scholarly journals Inconsistency of the Wolf sunspot number series around 1848

2013 ◽  
Vol 559 ◽  
pp. A28 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raisa Leussu ◽  
Ilya G. Usoskin ◽  
Rainer Arlt ◽  
Kalevi Mursula
Keyword(s):  
1985 ◽  
Vol 38 (6) ◽  
pp. 1009 ◽  
Author(s):  
RN Bracewell

The sunspot number series R( t) from 1700 to date is found to be representable by R( t) = I Jf' {Re( E( t) exp[i {wo t + ( t) I]) + U( t) 1 I, where Wo is the angular frequency corresponding to a period of 22 years, E(t) is the instantaneous envelope amplitude, (t) is the instantaneous phase of a complex time-varying analytic function, U(t) is an undulation of low amplitude and period about 30 (22-year) cycles and jy is a nonlinear operator whose main effect is to introduce a small amount of third harmonic (period about 7 years). The justification for the 22-year period is the known fact that the observable sunspot magnetic fields reverse polarity every 11 years or so at the time of sunspot minimum; the undulation has been demonstrated, and its period determined, in fossil records discovered by Williams; and the third harmonic is an expected consequence of minor nonlinearity in the dependence of the arbitrarily defined R( t) on the physical cause of sunspots. The algebraic representation is established by the Hilbert transform method of forming a complex analytic function as proposed by Gabor. The method reveals three obscuring features that may be alleviated as follows: use the alternating series R� (t) in which alternate II-year cycles take opposite signs, remove the third harmonic, and subtract the undulation. These justifiable steps remove artificial components, such as sum and difference frequencies, that are gratuitously and nonlinearly introduced by conventional Fourier analysis as applied to the rectified, or absolute, value of the 22-year oscillation. Then a complex envelope E( t) exp {i ( t)j can be discerned whose intrinsic behaviour can be studied to reveal statistics that bear on the physical origin of the solar cycle. The results favour a deep monochromatic oscillator whose influence is propagated to the observable surface via a time-varying medium. The r.m.s. value of the component of E(t) is 0�4 of the mean and the characteristic time is a century. Frequency analysis of the envelope does not support a 78-year period in the modulation noticed by Wolf. Both the statistical frequency distribution of the amplitude E( t) and its spectrum are subject to refinement by analysis of fossil solar records. The results do not favour the theory that the 22-year period is set by the natural frequency of a resonator with characteristic damping subject to random turbulent excitation. Also disfavoured is the theory of energy release at intervals determined by a relaxation process. Correlation has been found between the phase departure ~(t) from linear and envelope amplitude and attributed to propagation of the magnetic .cycles through a time-varying, such as a convecting, medium. A correlation not depending on Hilbert transform analysis is predicted between the reciprocal cycle length and envelope amplitude and found to� exist. Variability of the sunspot cycle length can be viewed as a Doppler shift due to propagation in a time-varying medium and the Wolf modulation then represents the concomitant intensity change. Agreement has been found between E(t) and '(t) but not explained. If the explanation is dispersion in the propagation of the assumed magnetic flux waves then there is a mode of oscillation. that has the characteristics required for the undulation U( t). Extra buoyancy possessed by the magnetic field of strong cycles accounts for the fast rise time of strong cycles.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leif Svalgaard

<p>The long-standing disparity between the sunspot number record and the Hoyt and Schatten (1998, H&S) Group Sunspot Number series was initially resolved by the Clette et al. (2014) revision of the sunspot number and the group number series. The revisions resulted in a flurry of dissenting group number series while the revised sunspot number series was generally accepted. Thus, the disparity persisted and confusion reigned, with the choice of solar activity dataset continuing to be a free parameter. A number of workshops and follow-up collaborative efforts by the community have not yet brought clarity. We review here several lines of evidence that validate the original revisions put forward by Clette et al. (2014) and suggest that the perceived conundrum no longer need to delay acceptance and general use of the revised series. We argue that the solar observations constitute several distinct populations with different properties which explain the various discontinuities in the series. This is supported by several proxies: diurnal variation of the geomagnetic field, geomagnetic signature of the strength of the heliomagnetic field, and variation of radionuclides. The Waldmeier effect shows that the sunspot number scale has not changed over the last 270 years and a mistaken scale factor between observers Wolf and Wolfer explains the disparity beginning in 1882 between the sunspot number and the H&S reconstruction of the group number. Observations with replica of 18th century telescopes (with similar optical flaws) validate the early sunspot number scale; while a reconstruction of the group number with monthly resolution (with many more degrees of freedom) validate the size of Solar Cycle 11 given by the revised series that the dissenting series fail to meet. Based on the evidence at hand, we urge the working groups tasked with producing community-vetted and agreed upon solar activity series to complete their work expeditiously.</p>


2019 ◽  
Vol 492 (3) ◽  
pp. 4513-4527 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hisashi Hayakawa ◽  
Frédéric Clette ◽  
Toshihiro Horaguchi ◽  
Tomoya Iju ◽  
Delores J Knipp ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT Sunspot records are the only observational tracer of solar activity that provides a fundamental, multicentury reference. Its homogeneity has been largely maintained with a succession of long-duration visual observers. In this article, we examine observations of one of the primary reference sunspot observers, Hisako Koyama. By consulting original archives of the National Museum of Nature and Science of Japan (hereafter, NMNS), we retrace the main steps of her solar-observing career, from 1945 to 1996. We also present the reconstruction of a full digital data base of her sunspot observations at the NMNS, with her original drawings and logbooks. Here, we extend the availability of her observational data from 1947–1984 to 1945–1996. Comparisons with the international sunspot number (Version 2) and with the group sunspot number series show a good global stability of Koyama's observations, with only temporary fluctuations over the main interval 1947–1982. Identifying drawings made by alternate observers throughout the series, we find that a single downward baseline shift in the record coincides with the partial contribution of replacement observers mostly after 1983. We determine the correction factor to bring the second part (1983–1996) to the same scale with Koyama's main interval (1947–1982). We find a downward jump by 9 per cent after 1983, which then remains stable until 1995. Overall, the high quality of Koyama's observations with her life-long dedication leaves a lasting legacy of this exceptional personal achievement. With this comprehensive recovery, we now make the totality of this legacy directly accessible and exploitable for future research.


Solar Physics ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 246 (2) ◽  
pp. 295-307 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean-Louis Le Mouël ◽  
Mikhail G. Shnirman ◽  
Elena M. Blanter

2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (S340) ◽  
pp. 17-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frédéric Clette ◽  
Laure Lefèvre

AbstractThe first-ever revision of the sunspot number was released in 2015 by the World Data Center (WDC) SILSO. We describe the main diagnosed corrections to the sunspot and group number series, and also review newly published alternate reconstructions. We show the convergence of the determinations of the 1947 scale jump in the sunspot number around a value of 1.18 for cycle maxima. We also assess new proposed reconstructions of the group number, like the “backbone” and “active-day fraction” methods. No agreement was reached yet for this series.We highlight the main impacts of those recent upgrades on different scientific applications. As this first revision also marks a transition towards a dynamical series open to future improvements, we finally introduce the ongoing collaborative process for preparing the next upgrade (Version 3). From now on, our scientific users must be prepared for a flexible integration of an evolving sunspot number series.


Author(s):  
Eleanna Asvestari ◽  
Ilya G. Usoskin ◽  
Gennady A. Kovaltsov ◽  
Mathew J. Owens ◽  
Natalie A. Krivova ◽  
...  

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 48 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-44
Author(s):  
R.P. KANE ◽  
N.B. TRIVEDI

ABSTRACT .Maximum Entropy spectral Analysis (MESA) of the 8IUlua1 mean temperature series for Central England for 1659-1991 indicated significant periodicilies at T = 7.8, 11.1, 12.5, 15, 18, 23, 32, 37, 68, 81, l09 and 203 years. These compare well with T = 22, 30, 80, 200 years obtained for China. Also, a good comparison is obtained with some periodicities in the sunspot number series.    


Solar Physics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 296 (9) ◽  
Author(s):  
Frédéric Clette ◽  
Laure Lefèvre ◽  
Sabrina Bechet ◽  
Renzo Ramelli ◽  
Marco Cagnotti

AbstractThe recalibration of the sunspot number series, the primary long-term record of the solar cycle, requires the recovery of the entire collection of raw sunspot counts collected by the Zurich Observatory for the production of this index between 1849 and 1980.Here, we report about the major progresses accomplished recently in the construction of this global digital sunspot number database, and we derive global statistics of all the individual observers and professional observatories who provided sunspot data over more than 130 years.First, we can announce the full recovery of long-lost source-data tables covering the last 34 years between 1945 and 1979, and we describe the unique information available in those tables. We then also retrace the evolution of the core observing team in Zurich and of the auxiliary stations. In 1947, we find a major disruption in the composition of both the Zurich team and the international network of auxiliary stations.This sharp transition is unique in the history of the Zurich Observatory and coincides with the main scale-jump found in the original Zurich sunspot number series, the so-called “Waldmeier” jump. This adds key historical evidence explaining why methodological changes introduced progressively in the early 20th century could play a role precisely at that time. We conclude on the remaining steps needed to fully complete this new sunspot data resource.


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