Revisiting the association between sea surface temperature and the epidemiology of fish poisoning in the South Pacific: Reassessing the link between ciguatera and climate change

Toxicon ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 56 (5) ◽  
pp. 691-697 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lyndon E. Llewellyn
2017 ◽  
Vol 50 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 1129-1143 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ramiro I. Saurral ◽  
Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes ◽  
Javier García-Serrano

2019 ◽  
Vol 47 (5) ◽  
pp. 12-25
Author(s):  
Parvin Ghafarian ◽  
Sahar Tajbakhsh

The climate change is the main issue in recent decades. Marine and coastal areas are deeply affected by climate change. To investigate the effect of climate change in the southern coast of the Caspian Sea, the variations of main meteorological parameters such as anomaly of minimum and maximum temperature, precipitation, sea surface temperature and, also the frequency of foggy, hazy and dusty days are examined in a 40-year period from 1979 to 2018 (anomalies with respect to the 1981–2010 baseline). The results of the study showed that the significant increasing trend in temperature in all stations that located in industrial and urban area. There is no significant change in precipitation due to complex structure of this parameter in the South Caspian Sea areas. The lake effect and topography play as a key role in generation of precipitation than large scale systems. Also there is highly significant increasing trend of sea surface temperature in South Caspian Sea which is a result of the effects of global warming in that region. There is also an increase in the occurrence of the rare dust phenomenon in that area. The increasing trend of hazy days was observed in all areas, particularly in industrial zones that can affect some meteorological parameters.


2016 ◽  
Vol 46 (6) ◽  
pp. 1871-1883 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dean Roemmich ◽  
John Gilson ◽  
Philip Sutton ◽  
Nathalie Zilberman

AbstractMultidecadal trends in ocean heat and freshwater content are well documented, but much less evidence exists of long-term changes in ocean circulation. Previously, a 12-yr increase, 1993 to 2004, in the circulation of the South Pacific Subtropical Gyre interior was described. That analysis was based on differences between early Argo and 1990s hydrographic data and changes in sea surface height. Here, it is shown that the trend of increasing circulation continues through 2014, with some differences within the Argo decade (2005 to 2014). Patterns that indicate or are consistent with increasing equatorward transport in the eastern portion of the South Pacific Gyre are seen in Argo temperature and steric height, Argo trajectory velocity, altimetric sea surface height, sea surface temperature, sea level pressure, and wind stress. Between 2005 and 2014 the geostrophic circulation across 35°S, from 160°W to South America, was enhanced by 5 Sv (1 Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1) of added northward flow. This was countered by a southward transport anomaly between the date line and 160°W. Corresponding temperature trends span the full 2000-m depth range of Argo observations. The 22-yr trend, 1993 to 2014, in sea surface height at 35°S, 160°W is 8 cm decade−1. Trends in sea surface temperature over 34 yr, 1981 to 2014, show a similar spatial pattern to that of sea surface height, with an increase of 0.5°C decade−1 at 35°S, 160°W. These multidecadal trends support the interpretation of the 40°S maximum in global ocean heat gain as resulting from anomalous wind forcing and Ekman convergence.


2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (6) ◽  
pp. 1565-1582 ◽  
Author(s):  
Josephine R. Brown ◽  
Scott B. Power ◽  
Francois P. Delage ◽  
Robert A. Colman ◽  
Aurel F. Moise ◽  
...  

Abstract Understanding how the South Pacific convergence zone (SPCZ) may change in the future requires the use of global coupled atmosphere–ocean models. It is therefore important to evaluate the ability of such models to realistically simulate the SPCZ. The simulation of the SPCZ in 24 coupled model simulations of the twentieth century is examined. The models and simulations are those used for the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The seasonal climatology and interannual variability of the SPCZ is evaluated using observed and model precipitation. Twenty models simulate a distinct SPCZ, while four models merge intertropical convergence zone and SPCZ precipitation. The majority of models simulate an SPCZ with an overly zonal orientation, rather than extending in a diagonal band into the southeast Pacific as observed. Two-thirds of models capture the observed meridional displacement of the SPCZ during El Niño and La Niña events. The four models that use ocean heat flux adjustments simulate a better tropical SPCZ pattern because of a better representation of the Pacific sea surface temperature pattern and absence of cold sea surface temperature biases on the equator. However, the flux-adjusted models do not show greater skill in simulating the interannual variability of the SPCZ. While a small subset of models does not adequately reproduce the climatology or variability of the SPCZ, the majority of models are able to capture the main features of SPCZ climatology and variability, and they can therefore be used with some confidence for future climate projections.


2017 ◽  
Vol 199 ◽  
pp. 117-124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simon Van Wynsberge ◽  
Christophe Menkes ◽  
Romain Le Gendre ◽  
Teuru Passfield ◽  
Serge Andréfouët

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Dutheil ◽  
M. Lengaigne ◽  
M. Bador ◽  
J. Vialard ◽  
J. Lefèvre ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruiqiang Ding ◽  
Yu-heng Tseng ◽  
Jianping Li

<p>Variations in the sea surface temperature (SST) field in both the North Pacific [represented by the Victoria mode (VM)] and the South Pacific [represented by the South Pacific Quadrapole (SPQ) mode] are related to the state of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) three seasons later. Here, with the aid of observational data and numerical experiments, we demonstrate that both VM and SPQ SST forcing can influence the development of ENSO events through a similar air–sea coupling mechanism. By comparing ENSO amplitudes induced by the VM and SPQ, as well as the percentages of strong ENSO events followed by the VM and SPQ events, we find that the VM and SPQ make comparable contributions and therefore have similar levels of importance to ENSO. Additional analysis indicates that although VM or SPQ SST forcing alone may serve as a good predictor for ENSO events, it is more effective to consider their combined influence. A prediction model based on both VM and SPQ indices is developed, which is capable of yielding skillful forecasts for ENSO at lead times of three seasons.</p>


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