (precipitation > 0.34 mm/3 h) peak distinctly during late afternoon over the majority of radar stations in summer and during late night or early morning in winter. Precipitation variability is highest over the southwestern parts of Sweden. It is shown that the high-intensity events (precipitation > 1.7 mm/3 h) are positively correlated with NAO and AO (esp. over northern Sweden), while the low intensity events are negatively correlated (esp. over southeastern parts). It is further observed that southeasterly winds often lead to intense precipitation events over central and northern Sweden, while southwesterly winds contribute most to the total accumulated precipitation for all radar stations. Apart from its operational applications, the present study demonstrates the potential of the weather radar data set for studying climatic features of precipitation over Sweden.

scholarly journals Documentary data and the study of past droughts: a global state of the art

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 1915-1960 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rudolf Brázdil ◽  
Andrea Kiss ◽  
Jürg Luterbacher ◽  
David J. Nash ◽  
Ladislava Řezníčková
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
State Of The Art ◽  
Drought Indices ◽  
Documentary Evidence ◽  
Climatic Trends ◽  
Instrumental Observations ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Epigraphic Evidence ◽  
Administrative Evidence

Abstract. The use of documentary evidence to investigate past climatic trends and events has become a recognised approach in recent decades. This contribution presents the state of the art in its application to droughts. The range of documentary evidence is very wide, including general annals, chronicles, memoirs and diaries kept by missionaries, travellers and those specifically interested in the weather; records kept by administrators tasked with keeping accounts and other financial and economic records; legal-administrative evidence; religious sources; letters; songs; newspapers and journals; pictographic evidence; chronograms; epigraphic evidence; early instrumental observations; society commentaries; and compilations and books. These are available from many parts of the world. This variety of documentary information is evaluated with respect to the reconstruction of hydroclimatic conditions (precipitation, drought frequency and drought indices). Documentary-based drought reconstructions are then addressed in terms of long-term spatio-temporal fluctuations, major drought events, relationships with external forcing and large-scale climate drivers, socio-economic impacts and human responses. Documentary-based drought series are also considered from the viewpoint of spatio-temporal variability for certain continents, and their employment together with hydroclimate reconstructions from other proxies (in particular tree rings) is discussed. Finally, conclusions are drawn, and challenges for the future use of documentary evidence in the study of droughts are presented.

scholarly journals Establishment and lineage dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the UK

Science ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. eabf2946
Author(s):  
Louis du Plessis ◽  
John T. McCrone ◽  
Alexander E. Zarebski ◽  
Verity Hill ◽  
Christopher Ruis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Phylogenetic Analyses ◽  
Transmission Dynamics ◽  
Genetic Lineage ◽  
Size Dependent ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Lineage Structure ◽  
And Control ◽  
Lineage Diversity

The UK’s COVID-19 epidemic during early 2020 was one of world’s largest and unusually well represented by virus genomic sampling. Here we reveal the fine-scale genetic lineage structure of this epidemic through analysis of 50,887 SARS-CoV-2 genomes, including 26,181 from the UK sampled throughout the country’s first wave of infection. Using large-scale phylogenetic analyses, combined with epidemiological and travel data, we quantify the size, spatio-temporal origins and persistence of genetically-distinct UK transmission lineages. Rapid fluctuations in virus importation rates resulted in >1000 lineages; those introduced prior to national lockdown tended to be larger and more dispersed. Lineage importation and regional lineage diversity declined after lockdown, while lineage elimination was size-dependent. We discuss the implications of our genetic perspective on transmission dynamics for COVID-19 epidemiology and control.

scholarly journals Multi-scale modelling of a large scale shell-and-tube latent heat storage system for direct steam generation power plants

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Clément Beust ◽  
Erwin Franquet ◽  
Jean-Pierre Bédécarrats ◽  
Pierre Garcia ◽  
Jérôme Pouvreau ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Power Plants ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Storage System ◽  
Steam Generation ◽  
Latent Heat Storage ◽  
Multi Scale ◽  
Direct Steam ◽  
Scale Modelling ◽  
Shell And Tube ◽  
Generation Power

scholarly journals ON GENERATING DIGITAL ELEVATION MODELS FROM LIDAR DATA – RESOLUTION VERSUS ACCURACY AND TOPOGRAPHIC WETNESS INDEX INDICES IN NORTHERN PEATLANDS

2012 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
pp. 57-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdulghani Hasan ◽  
Petter Pilesjö ◽  
Andreas Persson
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Drainage Area ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Absolute Deviation ◽  
Digital Elevation ◽  
Elevation Data ◽  
Scale Modelling ◽  
Data Points ◽  
Emission Modelling

Global change and GHG emission modelling are dependent on accurate wetness estimations for predictions of e.g. methane emissions. This study aims to quantify how the slope, drainage area and the TWI vary with the resolution of DEMs for a flat peatland area. Six DEMs with spatial resolutions from 0.5 to 90 m were interpolated with four different search radiuses. The relationship between accuracy of the DEM and the slope was tested. The LiDAR elevation data was divided into two data sets. The number of data points facilitated an evaluation dataset with data points not more than 10 mm away from the cell centre points in the interpolation dataset. The DEM was evaluated using a quantile-quantile test and the normalized median absolute deviation. It showed independence of the resolution when using the same search radius. The accuracy of the estimated elevation for different slopes was tested using the 0.5 meter DEM and it showed a higher deviation from evaluation data for steep areas. The slope estimations between resolutions showed differences with values that exceeded 50%. Drainage areas were tested for three resolutions, with coinciding evaluation points. The model ability to generate drainage area at each resolution was tested by pair wise comparison of three data subsets and showed differences of more than 50% in 25% of the evaluated points. The results show that consideration of DEM resolution is a necessity for the use of slope, drainage area and TWI data in large scale modelling.

scholarly journals Historical drought patterns over Canada and their teleconnections with large-scale climate signals

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (6) ◽  
pp. 3105-3124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zilefac Elvis Asong ◽  
Howard Simon Wheater ◽  
Barrie Bonsal ◽  
Saman Razavi ◽  
Sopan Kurkute
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Kendall Test ◽  
Wavelet Coherence ◽  
Climate Indices ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Canadian Prairies ◽  
Agriculture Industry ◽  
Spatio Temporal

Abstract. Drought is a recurring extreme climate event and among the most costly natural disasters in the world. This is particularly true over Canada, where drought is both a frequent and damaging phenomenon with impacts on regional water resources, agriculture, industry, aquatic ecosystems, and health. However, nationwide drought assessments are currently lacking and impacted by limited ground-based observations. This study provides a comprehensive analysis of historical droughts over the whole of Canada, including the role of large-scale teleconnections. Drought events are characterized by the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) over various temporal scales (1, 3, 6, and 12 consecutive months, 6 months from April to September, and 12 months from October to September) applied to different gridded monthly data sets for the period 1950–2013. The Mann–Kendall test, rotated empirical orthogonal function, continuous wavelet transform, and wavelet coherence analyses are used, respectively, to investigate the trend, spatio-temporal patterns, periodicity, and teleconnectivity of drought events. Results indicate that southern (northern) parts of the country experienced significant trends towards drier (wetter) conditions although substantial variability exists. Two spatially well-defined regions with different temporal evolution of droughts were identified – the Canadian Prairies and northern central Canada. The analyses also revealed the presence of a dominant periodicity of between 8 and 32 months in the Prairie region and between 8 and 40 months in the northern central region. These cycles of low-frequency variability are found to be associated principally with the Pacific–North American (PNA) and Multivariate El Niño/Southern Oscillation Index (MEI) relative to other considered large-scale climate indices. This study is the first of its kind to identify dominant periodicities in drought variability over the whole of Canada in terms of when the drought events occur, their duration, and how often they occur.

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