Multistage energy management system using autoregressive moving average and artificial neural network for day‐ahead peak shaving

2019 ◽  
Vol 55 (15) ◽  
pp. 853-855 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Mahmud ◽  
A. Sahoo
Author(s):  
Nisha Thakur ◽  
Sanjeev Karmakar ◽  
Sunita Soni

The present review reports the work done by the various authors towards rainfall forecasting using the different techniques within Artificial Neural Network concepts. Back-Propagation, Auto-Regressive Moving Average (ARIMA), ANN , K- Nearest Neighbourhood (K-NN), Hybrid model (Wavelet-ANN), Hybrid Wavelet-NARX model, Rainfall-runoff models, (Two-stage optimization technique), Adaptive Basis Function Neural Network (ABFNN), Multilayer perceptron, etc., algorithms/technologies were reviewed. A tabular representation was used to compare the above-mentioned technologies for rainfall predictions. In most of the articles, training and testing, accuracy was found more than 95%. The rainfall prediction done using the ANN techniques was found much superior to the other techniques like Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) and Statistical Method because of the non-linear and complex physical conditions affecting the occurrence of rainfall.


2019 ◽  
Vol 111 ◽  
pp. 05020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ziwei Xiao ◽  
Jiaqi Yuan ◽  
Wenjie Gang ◽  
Chong Zhang ◽  
Xinhua Xu

The demand of building energy management has increased due to high energy saving potentials. Load monitor and disaggregation can provide useful information for building energy management systems with detailed and individual loads of the building, so corresponding energy efficient measures can be taken to reduce the energy consumption of buildings. The technique is investigated widely in residential buildings known as Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring (NILM). However, relevant studies are not sufficient for non-residential buildings, especially for the cooling loads. This paper proposes a NILM method for cooling load disaggregation using artificial neural network. The cooling load is disaggregated into four categories: building envelope load, occupant load, equipment load and fresh air load. Two approaches are used to realize the load disaggregation: one is based on the Fourier transfer of the cooling loads, the other takes the cooling load, dry-bulb temperature and humidity of outdoor air, and time as inputs. By implementing the methods in a metro station, the performance of the proposed method can be obtained. Results show that both approaches can realize the load disaggregation accurately, with a RMSE less than 11.2. The second approach is recommended with a higher accuracy.


2019 ◽  
Vol 269 ◽  
pp. 04004
Author(s):  
Fuad Mahfudianto ◽  
Eakkachai Warinsiriruk ◽  
Sutep Joy-A-Ka

A method for optimizing monitoring by using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) technique was proposed based on instability of arc voltage signal and welding current signal of solid wire electrode (GMAW). This technique is not only for effective process modeling, but also to illustrate the correlation between the input and output parameters responses. The algorithms of monitoring were developed in time domain by carrying out the Moving Average (M.A) and Root Mean Square (RMS) based on the welding experiment parameters such as travel speed, thickness of specimen, feeding speed, and wire electrode diameter to detect and estimate with a satisfactory sample size. Experiment data was divided into three subsets: train (70%), validation (15%), and test (15%). Error back-propagation of Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm was used to train for this algorithm. The proposed algorithms on this paper were used to estimate the variety the Contact Tip to Work Distance (CTWD) through Mean Square Error (MSE). Based on the results, the algorithms have shown that be able to detect changes in CTWD automatically and real time with takes 0.147 seconds (MSE 0.0087).


2015 ◽  
Vol 137 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Schmelas ◽  
Thomas Feldmann ◽  
Jesus da Costa Fernandes ◽  
Elmar Bollin

Solar energy converted and fed to the utility grid by photovoltaic modules has increased significantly over the last few years. This trend is expected to continue. Photovoltaics (PV) energy forecasts are thus becoming more and more important. In this paper, the PV energy forecasts are used for a predictive energy management system (PEMS) in a positive energy building. The publication focuses on the development and comparison of different models for daily PV energy prediction taking into account complex shading, caused for example by trees. Three different forecast methods are compared. These are a physical model with local shading measurements, a multilayer perceptron neural network (MLP), and a combination of the physical model and the neural network. The results show that the combination of the physical model and the neural network provides the most accurate forecast values and can improve adaptability. From April to December, the mean percentage error (MPE) of the MLP with physical information is 11.6%. From December to March, the accuracy of the PV predictions decreases to an MPE of 78.8%. This is caused by poorer irradiation forecasts, but mainly by snow coverage of the PV modules.


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