scholarly journals MP03: Predicting survival after pediatric out-of-hospital cardiac arrest

CJEM ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 19 (S1) ◽  
pp. S65-S66
Author(s):  
I. Drennan ◽  
K. Thorpe ◽  
S. Cheskes ◽  
M. Mamdani ◽  
D. Scales ◽  
...  

Introduction: Pediatric out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is unique in terms of epidemiology, treatment, and outcomes. There is a paucity of literature examining predictors of survival to help guide resuscitation in this population. Objective: The primary objective was to examine predictors of survival to hospital discharge. The secondary objective was to determine the probability of return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) over the duration of resuscitation. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study of non-traumatic OHCA (<18 years) treated by EMS from the Toronto Regional RescuNET Epistry-Cardiac Arrest database from 2006 to 2015. We used competing risk analysis to calculate the probability of ROSC over the duration of resuscitation. We then used multivariable logistic regression to examine the role of Utstein factors and duration of resuscitation in predicting survival to hospital discharge. Candidate variables were limited to Utstein factors and duration of resuscitation due to the number of events. We used area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) to determine the predictive ability of our logistic regression model. Results: A total of 658 patients met inclusion criteria. Survival to discharge was 10.2% with 70.1% of those children having a good neurologic outcome. The overall median time to ROSC was 23.9 min. (IQR 15.0,36.7). However, the median time to ROSC for survivors was significantly shorter than the time to ROSC for patients who died in hospital (15.9 (IQR 10.6 to 22.8) vs. 33.2 (IQR 22.0 to 48.6); P value <0.001). There was a decrease in the odds of survival of 14% per minute during the first 25 minutes of cardiac arrest. Older age (OR 0.9, 95% CI 0.86,0.99), and longer duration of resuscitation (OR 0.9, 95% CI 0.88,0.93) were associated with worse outcome while initial shockable rhythm (OR 5.8, 95% CI 2.0,16.5), and witnessed arrests (OR 2.4, 95% CI 1.10,5.30) were associated with improved patient outcome. The AUC for the Utstein factors was fair (0.77). Including duration of resuscitation improved the discrimination of the model to 0.85. Conclusion: Inclusion of duration of resuscitation improved the performance of our model compared to Utstein factors alone. However, our results suggest there are a number of other important factors for predicting patient outcome from pediatric OHCA.

Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Julia Indik ◽  
Zacherie Conover ◽  
Meghan McGovern ◽  
Annemarie Silver ◽  
Daniel Spaite ◽  
...  

Background: Previous investigations in human out of hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) due to ventricular fibrillation (VF) have shown that the frequency-based waveform characteristic, amplitude spectral area (AMSA) predicts defibrillation success and is associated with survival to hospital discharge. We evaluated the relative strength of factors associated with hospital discharge including witnessed/unwitnessed status, chest compression (CC) quality and AMSA. We then investigated if there is a threshold value for AMSA that can identify patients who are unlikely to survive. Methods: Adult OHCA patients (age ≥18), with initial rhythm of VF from an Utstein-Style database (collected from 2 EMS systems) were analyzed. AMSA was measured from the waveform immediately prior to each shock, and averaged for each individual subject (AMSA-ave). Univariate and stepwise multivariable logistic regression, and receiver-operator-characteristic (ROC) analyses were performed. Factors analyzed: age, sex, witnessed status, time from dispatch to monitor/defibrillator application, number of shocks, mean CC rate, depth, and release velocity (RV). Results: 140 subjects were analyzed, [104 M (74%), age 62 ± 14 yrs, witnessed 65%]. Survival was 38% in witnessed and 16% in unwitnessed arrest. In univariate analyses, age (P=0.001), witnessed status (P=0.009), AMSA-ave (P<0.001), mean CC depth (P=0.025), and RV (P< 0.001) were associated with survival. Stepwise logistic regression identified AMSA-ave (P<0.001), RV (P=0.001) and age (P=0.018) as independently associated with survival. The area under the curve (ROC analysis) was 0.849. The probability of survival was < 5% in witnessed arrest for AMSA-ave < 5 mV-Hz, and in unwitnessed arrest for AMSA-ave < 15 mV-Hz. Conclusion: In OHCA with an initial rhythm of VF, AMSA-ave and CC RV are highly associated with survival. Further study is needed to evaluate whether AMSA-ave may be useful to identify patients highly unlikely to survive.


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Luca Marengo ◽  
Wolfgang Ummenhofer ◽  
Gerster Pascal ◽  
Falko Harm ◽  
Marc Lüthy ◽  
...  

Introduction: Agonal respiration has been shown to be commonly associated with witnessed events, ventricular fibrillation, and increased survival during out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. There is little information on incidence of gasping for in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA). Our “Rapid Response Team” (RRT) missions were monitored between December 2010 and March 2015, and the prevalence of gasping and survival data for IHCA were investigated. Methods: A standardized extended in-hospital Utstein data set of all RRT-interventions occurring at the University Hospital Basel, Switzerland, from December 13, 2010 until March 31, 2015 was consecutively collected and recorded in Microsoft Excel (Microsoft Corp., USA). Data were analyzed using IBM SPSS Statistics 22.0 (IBM Corp., USA), and are presented as descriptive statistics. Results: The RRT was activated for 636 patients, with 459 having a life-threatening status (72%; 33 missing). 270 patients (59%) suffered IHCA. Ventricular fibrillation or pulseless ventricular tachycardia occurred in 42 patients (16% of CA) and were associated with improved return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) (36 (97%) vs. 143 (67%; p<0.001)), hospital discharge (25 (68%) vs. 48 (23%; p<0.001)), and discharge with good neurological outcome (Cerebral Performance Categories of 1 or 2 (CPC) (21 (55%) vs. 41 (19%; p<0.001)). Gasping was seen in 128 patients (57% of CA; 46 missing) and was associated with an overall improved ROSC (99 (78%) vs. 55 (59%; p=0.003)). In CAs occurring on the ward (154, 57% of all CAs), gasping was associated with a higher proportion of shockable rhythms (11 (16%) vs. 2 (3%; p=0.019)), improved ROSC (62 (90%) vs. 34 (55%; p<0.001)), and hospital discharge (21 (32%) vs. 7 (11%; p=0.006)). Gasping was not associated with neurological outcome. Conclusions: Gasping was frequently observed accompanying IHCA. The faster in-hospital patient access is probably the reason for the higher prevalence compared to the prehospital setting. For CA on the ward without continuous monitoring, gasping correlates with increased shockable rhythms, ROSC, and hospital discharge.


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ian R Drennan ◽  
Steve Lin ◽  
Kevin E Thorpe ◽  
Jason E Buick ◽  
Sheldon Cheskes ◽  
...  

Introduction: Targeted temperature management (TTM) reduces neurologic injury from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). As the risk of neurologic injury increases with prolonged cardiac arrests, the benefit of TTM may depend upon cardiac arrest duration. We hypothesized that there is a time-dependent effect of TTM on neurologic outcomes from OHCA. Methods: Retrospective, observational study of the Toronto RescuNET Epistry-Cardiac Arrest database from 2007 to 2014. We included adult (>18) OHCA of presumed cardiac etiology that remained comatose (GCS<10) after a return of spontaneous circulation. We used multivariable logistic regression to determine the effect of TTM and the duration of cardiac arrest on good neurologic outcome (Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0-3) and survival to hospital discharge while controlling for other known predictors. Results: There were 1496 patients who met our inclusion criteria, of whom 981 (66%) received TTM. Of the patients who received TTM, 59% had a good neurologic outcome compared to 39% of patients who did not receive TTM (p< 0.001). After adjusting for the Utstein variables, use of TTM was associated with improved neurologic outcome (OR 1.60, 95% CI 1.10-2.32; p = 0.01) but not with survival to discharge (OR 1.23, 95% CI 0.90-1.67; p = 0.19). The impact of TTM on neurologic outcome was dependent on the duration of cardiac arrest (p<0.05) (Fig 1). Other significant predictors of good neurologic outcome were younger age, public location, initial shockable rhythm, and shorter duration of cardiac arrest (all p values < 0.05). A subgroup analysis found the use of TTM to be associated with neurologic outcome in both shockable (p = 0.01) and non-shockable rhythms (p = 0.04) but was not associated with survival to discharge in either group (p = 0.12 and p = 0.14 respectively). Conclusion: The use of TTM was associated with improved neurologic outcome at hospital discharge. Patients with prolonged durations of cardiac arrest benefited more from TTM.


Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuichi Hagiwara ◽  
Kiyohiro Oshima ◽  
Masato Murata ◽  
Makoto Aoki ◽  
Kei Hayashida ◽  
...  

Aim: To evaluate the priority of coronary angiography (CAG) and therapeutic hypothermia therapy (TH) after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Patients and Methods: SOS-KANTO 2012 study is a prospective, multicenter (69 emergency hospitals) and observational study and includes 16,452 patients with OHCA. Among the cases with ROSC in that study, we intended for patients treated with both CAG and TH within 24 hours after arrival. Those patients were divided into two groups; patients in whom TH was firstly performed (TH group), and the others in whom CAG was firstly done (CAG group). We statistically compared the prognosis between the two groups. SPSS Statistics 22 (IBM, Tokyo, Japan) was used for the statistical analysis. Statistical significance was assumed to be present at a p value of less than 0.05. Result: 233 patients were applied in this study. There were 86 patients in the TH group (M/F: 74/12, mean age; 60.0±15.2 y/o) and 147 in the CAG group (M/F: 126/21, mean age: 63.4±11.1 y/o) respectively, and no significant differences were found in the mean age and M/F ratio between the two groups. The overall performance categories (OPC) one month after ROSC in the both groups were as follows; in the TH group, OPC1: 21 (24.4%), OPC2: 3 (3.5%), OPC3: 7 (8.1%), OPC4: 8 (9.3%), OPC5: 43 (50.0%), unknown: 4 (4.7%), and in the CAG group, OPC1: 38 (25.9%), OPC2: 13 (8.8%), OPC3: 15 (10.2%), OPC4: 18 (12.2%), OPC5: 57 (38.8%), unknown: 6 (4.1%). There were no significant differences in the prognosis one month after ROSC between the two groups. Conclusion: The results which of TH and CAG you give priority to over do not affect the prognosis in patients with OHCA.


Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lars W Andersen ◽  
Katherine Berg ◽  
Brian Z Saindon ◽  
Joseph M Massaro ◽  
Tia T Raymond ◽  
...  

Background: Delay in administration of the first epinephrine dose has been shown to be associated with a lower chance of good outcome in adult, in-hospital, non-shockable cardiac arrest. Whether this association is true in pediatric in-hospital non-shockable cardiac arrest remains unknown. Methods: We utilized the Get With the Guidelines - Resuscitation national registry to identify pediatric patients (age < 18 years) with an in-hospital cardiac arrest between 2000 and 2010. We included patients with an initial non-shockable rhythm who received at least one dose of epinephrine. To assess the association between time to epinephrine administration and survival to discharge we used multivariate logistic regression models with adjustment for multiple predetermined variables including age, gender, illness category, pre-existing mechanical ventilation, monitored, witnessed, location, time of the day/week, year of arrest, insertion of an airway, initial rhythm, time to initiation of cardiopulmonary resuscitation, hospital type and hospital teaching status. Secondary outcomes included return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) and neurological outcome. Results: 1,131 patients were included. Median age was 9 months (quartiles: 21 days - 6 years) and 46% were female. Overall survival to hospital discharge was 29%. Longer time to epinephrine was negatively associated with survival to discharge in multivariate analysis (OR: 0.94 [95%CI: 0.90 - 0.98], per minute delay). Longer time to epinephrine was negatively associated with ROSC (OR: 0.93 [95%CI: 0.90 - 0.97], per minute delay) but was not statistically significantly associated with survival with good neurological outcome (OR: 0.95 [95%CI: 0.89 - 1.03], per minute delay). Conclusions: Delay in administration of epinephrine during pediatric in-hospital cardiac arrest with a non-shockable rhythm is associated with a lower chance of ROSC and lower survival to hospital discharge.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiromichi Naito ◽  
Takashi Yorifuji ◽  
Tetsuya Yumoto ◽  
Tsuyoshi Nojima ◽  
Noritomo Fujisaki ◽  
...  

Introduction: Mid/long-term outcomes of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors have not been extensively studied. Targeted temperature management (TTM) after return of spontaneous circulation is one known therapeutic approach to ameliorate short-term neurological improvement of OHCA patients; however, the prognostic significance of TTM in the mid/long-term clinical setting have not been defined. Hypothesis: TTM would confer additional improvement of OHCA patients’ mid-term neurological outcomes. Methods: Retrospective study using the Japanese Association for Acute Medicine OHCA Registry (Jun 2014 - Dec 2017): a nationwide multicenter registry. Patients who did not survive 30 days after OHCA, those with missing 30-day Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) scores, and those < 18 years old were excluded. Primary endpoint was alteration of neurological function evaluated with 30-day and 90-day CPC. Association between application of TTM (33-36°C) and mid-term CPC alteration was evaluated. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used for the primary outcome; results are expressed with odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Results: We included 2,905 in the analysis. Patient characteristics were: age: 67 [57 - 78] years old, male gender: 70.8%, witnessed collapse: 81.4%, dispatcher instruction for CPR: 51.6%, initial shockable rhythm: 67.0%, and estimated cardiac origin: 76.5%. TTM was applied to 1,352/2,905 (46.5%) patients. Thirty-day CPC values in surviving patients were: CPC 1: 1,155/2,905 (39.8%), CPC 2: 321/2,905 (11.1%), CPC 3: 497/2,905 (17.1%), and CPC 4: 932/2,905 (32.1%), respectively. Ninety-day CPC values were: CPC 1: 866/1,868 (46.4%), CPC 2: 154/1,868 (8.2%), CPC 3: 224/1,868 (12.0%), CPC 4: 392/1,868 (20.1%), and CPC 5: 232/1,868 (12.4%), respectively. Of 1,636 patients with 90-day survival, 28 (1.7%) demonstrated improved CPC at 90 days, whereas, 133 (8.1%) showed worsened CPC at 90 days compared with 30-day CPC, respectively. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed TTM did not result in favorable mid-term neurological changes (adjusted OR: 1.44, 95% CI: 0.48 - 4.31). Conclusions: TTM may not contribute to the beneficial effect on OHCA patients’ mid-term neurological changes.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
L Rodriguez ◽  
J Caro-Codon ◽  
J R Rey-Blas ◽  
S O Rosillo ◽  
O Gonzalez ◽  
...  

Abstract Background There is scarce evidence about the prevalence and clinical relevance of moderate to severe valvular heart disease (VHD) in survivors of out of hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Purpose To determine whether VHD influence prognosis of OHCA survivors. Methods All consecutive patients admitted to the Acute Cardiac Care Unit after OHCA and surviving until hospital discharge were included. All patients received targeted-temperature management according to our local protocol. Univariate and multivariate Cox-proportional hazard models were employed. Results A total of 201 patients were included in the analysis. Mean age was 57.6±14.2 years and 168 (83.6%) were male. Eighteen patients (9.0%) had moderate or severe VHD during index admission (Table 1). Patients with VHD were less frequently of male sex, [11 (61.1%) vs 157 (85.8%), p=0.014], experienced less acute coronary syndrome-related arrhytmias [2 (11.1%) vs 85 (46.5%), p=0.005], and had a lower pH at hospital admission (6.9±1.6 vs 7.2±0.15, p=0.008). During a median follow-up of 40.3 (18.9–69.1) months, patients with VHD showed higher mortality [7 (38.9%) vs 28 (15.3%), p=0.004] and more heart failure-related admissions [7 (38.9%) vs 15 (8.2%), p<0.001]. Only five patients received surgical or percutaneous treatment for VHD during follow-up, with no deaths in this subgroup. Moderate or severe VHD proved to be an independent predictor of global cardiovascular events and specifically heart failure episodes (Figure 1). Table1 Variable With valvular disease Without valvular disease p value Age, mean±DS, years 63.5±13.2 57.0±14.1 0.066 Hypertension, n (%) 12 (66.7) 95 (51.9) 0.231 Diabetes, n (%) 5 (27.8) 24 (13.1) 0.149 Dyslipidaemia, n (%) 7 (38.9) 79 (43.2) 0.726 Smokin habit, n (%) 4 (22.2) 90 (49.2) 0.045 Witnessed cardiac arrest, n (%) 18 (100) 175 (95.6) 1.000 Time from CA to ROSC, mean±DS, minute 19.1±7.5 21.2±13.1 0.506 Shockable rhythm, n (%) 13 (72.2) 163 (89.1) 0.055 LVEF at hospital discharge (%) 42.8±12.1 46.9±14.6 0.254 Figure 1 Conclusion The presence of significant VHD in survivors after OHCA is a predictor of poor outcomes. Specific management of VHD may be specially relevant in this high-risk patients and guideline-oriented therapy, including surgery and percutaneous intervention should be encouraged when indicated.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (23) ◽  
pp. 5573
Author(s):  
Karol Bielski ◽  
Agnieszka Szarpak ◽  
Miłosz Jaroslaw Jaguszewski ◽  
Tomasz Kopiec ◽  
Jacek Smereka ◽  
...  

Cardiopulmonary resuscitation in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is associated with poor prognosis. Because the COVID-19 pandemic may have impacted mortality and morbidity, both on an individual level and the health care system as a whole, our purpose was to determine rates of OHCA survival since the onset of the SARS-CoV2 pandemic. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the influence of COVID-19 on OHCA survival outcomes according to the PRISMA guidelines. We searched the literature using PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science and Cochrane Central Register for Controlled Trials databases from inception to September 2021 and identified 1775 potentially relevant studies, of which thirty-one articles totaling 88,188 patients were included in this meta-analysis. Prehospital return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) in pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods was 12.3% vs. 8.9%, respectively (OR = 1.40; 95%CI: 1.06–1.87; p < 0.001). Survival to hospital discharge in pre- vs. intra-COVID-19 periods was 11.5% vs. 8.2% (OR = 1.57; 95%CI: 1.37–1.79; p < 0.001). A similar dependency was observed in the case of survival to hospital discharge with the Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) 1–2 (6.7% vs. 4.0%; OR = 1.71; 95%CI: 1.35–2.15; p < 0.001), as well as in the 30-day survival rate (9.2% vs. 6.4%; OR = 1.63; 95%CI: 1.13–2.36; p = 0.009). In conclusion, prognosis of OHCA is usually poor and even worse during COVID-19.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Dong Keon Lee ◽  
Eugi Jung ◽  
You Hwan Jo ◽  
Joonghee Kim ◽  
Jae Hyuk Lee ◽  
...  

Objective. Heart rate (HR), an essential vital sign that reflects hemodynamic stability, is influenced by myocardial oxygen demand, coronary blood flow, and myocardial performance. HR at the time of the return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) could be influenced by the β1-adrenergic effect of the epinephrine administered during cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), and its effect could be decreased in patients who have the failing heart. We aimed to investigate the association between HR at the time of ROSC and the outcomes of adult out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients. Methods. This study was a secondary analysis of a cardiac arrest registry from a single institution from January 2008 to July 2014. The OHCA patients who achieved ROSC at the emergency department (ED) were included, and HR was retrieved from an electrocardiogram or vital sign at the time of ROSC. The patients were categorized into four groups according to the HR (bradycardia (HR < 60), normal HR (60 ≤ HR ≤ 100), tachycardia (100 < HR < 150), and extreme tachycardia (HR ≥ 150)). The primary outcome was the rate of sustained ROSC and the secondary outcomes were the rate of one-month survival and six-month good neurologic outcome. Results. A total of 330 patients were included. In the univariate logistic regression model, the rate of sustained ROSC increased by 17% as HR increased by every 10 beats per minute (bpm) (odds ratio (OR), 1.171; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.077–1.274, p<0.001). In the multivariate logistic regression model, extreme tachycardia was independently associated with a high probability of sustained ROSC compared to normal heart rate (OR, 15.96; 95% CI, 2.04–124.93, p=0.008). Conclusion. Extreme tachycardia (HR ≥ 150) at the time of ROSC is independently associated with a high probability of sustained ROSC in nontraumatic adult OHCA patients.


Circulation ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 140 (Suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahmoud S Issa ◽  
Tuyen Yankama ◽  
Het Patel ◽  
Lethu Ntshinga ◽  
Amin Coker ◽  
...  

Background: In hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) affects >290,000 people in USA annually. Although there are many differences between IHCA and out of hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), the bulk of data used to guide management comes from OHCA studies. Prediction of mortality after IHCA could be useful in making decisions around post-arrest care. We hypothesized that elevated lactate and the need for vasopressor support after arrest would predict mortality in an IHCA population. Methods: Retrospective single-center observational study of all adult IHCA patients with sustained return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), lactate within 2 hrs of ROSC, and intubated pre-arrest or within 1 hr after, from 2008 - 2018. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate the association of post-ROSC lactate and need for vasopressors, as well as other covariates, with mortality. Backwards selection was used to determine the most parsimonious model. Results: Of 541 patients; 364 met criteria and were included. Overall mortality was 56%. The distributions of initial rhythm, pre-arrest vasopressor and pre-arrest mechanical ventilation were similar between groups. Patients who received vasopressors within 3 hrs of ROSC had higher mortality compared to patients who did not (58% vs. 43%, p-value 0.04). Elevated lactate level was also associated with mortality (44% if < 5 mmol/L, 58% if 5 - 10 mmol/L, and 73% if ≥10 mmol/L, p-value<0.01). Mortality in those with lactate <5 and no vasopressors was 33%, compared to 75% in those with lactate >10 and need for vasopressors (p<0.01). The most parsimonious predictive model included lactate, post-arrest vasopressor, age, arrest location, and pre-arrest diagnosis (AUC 0.68 [95 CI: 0.63-0.74]). Conclusion: Post-ROSC lactate and need for vasopressor were useful predictors of mortality, although AUC was lower than what has been reported in OHCA studies. Development of a more discriminating tool would be valuable to clinicians and in IHCA research.


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