Strategic voting revisited: the case of the 2018 Taipei City mayoral election

Author(s):  
Chung-li Wu ◽  
Alex Min-Wei Lin ◽  
Chingching Chang

Abstract In this study, we examine whether strategic voting – in which a voter seeks to maximize the expected payoff from casting a ballot – occurred among late voters in the 2018 Taipei City mayoral election. This multi-candidate mayoral contest was noteworthy because ballot-counting started before all the votes had been cast, with preliminary results being leaked to the media. Theoretically, having access to real-time updates of voting figures could have influenced the decision of voters who were still in line waiting to cast their ballots. Analysis and reconstruction of aggregate polling data, however, demonstrate that there was very little (if any) strategic voting among these late voters on election day, even if they had information that might have induced them to vote strategically.

1997 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 153-163 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Fuh-Sheng Hsieh ◽  
Niou Emerson M.S. ◽  
Philip Paolino

Author(s):  
Stefan Bittmann

Virtual online consultation enables real-time exchange between two or more participants at different locations via audio and video communication [1-9]. In the visualization of the discussion partners, telemedicine thus differs from a classic telephone conference and expands it to include the visual component [1-6].


Author(s):  
Ilmawan Mustaqim

AbstrakAugmented Reality (AR) dapat didefinisikan sebagai sebuah teknologi yang mampu menggabungkan benda maya dua dimensi atau tiga dimensi ke dalam sebuah lingkungan yang nyata kemudian memunculkannya atau memproyeksikannya secara real time. AR dapat digunakan untuk membantu memvisualisasikan konsep abstrak untuk pemahaman dan struktur suatu model objek. Beberapa aplikasi AR dirancang untuk memberikan informasi yang lebih detail pada pengguna dari objek nyata. Media merupakan sebuah alat atau objek yang berfungsi sebagai penghubung antara penerima dan pengirim pesan.Media pembelajaran merupakan suatu alat perantara antara pendidik dengan peserta didik dalam pembelajaran yang mampu menghubungkan, memberi informasi dan menyalurkan pesan sehingga tercipta proses pembelajaran efektif dan efisien. Media pembelajaran mengakibatkan terjadinya sebuah komunikasi antara pendidik dan peserta didik dalam proses pembelajaran. Apabila dalam proses pembelajaran tidak menggunakan media maka tidak akan terjadi proses pembelajaran.Pemanfaatan media pendidikan menggunakan Augmented Reality dapat merangsang pola pikir peserta didik dalam berpikiran kritis terhadap sesuatu masalah dan kejadian yang ada pada keseharian, karena sifat dari media pendidikan adalah membantu peserta didik dalam proses pembelajaran dengan ada atau tidak adanya pendidik dalam proses pendidikan, sehingga pemanfaatan media pendidikan dengan augmented reality dapat secara langsung memberikan pembelajaran dimanapun dan kapanpun peserta didik ingin melaksanakan proses pembelajaran. Media Pembelajaran AR dapat memvisualisasikan konsep abstrak untuk pemahaman dan struktur suatu model objek memungkinkan AR sebagai media yang lebih efektif sesuai dengan tujuan dari media pembelajaran. Kata kunci:  augmented reality, media pembelajaran AbstractAugmented Reality (AR) can be defined as a technology that can combine virtual objects two-dimensional or three-dimensional into a real environment and then bring it or project it in real time. AR can be used to help visualize abstract concepts for the understanding and the structure of an object model. Some AR application designed to provide more detailed information on the user of the real object. Media is a tool or object that serves as a liaison between the recipient and the sender of the message.Learning Media is an intermediary tool between educators with learners in the learning that is able to connect, inform and distribute the messages so as to create an effective and efficient learning process. Instructional media resulting in a communication between educators and learners in the learning process. If the learning process does not use the media then there will be a learning process.Implementation media education using Augmented Reality can be stimulate the mindset of students in critical thinking about something issues and events that exist in everyday life, because of the nature of the medium of education is to help learners in the learning process with the presence or absence of teachers in the educational process, so that the use of the media augmented education with reality can directly provide learning wherever and whenever the learner wants to implement the learning process. Learning Media AR can visualize abstract concepts for the understandingand the structure of an object model enables the AR as a more effective media in accordance with the purpose of learning media. Keywords : augmented raeality, utilzation of instructional media


2021 ◽  
Vol 36 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
E Shalom-Paz ◽  
A Bilgory ◽  
N Aslih ◽  
Y Atzmon ◽  
Y Shibli ◽  
...  

Abstract Study question Can we develop a real-time diagnostic tool for chronic endometritis (CE) by using attenuated total reflection-Fourier transform infrared (ATR-FTIR) spectroscopy to evaluate biopsies obtained during hysteroscopy? Summary answer A discrimination model based on the absorbance data was developed by machine learning techniques, differentiating between positive and negative CE histopathology with 97% accuracy. What is known already CE is diagnosed in approximately 15% of infertile women who undergo in vitro fertilization (IVF), in 42% of women with recurrent implantation failure (RIF), and in 57.8% of women with RPL. Diagnosis is done by endometrial biopsy, and the presence of plasma cells in the endometrial stroma is the generally accepted histological diagnostic criterion. However, the histological detection of CE is time-consuming and difficult. ATR-FTIR spectroscopy is a non-destructive method that can provide valuable information on biochemical changes that occur during pathological processes, such as inflammation and cancer. Study design, size, duration We performed a prospective study in which fresh biopsies of endometrium were obtained during standard hysteroscopies. Each biopsy was examined by the spectrophotometer and afterward by histopathological analysis in which multiple myeloma oncogene 1 (MUM–1) staining for plasma cells, a marker of CE, was performed. We planned to investigate 80 samples to develop a discrimination model, and another 40 samples for validation of the model. The study was planned to last two years. Participants/materials, setting, methods Women that underwent hysteroscopy as a part of infertility evaluation were recruited. The hysteroscopies and the biopsy evaluation were performed at the same center. A cut-off of 8 MUM–1 positive cells per 10 high power fields (HPF) was set. We compared the spectroscopy analysis of the positive CE group (≥8) and the negative CE group (<8). Machine learning technique was utilized to build discrimination models. Data analysis was performed using Matlab and Unscrambler software packages. Main results and the role of chance We present preliminary results for our study. Forty-two women were recruited from January 2020 until November 2020. Of the 42 measured spectra, three were discarded due to high measurement noise. Of the 39 biopsies, 33 had MUM–1<8 (CE negative group) and 6 had MUM–1≥8 (CE positive group). Measured spectra of tissue smears from CE negative and positive groups differed from each other in the spectral range of 850–990 [cm–1] (p < 0.05). This wavenumber can be associated with the C-H in-plane bend in the alkene group (CnH2n). A discriminant model was developed between the groups using the Principal Component Analysis and Linear Discriminant Analysis techniques. The accuracy obtained by the model was 97%. We divided the 39 hysteroscopies based on the CE signs into 2 groups: “Negative hysteroscopic-CE” and “Positive hysteroscopic-CE”. Positive hysteroscopic signs were micropolyps, strawberry pattern, hyperemia, punctuation, or pale endometrium. Twenty-three samples were taken in the Negative group and 16 samples were taken in the Positive group. However, measured spectra of tissue smears from negative and positive hysteroscopy groups were not significantly different. The correlation coefficient between hysteroscopy groups and MUM–1 score was r = 0.29, meaning that the characteristic signs of CE in hysteroscopy were not correlated to the histopathology. Limitations, reasons for caution First, these are preliminary results and we need to investigate more samples to validate our model. Second, diagnostic criteria for CE are diverse in the literature and we chose 8 MUM–1 positive cells in 10 HPF, a criterion which may not be accepted by all experts in the field. Wider implications of the findings: ATR-FTIR spectroscopy is highly sensitive to molecular changes and has been utilized as a diagnostic tool in a variety of clinical studies. While histopathological results take about two weeks, ATR-FTIR spectroscopy might give us the possibility to diagnose CE in real-time, allowing an immediate initiation of the appropriate treatment. Trial registration number ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04197167


Author(s):  
Adilla Anggraeni

This chapter discusses the need for drama, interpersonal closeness, informational susceptibility, and compassion for others and their influence towards gossiping behavior via social chatting applications. Technological advancements have enabled people to communicate with each other at the convenience of their homes and in real time. This change, however, also means the changes in human behaviors, such as computer-mediated communication, can be shaped by the richness of the media that people can use to convey their thoughts and opinions. The existence of different chatting applications has fulfilled the needs of human beings to be connected and to interact with each other, and the interactions that take place can be in the form of gossiping and spreading information that may not necessarily be accurate.


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