scholarly journals THE REGIME-DEPENDENT EVOLUTION OF CREDIBILITY: A FRESH LOOK AT HONG KONG'S LINKED EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM

2018 ◽  
Vol 23 (06) ◽  
pp. 2434-2468 ◽  
Author(s):  
Boris Blagov ◽  
Michael Funke
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Nonlinear Process ◽  
Modeling Framework ◽  
Baseline Model ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Macroeconomic Shocks ◽  
Exchange Rate System ◽  
Dsge Modeling

An estimated Markov-switching DSGE modeling framework that allows for parameter shifts across regimes is employed to test the hypothesis of regime-dependent credibility of Hong Kong's linked exchange rate system. The baseline model distinguishes two regimes with respect to the time-series properties of the risk premium. Regime-dependent impulse responses to macroeconomic shocks reveal substantial differences in spreads. To test the sensitivity of the results, a number of robustness checks are performed. The findings contribute to efforts at modeling exchange rate regime credibility as a nonlinear process with two distinct regimes.

MANAGING EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY: A COMPARATIVE COUNTERFACTUAL ANALYSIS OF SINGAPORE, 1994–2003

2009 ◽  
Vol 54 (04) ◽  
pp. 543-568 ◽  
Author(s):  
PETER WILSON ◽  
HENRY SHANG REN NG
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Rate System ◽  
The Us ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Exchange Rate System ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate

This paper looks at how Singapore's exchange rate regime has coped with exchange rate volatility, by comparing the performance of Singapore's actual regime in minimizing the volatility of the nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) and the bilateral rate against the US dollar with some counterfactual regimes and the corresponding performance of eight other East Asian countries. In contrast to previous counterfactual exercises, we apply a more disaggregated methodology for the trade weights, a larger number of trade partners and ARCH/GARCH techniques to capture the time-varying characteristics of volatility. Our findings confirm that Singapore's managed floating exchange rate system has delivered relatively low currency volatility. Although there are gains in volatility reduction for all countries in the sample from the adoption of either a unilateral or a common basket peg, particularly post-Asian crisis, these gains are relatively low for Singapore, largely because of low actual volatility. There are additional gains for non-dollar peggers from stabilizing intra-east Asian exchange rates against the dollar if they were to adopt a basket peg, especially post-crisis, but the gains for Singapore are again relatively modest. Finally, the conclusion from previous counterfactual studies that there is little difference between a unilateral basket peg and a common basket peg in terms of stability reduction is confirmed.

Exchange rate regime: Perspectives of transformation

2017 ◽  
pp. 131-145
Author(s):  
I. Nesterov ◽  
S. Sutyrin
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
International Monetary System ◽  
Political Will ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Monetary System ◽  
Exchange Rate System

The article deals with the issues of international monetary system reforming. The paper regards an adoption of a new exchange rate system as the key element of the reforming process. This adoption requires not only economic backgrounds but also political will in the countries involved.

China's New Exchange Rate Regime

2005 ◽  
Vol 104 (683) ◽  
pp. 264-267
Author(s):  
Barry Eichengreen
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Work In Progress ◽  
Exchange Rate System

China's exchange rate system is a work in progress. Notwithstanding all the attention attracted by the dramatic decisions this July, that process has only started.

Exchange Rate Volatility in Emerging Markets:The Chilean Case

2007 ◽  
pp. 87-100
Author(s):  
Juan R. Castro
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Arch Model ◽  
Macroeconomic Shocks ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
Domestic Credit ◽  
The Face ◽  
The Exchange Rate

The document conducts an empirical investigation on the volatility of the Chilean exchange rate regime, using a model of Objective Zones. Through the use of the ARCH model, the document tests the volatility of the exchange rate in the presence of different levels of international reserves and other macroeconomic shocks. The results show that domestic credit, domestic debt and external debt have the greatest impact on the volatility of the variables studied, especially when compared with other fundamental variables. The variance of the exchange rate is heterosedastic but it is not persistent, which implies that the exchange rate is stable, probably when it oscillates between two bands. The volatility of the exchange rate fluctuates to a greater extent in the face of changes in internal and external debt, than with the other variables used.

scholarly journals Measuring the relationship between the balance of payments and the exchange rate - A case study of a group of Arab countries during the period 2000/2016-

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 44-66
Author(s):  
Abd Elouahid SERARMA ◽  
Newfel BAALOUL
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Arab Countries ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Exchange Rate System ◽  
Independent Variable ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Relationship

The Objective of this study is to examine the effect of exchange rate system on the balance of payments, with a case study of a group of Arab countries. First we shed light on the most important theoretical and empirical studies of exchange rate systems and their macroeconomics effects in one hand. In the other hand we study a case of six oil exporting Arab countries. To achieve this purpose we adopted a panel data and run an econometric model to examine the relationships between the variables during the period 2000 to 2016. The study concluded that there is a significant positive correlation between the exchange rate as an independent variable and the balance of payments as a dependent variable, and there is no deference in the effects of the exchange system in the study of six Arab economies.

scholarly journals A Critical Evaluation of IMF History and Policies

2018 ◽  
Vol 04 (S1) ◽  
pp. 60
Author(s):  
Syed Ahmed ◽  
Abdulhamid Sukar ◽  
◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Structural Adjustment ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Critical Evaluation ◽  
International Banking ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Exchange Rate System ◽  
The International Monetary Fund ◽  
The Imf

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) was originally mandated to maintain exchange rate stability and adjustment of external imbalances in member countries and to act as a lender for countries facing short-term balance-of-payment crises. With the breakdown of the fixed exchange rate system, the IMF had to adjust its role in exchange rate management. The international banking crisis in the 1980s required a recalibration of IMF policies. Most of the policies in the 1980s and 1990s were driven by “Washington Consensus,” a doctrinaire view of economic development that called for structural adjustment through market liberalization and privatizations. However, critics indicate that the IMF, by failing to consider the unique conditions in developing economies and lumping them under a “one size fits all,” category may have caused more damage than good. In addition, it was alleged that IMF loans imposed unrealistic conditions on borrowers. All these policies are under review now in a quest for appropriate policies that will address some of these concerns and aid economic development. This paper provides a brief review of IMF policies from a historical perspective and a critique of IMF policies over the last few decades.

scholarly journals KEMBALI KE SISTIM KURS TETAP (FIXED EXCHANGE RATE)?

2007 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 37
Author(s):  
Edy Rahmantyo Tarsilohadi
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Economic Condition ◽  
Flexible Exchange Rate ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Monetary System ◽  
Fixed Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate System ◽  
The Right

Indonesia do want make the right Exchange Rate System, with be back to the Fixed Exchange Rate. In this paper, because of the economic condition and the environment monetary system, so the best system is still the Flexible Exchange Rate.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document