Long-Term Prospects of the International Wine Trade

2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 442-450 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olivier Bargain ◽  
Jean-Marie Cardebat ◽  
Raphael Chiappini ◽  
Corentin Laffitte

AbstractThis article discusses key comparative advantages of wine-producing nations and suggest prospective views on their evolution. Our methodology is twofold. First, we study comparative advantages in 16 countries using Porter's diamond. Then, we report results from a survey in which wine economists are asked to assess the future trade performance of these countries. Results are relatively consistent across methods regarding the future “heavy weights” like China, but also New Zealand and Chile, countries show the greatest potential to succeed in the future global wine trade. It is also expected that Georgia, the United Kingdom, and Australia play an important role, although to a lesser extent. Our findings indicate that comparative advantages in wine trade are neither uniform nor static; especially, terroir is no longer sufficient. The diamond approach contradicts experts from two countries in particular, France and Argentina, suggesting that experts put great emphasis on demand and market structures as key trade determinants for the future. (JEL Classifications: F14, Q17)

2006 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 285-302 ◽  
Author(s):  
ADELINA COMAS-HERRERA ◽  
RAPHAEL WITTENBERG ◽  
JOAN COSTA-FONT ◽  
CRISTIANO GORI ◽  
ALESSANDRA DI MAIO ◽  
...  

This paper reports findings from a European Commission funded study of future long-term care expenditure in Germany, Italy, Spain and the United Kingdom, and presents projections of future long-term care expenditure in the four countries under a number of assumptions about the future. Macro-simulation (or cell-based) models were used to make comparable projections based on a set of common assumptions. A central base-case served as a point of comparison by which to explore the sensitivity of the models to alternative scenarios for the key determinants. The sensitivity of the models to variant assumptions about the future numbers of older people, the prevalence of functional dependency and informal care, patterns of long-term provision, and macroeconomic conditions are examined. It was found that, under the base-case, the proportion of gross domestic product spent on long-term care is projected to more than double between 2000 and 2050 in each country. The projected future demand for long-term care services for older people is sensitive to assumptions about the future number of older people, the prevalence of dependency and the availability of informal care, and projected expenditure is sensitive to assumptions about rises in the real unit-costs of services and the structure of the models. It is important, for planning purposes, to recognise the considerable uncertainty about future levels of long-term care expenditure.


1997 ◽  
Vol 84 (3) ◽  
pp. 738-738
Author(s):  
Monica A. Payne

A sample of 202 New Zealand students (81 men, 121 women) listed their short- and long-term “personal projects.” Most frequently mentioned were academic success, improved fitness, and financial well-being. Some characteristic differences were noted in the specific concerns of men and women.


2019 ◽  
Vol 50 (2) ◽  
pp. 369
Author(s):  
Bill Atkin

Professor Gordon Anderson and labour law are synonymous in New Zealand. Gordon has provided a vision for the future of labour law. This article is offered in a similar spirit. It was prepared for a conference on "The Future of Family Law", held in Auckland on 20 September 2018 with distinguished guest, Lady Brenda Hale, President of the United Kingdom Supreme Court. The history of family law in New Zealand is full of remarkable landmarks. Many align with the rights of various groups: children, women, Māori, those with intellectual disabilities, LGBTI+ communities and abuse victims. If we dig deeper, we find that the various parts do not make a very coherent and harmonious whole. The law is tugged in different directions. This article draws on the concept of "family solidarity", refashioned for New Zealand purposes as "family and community solidarity". Could this help develop a unifying theme? Could it form the basis for future family law reform? Developments such as legislation on child poverty reduction, the Ministry for Children and relationship property law are briefly explored. 


Author(s):  
E.J. Fawcett

The utilisation of grassland in New Zealand is directly affected by international considerations, and by agricultural policies adopted in the United Kingdom which determine, or will at least influence, our own agricultural development in the future.


Author(s):  
Helena D. Cooper-Thomas ◽  
Sarah Wright

AbstractIn spite of a long history, Industrial and Organisational (I/O) psychology appears to be relatively unknown beyond those who teach or practise it. Research in Canada, the United Kingdom, the United States, Australia and Aotearoa/New Zealand is reviewed to illustrate common problems. To provide an update on the local situation, a survey of 46 I/O psychologists was conducted to identify what types of activities I/O psychologists in New Zealand are engaged in, and what they think the issues are for the profession both now and in the future. We present the issues under five themes: current role, education and training, strategic perspectives, contribution to New Zealand business, and the future. In conclusion, we provide suggestions to address the key problems that our I/O psychologist respondents identified.


2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicola Kirkup

New Zealand Superannuation (NZS) is a universal pension paid at a flat rate. It is effective at poverty prevention among the elderly, relatively inexpensive and simple to administer. However, with the proportion of the population aged over 65 years set to increase rapidly over the next 50 years, there is expected to be a steep rise in the costs of the scheme. The future cost of NZS is therefore a major driver of New Zealand’s Longer-term Fiscal Challenge. The Treasury’s statement on New Zealand’s long-term fiscal position (Treasury, 2013a) examines ways of addressing this cost, as well as other possible responses to the broader fiscal challenge such as higher taxation or reductions in other areas of public spending. 


1978 ◽  
Vol 22 ◽  
pp. 64-133
Author(s):  
R. J. Sansom

Permanent Health Insurance is essentially a practical subject because, more so than in any other line of long-term business, an office is virtually in the hands of the policyholder once they have issued the contract. Of course a life assurance policyholder can always precipitate a claim, but this is rather a drastic move! How much easier merely to stay off work. And as Dr Peter Taylor wrote in 1974, “The time has come to admit quite openly that medical certificates are now, for all practical purposes, issued on demand.” (1) If we ever see in the United Kingdom the developments in medical malpractice suits current in the United States it is difficult to visualize any doctor being prepared to contradict a patient when the latter says he feels unfit to work.


Author(s):  
Luke Feast

Avoiding the worst impacts of global warming is a matter of systemic change and political will. An easily adaptable political system would be resilient to the effects of climate change, since a government could maintain effective control by implementing incremental changes. However, except for the United Kingdom (UK), Israel and New Zealand, all other states have rigid codified constitutions. Drawing on cybernetics and variety engineering, the study of New Zealand’s constitutional system presented in this article suggests that a rigid codified constitution has merits for addressing long-term problems, such as climate change and sustainable development. Cover image photo: Christoph Strässler


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