scholarly journals Factors Affecting Crash Frequencies: A Negative Binomial Regression Based Analysis of Indus Highway, Pakistan

2019 ◽  
Vol 296 ◽  
pp. 01005
Author(s):  
Rafi Ullah Khan ◽  
Jingbo Yin ◽  
Faluk Shair Mustafa

The increase in vehicular traffic have also increased the highway crash frequency with the passage of time. Improvements in highway safety is of vital importance as it could save vast life and monetary losses. The highway crash frequency analysis of major Pakistani highways is a subject less discovered and many important strategic and trade routes are not studied in this regard. This study is aimed to analyze the crash frequency and the prominent factors that cause these crashes on a 302 km section of Indus highway; one of the most important trade routes of the country. Eight years’ data from 2011 till 2018 was arranged into 19 variables where the crash frequency is set as dependent variable, while the eighteen prominent causation factors as independent variables. The tool used for analysis was negative binomial regression being run in the SPSS software. The results indicate that the driver’s behavior, understanding & risk recognition, negligence and law adherence have a significant effect on the crash frequency. Furthermore, highway crash frequency significantly increases with increase in highway segment lengths, number of lanes and lane widths. Similarly, the highway crash frequency significantly enhances when the light, pavement surface and climate condition gets deteriorated. The results of this study are of vital importance to government, transportation companies and general public in order to recognize the most important accident causing factors and devise the transport policies, rules and behaviors accordingly.

2021 ◽  
pp. 000313482110111
Author(s):  
David E. Wang ◽  
Paul J. Chung ◽  
Rafael Barrera ◽  
Gene F. Coppa ◽  
Antonio E. Alfonso ◽  
...  

Introduction We explore nonclinical factors affecting the amount of time from admission to the operating room for patients requiring nonelective repair of ventral hernias. Methods Using the 2005-2012 Nationwide Inpatient Sample, we identified adult patients with a primary diagnosis of ventral hernia without obstruction/gangrene, who underwent nonelective repair. The outcome variable of interest was time from admission to surgery. We performed univariate and multivariable analyses using negative binomial regression, adjusting for age, sex, race, income, insurance, admission day, comorbidity status (van Walraven score), diagnosis, procedure, hospital size, location/teaching status, and region. Results 7,253 patients met criteria, of which majority were women (n = 4,615) and white (n = 5,394). The majority of patients had private insurance (n = 3,015) followed by Medicare (n = 2,737). Median time to operation was 0 days. Univariate analysis comparing operation <1 day to ≥1 day identified significant differences in race, day of admission, insurance, length of stay, comorbidity status, hospital location, type, and size. Negative binomial regression showed that weekday admission (IRR 4.42, P < .0001), private insurance (IRR 1.53-2.66, P < .0001), rural location (IRR 1.39-1.76, P < .01), small hospital size (IRR 1.26-1.36, P < .05), white race (IRR 1.30-1.34, P < .01), healthier patients (van Walraven score IRR 1.05, P < .0001), and use of mesh (IRR 0.39-0.56, P < .02) were associated with shorter time until procedure. Conclusion Shorter time from admission to the operating room was associated with several nonclinical factors, which suggest disparities may exist. Further prospective studies are warranted to elucidate these disparities affecting patient care.


Author(s):  
Amrita Goswamy ◽  
Shauna Hallmark ◽  
Theresa Litteral ◽  
Michael Pawlovich

Intersection crashes during nighttime hours may occur because of poor driver visual cognition of conflicting traffic or intersection presence. In rural areas, the only source of lighting is typically provided by vehicle headlights. Roadway lighting enhances driver recognition of intersection presence and visibility of signs and markings. Destination lighting provides some illumination for the intersection but is not intended to fully illuminate all approaches. Destination lighting has been widely used in Iowa but the effectiveness has not been well documented. This study, therefore, sought to evaluate the effect on safety of destination lighting at rural intersections. As part of an extensive data collection effort, locations with destination/street lighting were gathered with the assistance of several state agencies. After manual selection of a similar number of control intersections, propensity score matching using the caliper width technique was used to match 245 treatments with 245 control sites. Negative binomial regression was used to evaluate crash frequency data. The presence of destination lighting at stop-controlled cross-intersections generally reduced the night-to-day crash ratio by 19%. The presence of treatment or destination lighting was associated with a 33%–39% increase in daytime crashes across all models but was associated with an 18%–33% reduction in nighttime crashes. Injuries in nighttime crashes decreased by 24% and total nighttime crashes reduced by 33%. Property damage crashes were reduced by 18%.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Arup Varma ◽  
Satish Kumar ◽  
Riya Sureka ◽  
Weng Marc Lim

PurposeCareer Development International (CDI) is an established source of scientific research on careers and development. The journal reached its 25-years milestone in 2021. To commemorate the occasion, the article aims to provide a retrospective of the major trends, research constituents, thematic structure and key factors explaining the citation impact of CDI articles between 1996 and 2020.Design/methodology/approachThe article extracts bibliographic data of CDI from Scopus and uses that data in (1) a series of bibliometric analyses to explain the major trends, research constituents and thematic structure and (2) a negative binomial regression analysis to explain the key factors affecting the citation impact of CDI.FindingsThe article finds that CDI has progressed and contributed substantially to the scientific community since its inception 25 years ago. The contributions in CDI are mainly from America and Europe and can be organized around five major clusters, namely career development, work engagement, entrepreneurship career, career outcomes and career mentoring.Research limitations/implicationsThe article provides a rich overview of CDI, but the findings are limited to the accuracy and availability of bibliographic data of CDI from Scopus.Originality/valueThe article extends Akkermans and Kubasch's (2017) 5-years retrospection of major journals on career and development through a 25-years retrospection of CDI, and in doing so, the article provides a longer and more accurate representation of CDI's contributions to the extant literature on career and development.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 127
Author(s):  
Khairul Islam ◽  
Tanweer J. Shapla

Absenteeism is a national crisis in the United States, and must be addressed adequately at the early stages or at its onset, to prevent consequential disaster and burden due to absenteeism. A pervasive and persuasive nonchronic absenteeism results in chronic absenteeism, and causes severe damage to students&rsquo; life, schools and societies. While a good number of articles address various issues relating to chronic absenteeism, no evidence of research exists investigating nonchronic absenteeism. The aim of this article is to investigate factors affecting nonchronic absenteeism in K-8 students in the United States by applying discrete regression models. Initially, we investigate K-8 students nonchronic absenteeism discrepancies due to socio-demographic and parental involvement factors via descriptive analysis and then employ Poisson and negative binomial regression models for exploring significant factors of K-8 nonchronic absenteeism. The findings of this study will be of great use to stakeholders in developing appropriate incentive measures for reducing nonchronic absenteeism early and thereby reducing chronic absenteeism.


Author(s):  
Mohammad Mirjani Arjenan ◽  
Mohsen Askarshahi ◽  
Mahmud Vakili

Introduction: Despite the advances in cardiovascular diseases, death caused by these diseases is still considered as the leading cause of mortality. In this study, some of the effective factors on the deaths caused by cardiovascular diseases were investigated Methods: This cross-sectional analytical study investigated the efficacy of Poisson regression models and negative binomial regression models on factors affecting mortality from cardiovascular diseases. The death data were extracted from the death registration system for Yazd province in 2017.Gender, age, education, occupation, location, and city of death were also extracted for each deceased. The two regression models were then fitted to the data Results:  A total of 5,015 deaths were recorded, of which 1,642 were due to cardiovascular diseases. Cardiovascular disease mortality rates were significant using negative binomial regression in terms of the educational variables, place of residence, type of residence, and age. Death rates caused by cardiovascular diseases were not significant for age and occupational, educational, and residential variables. Conclusion: If the time of death is considered as an offset variable, the regression model of two negative sentences is more effective in showing the factors affecting death due to cardiovascular diseases according to AIC and BIC criteria. In the case that the total number of deaths is considered as the offset variable, the Poisson regression model is more efficient.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (1) ◽  
pp. 858-867
Author(s):  
Rifal Miju ◽  
Achmad Prasetyo

One of the problems in the health sector is the HIV/AIDS epidemic. The country of Indonesia itself is in the 5th most at risk of HIV/AIDS in the Asian continent (Ministry of Health of the Republic of Indonesia, 2013). The island of Java as the area with the highest number of cases with a population of about 56 percent of the total population of Indonesia. The purposes of this study are to find out the general description of the distribution of HIV/AIDS in Java and to identify the influencing factors by considering the effect of regional proximity. The results of the analysis show that the distribution of the number of HIV/AIDS cases is relatively clustered between regions that have high and low number of cases, this indicates a spatial effect between regions. Then the GWNBR shows that there are differences in the significance of the variables in each region and forms 9 groups of regency/municipality based on the significant variables.


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