scholarly journals Optimization of physical schemes in WRF model on cyclone simulations over Bay of Bengal using one-way ANOVA and Tukey’s test

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Meenakshi Shenoy ◽  
P. V. S. Raju ◽  
Jagdish Prasad
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
Planetary Boundary Layer ◽  
Bay Of Bengal ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
India Meteorological Department ◽  
Cloud Microphysics ◽  
Optimal Combination ◽  
Cumulus Convection ◽  
Elimination Method

AbstractEvaluation of appropriate physics parameterization schemes for the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is vital for accurately forecasting tropical cyclones. Three cyclones Nargis, Titli and Fani have been chosen to investigate the combination of five cloud microphysics (MP), three cumulus convection (CC), and two planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes of the WRF model (ver. 4.0) with ARW core with respect to track and intensity to determine an optimal combination of these physical schemes. The initial and boundary conditions for sensitivity experiments are drawn from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) global forecasting system (GFS) data. Simulated track and intensity of three cyclonic cases are compared with the India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations. One-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) is applied to check the significance of the data obtained from the model. Further, Tukey’s test is applied for post-hoc analysis in order to identify the cluster of treatments close to IMD observations for all three cyclones. Results are obtained through the statistical analysis; average root means square error (RMSE) of intensity throughout the cyclone period and time error at landfall with the step-by-step elimination method. Through the elimination method, the optimal scheme combination is obtained. The YSU planetary boundary layer with Kain–Fritsch cumulus convection and Ferrier microphysics scheme combination is identified as an optimal combination in this study for the forecasting of tropical cyclones over the Bay of Bengal.

scholarly journals Role of Planetary Boundary Layer Processes in the Simulation of Tropical Cyclones Over the Bay of Bengal

2018 ◽  
Vol 176 (2) ◽  
pp. 951-977 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Vijaya Kumari ◽  
S. Karuna Sagar ◽  
Yesubabu Viswanadhapalli ◽  
Hari Prasad Dasari ◽  
S. Vijaya Bhaskara Rao
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
Planetary Boundary Layer ◽  
Bay Of Bengal ◽  
Boundary Layer Processes

scholarly journals Different effects of latent heat in planetary boundary layer and cloud microphysical processes on Typhoon Sarika (2016)

Geofizika ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 37 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-66 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiangnan Li ◽  
Youlong Chen ◽  
Wenshi Lin ◽  
Fangzhou Li ◽  
Chenghui Ding
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Latent Heat ◽  
Planetary Boundary Layer ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Critical Factor ◽  
Cloud Microphysics ◽  
Mature Stage ◽  
Microphysical Process ◽  
Cloud Microphysical Processes ◽  
Microphysical Processes

Three simulation experiments were conducted on Typhoon (TC) “Sarika” (2016) using the WRF model, different effects of the latent heat in planetary boundary layer and cloud microphysical process on the TC were investigated. The control experiment well simulated the changes in TC track and intensity. The latent heat in planetary boundary layer or cloud microphysics process can affect the TC track and moving speed. Latent heat affects the TC strength by affecting the TC structure. Compared with the CTL experiment, both the NBL experiment and the NMP experiment show weakening in dynamics and thermodynamics characteristics of TC. Without the effect of latent heat, the TC cannot develop upwards and thus weakens in its intensity and reduces in precipitation; this weakening effect appears to be more obvious in the case of closing the latent heat in planetary boundary layer. The latent heat in planetary boundary layer mainly influences the generation and development of TC during the beginning stage, whereas the latent heat in cloud microphysical process is conducive to the strengthen and maintenance of TC in the mature stage. The latent heat energy of the cloud microphysical process in the TC core region is an order of magnitude larger than the surface enthalpy. But the latent heat release of cloud microphysical processes is not the most critical factor for TC enhancement, while the energy transfer of boundary layer processes is more important.

scholarly journals Structure Analysis of Tropical Cyclone Hudhud Over Bay of Bengal Using WRF Model

2018 ◽  
Vol 66 (1) ◽  
pp. 79-86
Author(s):  
Ashik Imran ◽  
Ishtiaque M Syed ◽  
SM Quamrul Hassan ◽  
Kh Hafizur Rahman
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
Bay Of Bengal ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
India Meteorological Department ◽  
Maximum Intensity ◽  
Horizontal Size ◽  
Strong Winds ◽  
Joint Typhoon Warning Center ◽  
Good Agreement

Tropical cyclones (TCs) over Bay of Bengal (BoB) have significant socio-economic impacts on the countries bordering the BoB. In this study, we have examined the structure and thermodynamic features of the TC Hudhud (7th -14th October, 2014) using WRF model. Simulated outputs are in good agreement with the available observations of India Meteorological Department and Joint Typhoon warning Center. At maximum intensity stage, the system’s horizontal size is found around 690 km. Wind and vorticity distributions capture the circulation of the system very well. Most strong winds of 60 ms−1 are extended vertically from 850 hPa to about 700 hPa. Simulation has shown intensification of the system above 200 hPa with wind speed of about 30ms−1. Relative humidity of the order of 90 % is found up to 400 hPa. Dhaka Univ. J. Sci. 66(1): 79-86, 2018 (January)

scholarly journals Estimating Daytime Planetary Boundary Layer Heights over a Valley from Rawinsonde Observations at a Nearby Airport: An Application to the Page Valley in Virginia, United States

2016 ◽  
Vol 55 (3) ◽  
pp. 791-809 ◽  
Author(s):  
Temple R. Lee ◽  
Stephan F. J. De Wekker
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Planetary Boundary Layer ◽  
Weather Forecasting ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Dispersion Modeling ◽  
Blue Ridge Mountains ◽  
Terrain Following ◽  
Regional Reanalysis

AbstractThe planetary boundary layer (PBL) height is an essential parameter required for many applications, including weather forecasting and dispersion modeling for air quality. Estimates of PBL height are not easily available and often come from twice-daily rawinsonde observations at airports, typically at 0000 and 1200 UTC. Questions often arise regarding the applicability of PBL heights retrieved from these twice-daily observations to surrounding locations. Obtaining this information requires knowledge of the spatial variability of PBL heights. This knowledge is particularly limited in regions with mountainous terrain. The goal of this study is to develop a method for estimating daytime PBL heights in the Page Valley, located in the Blue Ridge Mountains of Virginia. The approach includes using 1) rawinsonde observations from the nearest sounding station [Dulles Airport (IAD)], which is located 90 km northeast of the Page Valley, 2) North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) output, and 3) simulations with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model. When selecting days on which PBL heights from NARR compare well to PBL heights determined from the IAD soundings, it is found that PBL heights are higher (on the order of 200–400 m) over the Page Valley than at IAD and that these differences are typically larger in summer than in winter. WRF simulations indicate that larger sensible heat fluxes and terrain-following characteristics of PBL height both contribute to PBL heights being higher over the Page Valley than at IAD.

COMPARISON AND ANALYSIS OF SEVERAL PLANETARY BOUNDARY LAYER SCHEMES IN WRF MODEL BETWEEN CLEAR AND OVERCAST DAYS

2017 ◽  
Vol 60 (2) ◽  
pp. 141-153
Author(s):  
WANG Cheng-Gang ◽  
SHEN Ying-Jie ◽  
LUO Feng ◽  
CAO Le ◽  
YAN Jia-De ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Planetary Boundary Layer ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Comparison And Analysis

scholarly journals Evaluation of nonlocal and local planetary boundary layer schemes in the WRF model

2012 ◽  
Vol 117 (D12) ◽  
pp. n/a-n/a ◽  
Author(s):  
Bo Xie ◽  
Jimmy C. H. Fung ◽  
Allen Chan ◽  
Alexis Lau
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Planetary Boundary Layer ◽  
Wrf Model

scholarly journals Impacts of the Lowest Model Level Height on the Performance of Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterizations

2012 ◽  
Vol 140 (2) ◽  
pp. 664-682 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyeyum Hailey Shin ◽  
Song-You Hong ◽  
Jimy Dudhia
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Surface Layer ◽  
Planetary Boundary Layer ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Implicit Assumption ◽  
Convective Model ◽  
Local Scheme ◽  
Level Height

The lowest model level height z1 is important in atmospheric numerical models, since surface layer similarity is applied to the height in most of the models. This indicates an implicit assumption that z1 is within the surface layer. In this study, impacts of z1 on the performance of planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterizations are investigated. Three conceptually different schemes in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model are tested for one complete diurnal cycle: the nonlocal, first-order Yonsei University (YSU) and Asymmetric Convective Model version 2 (ACM2) schemes and the local, 1.5-order Mellor–Yamada–Janjić (MYJ) scheme. Surface variables are sensitive to z1 in daytime when z1 is below 12 m, even though the height is within the surface layer. Meanwhile during nighttime, the variables are systematically altered as z1 becomes shallower from 40 m. PBL structures show the sensitivity in the similar manner, but weaker. The order of sensitivity among the three schemes is YSU, ACM2, and MYJ. The significant sensitivity of the YSU parameterization comes from the PBL height calculation. This is considerably alleviated by excluding the thermal excess term in determining the PBL height when z1 is within the surface layer. The factor that specifies the ratio of nonlocal transport to total mixing is critical to the sensitivity of the ACM2 scheme. The MYJ scheme has no systematic sensitivity, since it is a local scheme. It is also noted that a numerical instability appears accompanying the unrealistic PBL structures when the grid spacing in the surface layer suddenly jumps.

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