scholarly journals Geographically varying relationships of COVID-19 mortality with different factors in India

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Asif Iqbal Middya ◽  
Sarbani Roy

AbstractCOVID-19 is a global crisis where India is going to be one of the most heavily affected countries. The variability in the distribution of COVID-19-related health outcomes might be related to many underlying variables, including demographic, socioeconomic, or environmental pollution related factors. The global and local models can be utilized to explore such relations. In this study, ordinary least square (global) and geographically weighted regression (local) methods are employed to explore the geographical relationships between COVID-19 deaths and different driving factors. It is also investigated whether geographical heterogeneity exists in the relationships. More specifically, in this paper, the geographical pattern of COVID-19 deaths and its relationships with different potential driving factors in India are investigated and analysed. Here, better knowledge and insights into geographical targeting of intervention against the COVID-19 pandemic can be generated by investigating the heterogeneity of spatial relationships. The results show that the local method (geographically weighted regression) generates better performance ($$R^{2}=0.97$$ R 2 = 0.97 ) with smaller Akaike Information Criterion (AICc $$=-66.42$$ = - 66.42 ) as compared to the global method (ordinary least square). The GWR method also comes up with lower spatial autocorrelation (Moran’s $$I=-0.0395$$ I = - 0.0395 and $$p < 0.01$$ p < 0.01 ) in the residuals. It is found that more than 86% of local $$R^{2}$$ R 2 values are larger than 0.60 and almost 68% of $$R^{2}$$ R 2 values are within the range 0.80–0.97. Moreover, some interesting local variations in the relationships are also found.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Asif Iqbal Middya ◽  
Sarbani Roy

Abstract COVID-19 is a global crisis where India is going to be one of the most heavily affected countries. The variability in the distribution of COVID-19-related health outcomes might be related to many underlying variables, including demographic, socioeconomic, or environmental pollution related factors. The global and local models can be utilized to explore such relations. In this study, ordinary least square (global) and geographically weighted regression (local) methods are employed to explore the geographical relationships between COVID-19 deaths and different driving factors. It is also investigated whether geographical heterogeneity exists in the relationships. More specifically, in this paper, the geographical pattern of COVID-19 deaths and its relationships with different potential driving factors in India are investigated and analysed. Here, better knowledge and insights into geographical targeting of intervention against the COVID-19 pandemic can be generated by investigating the heterogeneity of spatial relationships. The results show that the local method (geographically weighted regression) generates better performance (R2 = 0:973) with smaller Akaike Information Criterion (AICc = -77:93) as compared to the global method (ordinary least square). The GWR method also comes up with lower spatial autocorrelation (Moran’s I = -0.0436 and p < 0:01) in the residuals. It is found that more than 87.5% of local R2 values are larger than 0.60 and almost 60% of R2 values are within the range 0:80 - 0:97. Moreover, some interesting local variations in the relationships are also found.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
Chaojie Liu ◽  
Jie Lu ◽  
Wenjing Fu ◽  
Zhuoyi Zhou

How to better evaluate the value of urban real estate is a major issue in the reform of real estate tax system. So the establishment of an accurate and efficient housing batch evaluation model is crucial in evaluating the value of housing. In this paper the second-hand housing transaction data of Zhengzhou City from 2010 to 2019 was used to model housing prices and explanatory variables by using models of Ordinary Least Square (OLS), Spatial Error Model (SEM), Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR), Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR), and Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR). And a correction method of Barrier Line and Access Point (BLAAP) was constructed, and compared with three correction methods previously studied: Buffer Area (BA), Euclidean Distance (ED), and Non-Euclidean Distance, Travel Distance (ND, TT). The results showed: The fitting degree of GWR, MGWR and GTWR by BLAAP was 0.03–0.07 higher than by ND. The fitting degree of MGWR was the highest (0.883) by BLAAP but the smallest by Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), and 88.3% of second-hand housing data could be well interpreted by the model.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 3220 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fan Yang ◽  
Fan Ding ◽  
Xu Qu ◽  
Bin Ran

Dockless shared-bikes have become a new transportation mode in major urban cities in China. Excessive number of shared-bikes can occupy a significant amount of roadway surface and cause trouble for pedestrians and auto vehicle drivers. Understanding the trip pattern of shared-bikes is essential in estimating the reasonable size of shared-bike fleet. This paper proposed a methodology to estimate the shared-bike trip using location-based social network data and conducted a case study in Nanjing, China. The ordinary least square, geographically weighted regression (GWR) and semiparametric geographically weighted regression (SGWR) methods are used to establish the relationship among shared-bike trip, distance to the subway station and check ins in different categories of the point of interest (POI). This method could be applied to determine the reasonable number of shared-bikes to be launched in new places and economically benefit in shared-bike management.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 198
Author(s):  
Sevim Sezi Karayazi ◽  
Gamze Dane ◽  
Bauke de Vries

Touristic cities are home to historical landmarks and irreplaceable urban heritages. Although tourism brings financial advantages, mass tourism creates pressure on historical cities. Therefore, “attractiveness” is one of the key elements to explain tourism dynamics. User-contributed and geospatial data provide an evidence-based understanding of people’s responses to these places. In this article, the combination of multisource information about national monuments, supporting products (i.e., attractions, museums), and geospatial data are utilized to understand attractive heritage locations and the factors that make them attractive. We retrieved geotagged photographs from the Flickr API, then employed density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) algorithm to find clusters. Then combined the clusters with Amsterdam heritage data and processed the combined data with ordinary least square (OLS) and geographically weighted regression (GWR) to identify heritage attractiveness and relevance of supporting products in Amsterdam. The results show that understanding the attractiveness of heritages according to their types and supporting products in the surrounding built environment provides insights to increase unattractive heritages’ attractiveness. That may help diminish the burden of tourism in overly visited locations. The combination of less attractive heritage with strong influential supporting products could pave the way for more sustainable tourism in Amsterdam.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saskya Mary Soemartojo ◽  
Rima Dini Ghaisani ◽  
Titin Siswantining ◽  
Mariam Rahmania Shahab ◽  
Moch. Muchid Ariyanto

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sri Harini

The Multivariate Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) model is a development of the Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model that takes into account spatial heterogeneity and autocorrelation error factors that are localized at each observation location. The MGWR model is assumed to be an error vector ε that distributed as a multivariate normally with zero vector mean and variance-covariance matrix Σ at each location ui,vi, which Σ is sized qxq for samples at the i-location. In this study, the estimated error variance-covariance parameters is obtained from the MGWR model using Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and Weighted Least Square (WLS) methods. The selection of the WLS method is based on the weighting function measured from the standard deviation of the distance vector between one observation location and another observation location. This test uses a statistical inference procedure by reducing the MGWR model equation so that the estimated error variance-covariance parameters meet the characteristics of unbiased. This study also provides researchers with an understanding of statistical inference procedures.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 320-330
Author(s):  
Nuramaliyah Nuramaliyah ◽  
Asep Saefuddin ◽  
Muhammad Nur Aidi

Geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) is a method used when there is spatial and temporal diversity in an observation. GTWR model just consider the local influences of spatial-temporal independent variables on dependent variable. In some cases, the model not only about local influences but there are the global influences of spatial-temporal variables too, so that mixed geographically and temporally weighted regression (MGTWR) model more suitable to use. This study aimed to determine the best global and local variables in MGTWR and to determine the model to be used in North Sumatra’s poverty cases in 2010 to 2015. The result show that the Unemployment rate and labor force participation rates are global variables. Whereas the variable literacy rate, school enrollment rates and households buying rice for poor (raskin) are local variables. Furthermore, Based on Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) showed that MGTWR better than GTWR when it used in North Sumatra’s poverty cases.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ziqi Li ◽  
Alexander Stewart Fotheringham ◽  
Taylor M. Oshan ◽  
Levi John Wolf

Bandwidth, a key parameter in geographically weighted regression models, is closely related to the spatial scale at which the underlying spatially heterogeneous processes being examined take place. Generally, a single optimal bandwidth (geographically weighted regression) or a set of covariate-specific optimal bandwidths (multiscale geographically weighted regression) is chosen based on some criterion such as the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and then parameter estimation and inference are conditional on the choice of this bandwidth. In this paper, we find that bandwidth selection is subject to uncertainty in both single-scale and multi-scale geographically weighted regression models and demonstrate that this uncertainty can be measured and accounted for. Based on simulation studies and an empirical example of obesity rates in Phoenix, we show that bandwidth uncertainties can be quantitatively measured by Akaike weights, and confidence intervals for bandwidths can be obtained. Understanding bandwidth uncertainty offers important insights about the scales over which different processes operate, especially when comparing covariate-specific bandwidths. Additionally, unconditional parameter estimates can be computed based on Akaike weights accounts for bandwidth selection uncertainty.


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