scholarly journals Short Time Solar Power Forecasting Using Persistence Extreme Learning Machine Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 294 ◽  
pp. 01002
Author(s):  
Xiaoyan Xiang ◽  
Yao Sun ◽  
Xiaofei Deng
Keyword(s):  
Solar Energy ◽  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Power Output ◽  
Smart Grids ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Solar Power ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Power Performance ◽  
Energy Prediction ◽  
Learning Machine

Solar energy in nature is irregular, so photovoltaic (PV) power performance is intermittent, and highly dependent on solar radiation, temperature and other meteorological parameters. Accurately predicting solar power to ensure the economic operation of micro-grids (MG) and smart grids is an important challenge to improve the large-scale application of PV to traditional power systems. In this paper, a hybrid machine learning algorithm is proposed to predict solar power accurately, and Persistence Extreme Learning Machine(P-ELM) algorithm is used to train the system. The input parameters are the temperature, sunshine and solar power output at the time of i, and the output parameters are the temperature, sunshine and solar power output at the time i+1. The proposed method can realize the prediction of solar power output 20 minutes in advance. Mean absolute error (MAE) and root-mean-square error (RMSE) are used to characterize the performance of P-ELM algorithm, and compared with ELM algorithm. The results show that the accuracy of P-ELM algorithm is better in short-term prediction, and P-ELM algorithm is very suitable for real-time solar energy prediction accuracy and reliability.

scholarly journals Fault diagnosis of industrial robot reducer by an extreme learning machine with a level-based learning swarm optimizer

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 168781402110195
Author(s):  
Jianwen Guo ◽  
Xiaoyan Li ◽  
Zhenpeng Lao ◽  
Yandong Luo ◽  
Jiapeng Wu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Fault Diagnosis ◽  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Production Efficiency ◽  
Industrial Robot ◽  
Optimal Solution ◽  
Industrial Robots ◽  
Generalization Performance ◽  
Gradient Descent Algorithm ◽  
Learning Machine

Fault diagnosis is of great significance to improve the production efficiency and accuracy of industrial robots. Compared with the traditional gradient descent algorithm, the extreme learning machine (ELM) has the advantage of fast computing speed, but the input weights and the hidden node biases that are obtained at random affects the accuracy and generalization performance of ELM. However, the level-based learning swarm optimizer algorithm (LLSO) can quickly and effectively find the global optimal solution of large-scale problems, and can be used to solve the optimal combination of large-scale input weights and hidden biases in ELM. This paper proposes an extreme learning machine with a level-based learning swarm optimizer (LLSO-ELM) for fault diagnosis of industrial robot RV reducer. The model is tested by combining the attitude data of reducer gear under different fault modes. Compared with ELM, the experimental results show that this method has good stability and generalization performance.

scholarly journals Predicting the Performance of Solar Power Generation Using Deep Learning Methods

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (15) ◽  
pp. 6887
Author(s):  
Chung-Hong Lee ◽  
Hsin-Chang Yang ◽  
Guan-Bo Ye
Keyword(s):  
Power Generation ◽  
Solar Energy ◽  
Power Output ◽  
Power Plants ◽  
Solar Power ◽  
Photovoltaic Cell ◽  
Power Prediction ◽  
Seasonal Characteristics ◽  
Variable Nature ◽  
Solar Power Plants

In recent years, many countries have provided promotion policies related to renewable energy in order to take advantage of the environmental factors of sufficient sunlight. However, the application of solar energy in the power grid also has disadvantages. The most obvious is the variability of power output, which will put pressure on the system. As more grid reserves are needed to compensate for fluctuations in power output, the variable nature of solar power may hinder further deployment. Besides, one of the main issues surrounding solar energy is the variability and unpredictability of sunlight. If it is cloudy or covered by clouds during the day, the photovoltaic cell cannot produce satisfactory electricity. How to collect relevant factors (variables) and data to make predictions so that the solar system can increase the power generation of solar power plants is an important topic that every solar supplier is constantly thinking about. The view is taken, therefore, in this work, we utilized the historical monitoring data collected by the ground-connected solar power plants to predict the power generation, using daily characteristics (24 h) to replace the usual seasonal characteristics (365 days) as the experimental basis. Further, we implemented daily numerical prediction of the whole-point power generation. The preliminary experimental evaluations demonstrate that our developed method is sensible, allowing for exploring the performance of solar power prediction.

Study on Deep Structure of Extreme Learning Machine (DS-ELM) for Datasets with Noise

2014 ◽  
Vol 989-994 ◽  
pp. 3679-3682 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meng Meng Ma ◽  
Bo He
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Simple Structure ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Deep Structure ◽  
Noisy Data ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithm ◽  
Feed Forward Neural Networks ◽  
Learning Machine ◽  
Hidden Layer ◽  
Auto Associative Neural Network

Extreme learning machine (ELM), a relatively novel machine learning algorithm for single hidden layer feed-forward neural networks (SLFNs), has been shown competitive performance in simple structure and superior training speed. To improve the effectiveness of ELM for dealing with noisy datasets, a deep structure of ELM, short for DS-ELM, is proposed in this paper. DS-ELM contains three level networks (actually contains three nets ): the first level network is trained by auto-associative neural network (AANN) aim to filter out noise as well as reduce dimension when necessary; the second level network is another AANN net aim to fix the input weights and bias of ELM; and the last level network is ELM. Experiments on four noisy datasets are carried out to examine the new proposed DS-ELM algorithm. And the results show that DS-ELM has higher performance than ELM when dealing with noisy data.

Prediction of Software Defect Using Ensemble Learning Based Improved Sparrow Search Algorithm To Optimize Extreme Learning Machine

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Tang ◽  
Qi Dai ◽  
Mengyuan Yang ◽  
Lifang Chen
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Ensemble Learning ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Defect Prediction ◽  
Software Defect Prediction ◽  
Prediction Ability ◽  
Software Defect ◽  
Ensemble Learning Algorithm ◽  
Learning Machine

Abstract For the traditional ensemble learning algorithm of software defect prediction, the base predictor exists the problem that too many parameters are difficult to optimize, resulting in the optimized performance of the model unable to be obtained. An ensemble learning algorithm for software defect prediction that is proposed by using the improved sparrow search algorithm to optimize the extreme learning machine, which divided into three parts. Firstly, the improved sparrow search algorithm (ISSA) is proposed to improve the optimization ability and convergence speed, and the performance of the improved sparrow search algorithm is tested by using eight benchmark test functions. Secondly, ISSA is used to optimize extreme learning machine (ISSA-ELM) to improve the prediction ability. Finally, the optimized ensemble learning algorithm (ISSA-ELM-Bagging) is presented in the Bagging algorithm which improve the prediction performance of ELM in software defect datasets. Experiments are carried out in six groups of software defect datasets. The experimental results show that ISSA-ELM-Bagging ensemble learning algorithm is significantly better than the other four comparison algorithms under the six evaluation indexes of Precision, Recall, F-measure, MCC, Accuracy and G-mean, which has better stability and generalization ability.

scholarly journals Forecasting Gold Prices Based on Extreme Learning Machine

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 372 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kumar Chandar Sivalingam ◽  
Sumathi Mahendran ◽  
Sivanandam Natarajan
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Learning Ability ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Feed Forward Back Propagation ◽  
Crude Oil Prices ◽  
The Future ◽  
Good Learning ◽  
Learning Machine

<p>In recent years, the investors pay major attention to invest in gold market ecause of huge profits in the future. Gold is the only commodity which maintains ts value even in the economic and financial crisis. Also, the gold prices are closely elated with other commodities. The future gold price prediction becomes the warning ystem for the investors due to unforeseen risk in the market. Hence, an accurate gold rice forecasting is required to foresee the business trends. This paper concentrates on orecasting the future gold prices from four commodities like historical data’s of gold rices, silver prices, Crude oil prices, Standard and Poor’s 500 stock index (S&amp;P500) ndex and foreign exchange rate. The period used for the study is from 1st January 000 to 31st April 2014. In this paper, a learning algorithm for single hidden layered eed forward neural networks called Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) is used which as good learning ability. Also, this study compares the five models namely Feed orward networks without feedback, Feed forward back propagation networks, Radial asis function, ELMAN networks and ELM learning model. The results prove that he ELM learning performs better than the other methods.</p>

scholarly journals A Robust AdaBoost.RT Based Ensemble Extreme Learning Machine

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pengbo Zhang ◽  
Zhixin Yang
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Approximation Accuracy ◽  
Weak Learner ◽  
Fast Learning ◽  
Learning Speed ◽  
Regression Problems ◽  
Learning Machine ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Stability And Accuracy

Extreme learning machine (ELM) has been well recognized as an effective learning algorithm with extremely fast learning speed and high generalization performance. However, to deal with the regression applications involving big data, the stability and accuracy of ELM shall be further enhanced. In this paper, a new hybrid machine learning method called robust AdaBoost.RT based ensemble ELM (RAE-ELM) for regression problems is proposed, which combined ELM with the novel robust AdaBoost.RT algorithm to achieve better approximation accuracy than using only single ELM network. The robust threshold for each weak learner will be adaptive according to the weak learner’s performance on the corresponding problem dataset. Therefore, RAE-ELM could output the final hypotheses in optimally weighted ensemble of weak learners. On the other hand, ELM is a quick learner with high regression performance, which makes it a good candidate of “weak” learners. We prove that the empirical error of the RAE-ELM is within a significantly superior bound. The experimental verification has shown that the proposed RAE-ELM outperforms other state-of-the-art algorithms on many real-world regression problems.

FUSION OF EXTREME LEARNING MACHINE WITH FUZZY INTEGRAL

2013 ◽  
Vol 21 (supp02) ◽  
pp. 23-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
JUNHAI ZHAI ◽  
HONGYU XU ◽  
YAN LI
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Fuzzy Integral ◽  
Fast Learning ◽  
Original Dataset ◽  
Learning Speed ◽  
Feed Forward Neural Networks ◽  
Three Stages ◽  
Learning Machine ◽  
Hidden Layer

Extreme learning machine (ELM) is an efficient and practical learning algorithm used for training single hidden layer feed-forward neural networks (SLFNs). ELM can provide good generalization performance at extremely fast learning speed. However, ELM suffers from instability and over-fitting, especially on relatively large datasets. Based on probabilistic SLFNs, an approach of fusion of extreme learning machine (F-ELM) with fuzzy integral is proposed in this paper. The proposed algorithm consists of three stages. Firstly, the bootstrap technique is employed to generate several subsets of original dataset. Secondly, probabilistic SLFNs are trained with ELM algorithm on each subset. Finally, the trained probabilistic SLFNs are fused with fuzzy integral. The experimental results show that the proposed approach can alleviate to some extent the problems mentioned above, and can increase the prediction accuracy.

Dynamic Simulation Study on a Coal-Fired Power Plant Aided With Low-Temperature Solar Energy

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Li ◽  
Yongliang Zhao ◽  
Ming Liu ◽  
Junjie Yan
Keyword(s):  
Power Generation ◽  
Power Plant ◽  
Solar Energy ◽  
Output Power ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Solar Power ◽  
Flow Ratio ◽  
Design And Optimization ◽  
Collector System ◽  
Steam Extraction

Abstract The concept of coal-fired power generation aided with solar energy uses stable fossil energy to compensate the instability and intermittently of solar power and reduces the cost of concentrated solar power (CSP) by decreasing the large-scale heat storage and turbine systems of CSP. In this study, trough solar collector system (TSCS) was integrated into the low-pressure heater side of a 660 MW coal-fired power generation system. In the system in which the 6# LP heater is completely replaced by TSCS, the variation value of the steam extraction flowrate of the LP heaters and the turbine output power decrease with the reduction in loads from 100% to 60% THA, and the output power increases by approximately 1 MW under 100% THA. When TSCS completely replaces the 6# LP heater under the load of 75%, the effects of direct normal irradiance (DNI) increase and flow ratio decrease on the main operating parameters of solar-aided coal-fired power plant (SCPP) were studied. Results show that the step increase of DNI decreases the 5# steam extraction flowrate and increases the output power by nearly 3 MW. When the flow ratio decreases by 139.87 kg/s, the output power decreases by around 0.35 MW. The dynamic characteristics of SCPP under different parallel situations with the load of 75% were also studied. As the number of parallel stage increases, the decrement in 5# steam extraction flowrate and the increment in output power decrease. The response time also decreases. Our study aims to provide detailed references for the control system design and optimization of coal-fired power units aided with solar energy.

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