THE PRICE PUZZLE AND VAR IDENTIFICATION

2014 ◽  
Vol 19 (8) ◽  
pp. 1880-1887 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arturo Estrella

In structural VARs, unexpected monetary tightening often leads to the price puzzle, a counterintuitive increase in inflation in the impulse response function. The identification of impulse responses requires at least a minimal set of structural assumptions, and models exhibiting the price puzzle typically use standard assumptions focusing mainly on relationships among contemporaneous disturbances. This note uses a well-established stylized fact, the long lags of monetary policy, to motivate a simple additional identifying assumption. The assumption eliminates a single term in one equation of the reduced form, and with it the price puzzle.

2005 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Umi Julaihah ◽  
Insukindro Insukindro

The objectives of this study are to analyze the effect of monetary policy on Indonesian economy and which monetary instruments can explain the variability of macroeconomic variables better.We apply Vector Error Correction Model on quarterly Indonesian economic data during period of 1983.1 - 2003.2. We observe monetary policy variables namely base money, SBI interest rate, one month commercial bank deposit interest rate, and macroeconomic variables namely consumer price index, gross domestic product, and exchange rate (rupiah/dollar). The model approach provide us two quantitative measurements, (i) impulse response function that can trace the response of one endogenous variable caused by shock/ innovation of other variables in the model; (ii) variance decomposition to show the relative contribution of certain endogenous variable variability.The result of impulse response function shows that economic growth did not response the shock of base money while on the other hand the base money has significant effect on inflation. This leaves a price puzzle and liquidity puzzle. The use of SBI as policy variable gives better result than base money as price puzzle and liquidity puzzle vanish. The result of variance decomposition shows that base money contributes only 5% on inflation but it did not give any contribution on economic growth fluctuation. While SBI has better capability in explaining the economic growth fluctuation until 14%. The interesting result is policy variables (base money and SBI) have best contribution in explain the fluctuation on exchange rate. These findings assert that policy shock is well responded by exchange rate rather than other economic variables.Keywords: monetary policy, impulse response function, variance decomposition.JEL : C32, E52, F31, F43


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 108-113
Author(s):  
Ewa Pawłuszewicz

AbstractThe problem of realisation of linear control systems with the h–difference of Caputo-, Riemann–Liouville- and Grünwald–Letnikov-type fractional vector-order operators is studied. The problem of existing minimal realisation is discussed.


Author(s):  
Mingjie Zhang ◽  
Ole Øiseth

AbstractA convolution-based numerical algorithm is presented for the time-domain analysis of fluidelastic instability in tube arrays, emphasizing in detail some key numerical issues involved in the time-domain simulation. The unit-step and unit-impulse response functions, as two elementary building blocks for the time-domain analysis, are interpreted systematically. An amplitude-dependent unit-step or unit-impulse response function is introduced to capture the main features of the nonlinear fluidelastic (FE) forces. Connections of these elementary functions with conventional frequency-domain unsteady FE force coefficients are discussed to facilitate the identification of model parameters. Due to the lack of a reliable method to directly identify the unit-step or unit-impulse response function, the response function is indirectly identified based on the unsteady FE force coefficients. However, the transient feature captured by the indirectly identified response function may not be consistent with the physical fluid-memory effects. A recursive function is derived for FE force simulation to reduce the computational cost of the convolution operation. Numerical examples of two tube arrays, containing both a single flexible tube and multiple flexible tubes, are provided to validate the fidelity of the time-domain simulation. It is proven that the present time-domain simulation can achieve the same level of accuracy as the frequency-domain simulation based on the unsteady FE force coefficients. The convolution-based time-domain simulation can be used to more accurately evaluate the integrity of tube arrays by considering various nonlinear effects and non-uniform flow conditions. However, the indirectly identified unit-step or unit-impulse response function may fail to capture the underlying discontinuity in the stability curve due to the prespecified expression for fluid-memory effects.


2010 ◽  
Vol 09 (04) ◽  
pp. 387-394 ◽  
Author(s):  
YANG CHEN ◽  
YIWEN SUN ◽  
EMMA PICKWELL-MACPHERSON

In terahertz imaging, deconvolution is often performed to extract the impulse response function of the sample of interest. The inverse filtering process amplifies the noise and in this paper we investigate how we can suppress the noise without over-smoothing and losing useful information. We propose a robust deconvolution process utilizing stationary wavelet shrinkage theory which shows significant improvement over other popular methods such as double Gaussian filtering. We demonstrate the success of our approach on experimental data of water and isopropanol.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-24
Author(s):  
Martinianus Tshimologo Tibinyane ◽  
Teresia Kaulihowa

This paper analyses the effect of the prime interest rate as a monetary policy instrument to stimulate economic growth in Namibia, a small open economy that is constrained by currency board operations. A Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR) was used for the period 1980–2019. The result shows that Namibia’s prime interest rate has no significant effect on economic growth. This finding remains robust and consistent when impulse response function and variance decomposition are employed. The impulse response function indicates a shock on the prime interest rate exhibits an inverse relationship. However, this effect is insignificant in both short and long-run scenarios. The variance decomposition indicates that the prime interest rate has a strongly exogenous impact, implying it has a weak influence on GDP growth. Policy implication indicates that small open economies under currency board operations need to identify different policy responses to circumvent external shocks and addresses their development needs.


2018 ◽  
Vol 34 (6) ◽  
pp. 586-596
Author(s):  
Gautam Dadhich ◽  
Shweta Sharma ◽  
Mihir Rambhia ◽  
Aloke K. Mathur ◽  
P. R. Patel ◽  
...  

2003 ◽  
Vol 285 (4) ◽  
pp. G671-G680 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ole L. Munk ◽  
Susanne Keiding ◽  
Ludvik Bass

Modeling physiological processes using tracer kinetic methods requires knowledge of the time course of the tracer concentration in blood supplying the organ. For liver studies, however, inaccessibility of the portal vein makes direct measurement of the hepatic dual-input function impossible in humans. We want to develop a method to predict the portal venous time-activity curve from measurements of an arterial time-activity curve. An impulse-response function based on a continuous distribution of washout constants is developed and validated for the gut. Experiments with simultaneous blood sampling in aorta and portal vein were made in 13 anesthetized pigs following inhalation of intravascular [15O]CO or injections of diffusible 3- O-[11C]methylglucose (MG). The parameters of the impulse-response function have a physiological interpretation in terms of the distribution of washout constants and are mathematically equivalent to the mean transit time ( T̄) and standard deviation of transit times. The results include estimates of mean transit times from the aorta to the portal vein in pigs: T̄ = 0.35 ± 0.05 min for CO and 1.7 ± 0.1 min for MG. The prediction of the portal venous time-activity curve benefits from constraining the regression fits by parameters estimated independently. This is strong evidence for the physiological relevance of the impulse-response function, which includes asymptotically, and thereby justifies kinetically, a useful and simple power law. Similarity between our parameter estimates in pigs and parameter estimates in normal humans suggests that the proposed model can be adapted for use in humans.


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