scholarly journals Time Variation of the Global Solar Magnetic Field Inferred from the Sun's Shadow as Seen in 10 TeV Cosmic Rays

1998 ◽  
Vol 185 ◽  
pp. 465-466
Author(s):  
L.K. Ding ◽  
M. Nishizawa ◽  
T. Sasaki ◽  
Y.H. Tan ◽  
Y. Yamamoto ◽  
...  

Air shower arrays with high counting rates at high altitude provide a unique means for the study of the time dependence of the Sun's shadow as seen in cosmic rays (Amenomori et al. 1992). With the Tibet-I array, operated from 1990 to 1993 at Yangbajing (4300m), we detected for the first time the influence of the solar and interplanetary magnetic fields (IMF) on the Sun's shadow. In this experiment the Sun's shadow seen by 10 TeV cosmic rays was found at a position 0.°7 away from the position of the Sun. This large displacement is considered to be caused by IMF which changed considerably in 1990-1993, near maximum, and during the declining phase of solar activity (cycle 22). A new Tibet-II array, enlarged in 1994, with a seven times larger effective area than the Tibet-I, has been operating since 1995 and allows us to observe the Sun's shadow every 3-4 months. The solar activity, being in the most quiet phase now in 1995-1997, will return to more active phase in 1998. Here, we present some results obtained in 1996 with Tibet-II array.

1968 ◽  
Vol 46 (10) ◽  
pp. S927-S929
Author(s):  
Yu. Stozhkov ◽  
T. N. Charakhchyan

The energy spectrum of galactic cosmic rays has been investigated for various periods of the solar activity. In the framework of commonly used ideas about the mechanism of the 11-year variation according to Parker the dependence of the cosmic-ray diffusion coefficient, D, on the particle rigidity, P, was determined. For the form D ≈ vpα the parameter α is found to change during the cycle of the solar activity.[Formula: see text]


Author(s):  
Valery L. Yanchukovsky ◽  
◽  
Anastasiya Yu. Belinskaya ◽  

The relationship of Earth's seismicity with solar activity is investigated using the results of continuous long–term observations of cosmic ray intensity, solar activity and the number of strong earthquakes. Modulation of the flux of cosmic rays is used as information on the level of solar activity, processes on the Sun and interplanetary medium. The distribution of the number of sunspots, the intensity of cosmic rays and the number of strong earthquakes in the solar cycle is presented.


2020 ◽  
Vol 60 (5) ◽  
pp. 586-596 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. D. Danilov ◽  
A. V. Konstantinova

Solar Physics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 296 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Courtillot ◽  
F. Lopes ◽  
J. L. Le Mouël

AbstractThis article deals with the prediction of the upcoming solar activity cycle, Solar Cycle 25. We propose that astronomical ephemeris, specifically taken from the catalogs of aphelia of the four Jovian planets, could be drivers of variations in solar activity, represented by the series of sunspot numbers (SSN) from 1749 to 2020. We use singular spectrum analysis (SSA) to associate components with similar periods in the ephemeris and SSN. We determine the transfer function between the two data sets. We improve the match in successive steps: first with Jupiter only, then with the four Jovian planets and finally including commensurable periods of pairs and pairs of pairs of the Jovian planets (following Mörth and Schlamminger in Planetary Motion, Sunspots and Climate, Solar-Terrestrial Influences on Weather and Climate, 193, 1979). The transfer function can be applied to the ephemeris to predict future cycles. We test this with success using the “hindcast prediction” of Solar Cycles 21 to 24, using only data preceding these cycles, and by analyzing separately two 130 and 140 year-long halves of the original series. We conclude with a prediction of Solar Cycle 25 that can be compared to a dozen predictions by other authors: the maximum would occur in 2026.2 (± 1 yr) and reach an amplitude of 97.6 (± 7.8), similar to that of Solar Cycle 24, therefore sketching a new “Modern minimum”, following the Dalton and Gleissberg minima.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document