scholarly journals Quantifying the dynamics of migration after Hurricane Maria in Puerto Rico

2020 ◽  
Vol 117 (51) ◽  
pp. 32772-32778
Author(s):  
Rolando J. Acosta ◽  
Nishant Kishore ◽  
Rafael A. Irizarry ◽  
Caroline O. Buckee

Population displacement may occur after natural disasters, permanently altering the demographic composition of the affected regions. Measuring this displacement is vital for both optimal postdisaster resource allocation and calculation of measures of public health interest such as mortality estimates. Here, we analyzed data generated by mobile phones and social media to estimate the weekly island-wide population at risk and within-island geographic heterogeneity of migration in Puerto Rico after Hurricane Maria. We compared these two data sources with population estimates derived from air travel records and census data. We observed a loss of population across all data sources throughout the study period; however, the magnitude and dynamics differ by the data source. Census data predict a population loss of just over 129,000 from July 2017 to July 2018, a 4% decrease; air travel data predict a population loss of 168,295 for the same period, a 5% decrease; mobile phone-based estimates predict a loss of 235,375 from July 2017 to May 2018, an 8% decrease; and social media-based estimates predict a loss of 476,779 from August 2017 to August 2018, a 17% decrease. On average, municipalities with a smaller population size lost a bigger proportion of their population. Moreover, we infer that these municipalities experienced greater infrastructure damage as measured by the proportion of unknown locations stemming from these regions. Finally, our analysis measures a general shift of population from rural to urban centers within the island. Passively collected data provide a promising supplement to current at-risk population estimation procedures; however, each data source has its own biases and limitations.

Author(s):  
Rolando J. Acosta ◽  
Nishant Kishore ◽  
Rafael A. Irizarry ◽  
Caroline Buckee

AbstractPopulation displacement may occur after natural disasters, permanently altering the demographic composition of the affected regions. Measuring this displacement is vital for both optimal post-disaster resource allocation and calculation of measures of public health interest such as mortality estimates. Here, we analyzed data generated by mobile phones and social media to estimate the weekly island-wide population at risk and within-island geographic heterogeneity of migration in Puerto Rico after Hurricane Maria. We compared these two data sources to population estimates derived from air travel records and census data. We observed a loss of population across all data sources throughout the study period, however, the magnitude and dynamics differ by data source. Census data predict a population loss of just over 129,000 from July 17 to July 2018, a 4% decrease; air travel data predicts a population loss of 168,295 for the same period of time, a 5% decrease; mobile phone based estimates predicts a loss of 235,375 form July 2017 to May 2018, an 8% decrease; and social media based estimates predict a loss of 476,779 from August 2017 to August 2018; a 17% decrease. On average, municipalities with smaller population size lost a bigger proportion of their population. Moreover, we infer that these municipalities experienced greater infrastructure damage as measured by the proportion of unknown locations stemming from these regions. Finally, our analysis measures a general shift of population from rural to urban centers within the island.


2015 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 431-451 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dilek Yildiz ◽  
Peter W.F. Smith

Abstract Administrative data sources are an important component of population data collection and they have been used in census data production in the Nordic countries since the 1960s. A large amount of information about the population is already collected in administrative data sources by governments. However, there are some challenges to using administrative data sources to estimate population counts by age, sex, and geographical area as well as population characteristics. The main limitation with the administrative data sources is that they only collect information from a subset of the population about specific events, and this may result in either undercoverage or overcoverage of the population. Another issue with the administrative data sources is that the information may not have the same quality for all population groups. This research aims to correct an inaccurate administrative data source by combining aggregate-level administrative data with more accurate marginal distributions or two-way marginal information from an auxiliary data source and produce accurate population estimates in the absence of a traditional census. The methodology developed is applied to estimate population counts by age, sex, and local authority area in England and Wales. The administrative data source used is the Patient Register which suffers from overcoverage, particularly for people between the ages of 20 and 50.


2022 ◽  
Vol 2022 ◽  
pp. 1-24
Author(s):  
Anwar Ali Yahya ◽  
Yousef Asiri ◽  
Ibrahim Alyami

Epilepsy is a common neurological disorder worldwide and antiepileptic drug (AED) therapy is the cornerstone of its treatment. It has a laudable aim of achieving seizure freedom with minimal, if any, adverse drug reactions (ADRs). Too often, AED treatment is a long-lasting journey, in which ADRs have a crucial role in its administration. Therefore, from a pharmacovigilance perspective, detecting the ADRs of AEDs is a task of utmost importance. Typically, this task is accomplished by analyzing relevant data from spontaneous reporting systems. Despite their wide adoption for pharmacovigilance activities, the passiveness and high underreporting ratio associated with spontaneous reporting systems have encouraged the consideration of other data sources such as electronic health databases and pharmaceutical databases. Social media is the most recent alternative data source with many promising potentials to overcome the shortcomings of traditional data sources. Although in the literature some attempts have investigated the validity and utility of social media for ADR detection of different groups of drugs, none of them was dedicated to the ADRs of AEDs. Hence, this paper presents a novel investigation of the validity and utility of social media as an alternative data source for the detection of AED ADRs. To this end, a dataset of consumer reviews from two online health communities has been collected. The dataset is preprocessed; the unigram, bigram, and trigram are generated; and the ADRs of each AED are extracted with the aid of consumer health vocabulary and ADR lexicon. Three widely used measures, namely, proportional reporting ratio, reporting odds ratio, and information component, are used to measure the association between each ADR and AED. The resulting list of signaled ADRs for each AED is validated against a widely used ADR database, called Side Effect Resource, in terms of the precision of ADR detection. The validation results indicate the validity of online health community data for the detection of AED ADRs. Furthermore, the lists of signaled AED ADRs are analyzed to answer questions related to the common ADRs of AEDs and the similarities between AEDs in terms of their signaled ADRs. The consistency of the drawn answers with the existing pharmaceutical knowledge suggests the utility of the data from online health communities for AED-related knowledge discovery tasks.


Epidemiologia ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 315-324
Author(s):  
Juan M. Banda ◽  
Ramya Tekumalla ◽  
Guanyu Wang ◽  
Jingyuan Yu ◽  
Tuo Liu ◽  
...  

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues to spread worldwide, an unprecedented amount of open data is being generated for medical, genetics, and epidemiological research. The unparalleled rate at which many research groups around the world are releasing data and publications on the ongoing pandemic is allowing other scientists to learn from local experiences and data generated on the front lines of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, there is a need to integrate additional data sources that map and measure the role of social dynamics of such a unique worldwide event in biomedical, biological, and epidemiological analyses. For this purpose, we present a large-scale curated dataset of over 1.12 billion tweets, growing daily, related to COVID-19 chatter generated from 1 January 2020 to 27 June 2021 at the time of writing. This data source provides a freely available additional data source for researchers worldwide to conduct a wide and diverse number of research projects, such as epidemiological analyses, emotional and mental responses to social distancing measures, the identification of sources of misinformation, stratified measurement of sentiment towards the pandemic in near real time, among many others.


2021 ◽  
Vol 37 (1) ◽  
pp. 161-169
Author(s):  
Dominik Rozkrut ◽  
Olga Świerkot-Strużewska ◽  
Gemma Van Halderen

Never has there been a more exciting time to be an official statistician. The data revolution is responding to the demands of the CoVID-19 pandemic and a complex sustainable development agenda to improve how data is produced and used, to close data gaps to prevent discrimination, to build capacity and data literacy, to modernize data collection systems and to liberate data to promote transparency and accountability. But can all data be liberated in the production and communication of official statistics? This paper explores the UN Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics in the context of eight new and big data sources. The paper concludes each data source can be used for the production of official statistics in adherence with the Fundamental Principles and argues these data sources should be used if National Statistical Systems are to adhere to the first Fundamental Principle of compiling and making available official statistics that honor citizen’s entitlement to public information.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Yanan Huang ◽  
Yuji Miao ◽  
Zhenjing Da

The methods of multi-modal English event detection under a single data source and isomorphic event detection of different English data sources based on transfer learning still need to be improved. In order to improve the efficiency of English and data source time detection, based on the transfer learning algorithm, this paper proposes multi-modal event detection under a single data source and isomorphic event detection based on transfer learning for different data sources. Moreover, by stacking multiple classification models, this paper makes each feature merge with each other, and conducts confrontation training through the difference between the two classifiers to further make the distribution of different source data similar. In addition, in order to verify the algorithm proposed in this paper, a multi-source English event detection data set is collected through a data collection method. Finally, this paper uses the data set to verify the method proposed in this paper and compare it with the current most mainstream transfer learning methods. Through experimental analysis, convergence analysis, visual analysis and parameter evaluation, the effectiveness of the algorithm proposed in this paper is demonstrated.


2021 ◽  
pp. 003464462199600
Author(s):  
Diego Ayala-McCormick

It has become common to compare racial inequality in the United States with a “Latin American” pattern of racial inequality in which egalitarian racial ideologies mask stark socioeconomic inequalities along racial lines. However, relatively few comparative studies exist attempting to analyze variations in degrees of racial inequality in the Americas. To stimulate further research in this area, the following study analyzes census data on racial inequality in unemployment rates, educational attainment, homeownership rates, and income in Brazil, Colombia, Cuba, Puerto Rico, and the United States. The results suggest that while Brazil is similar to the United States in displaying large levels of racial inequality in the areas measured, Cuba and Puerto Rico display significantly lower levels of racial inequality and Colombia falls in between, undermining conceptions of a monolithic Latin American racial system.


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 320-328
Author(s):  
Long Guo ◽  
Lifeng Hua ◽  
Rongfei Jia ◽  
Fei Fang ◽  
Binqiang Zhao ◽  
...  

With the rapid growth of e-commerce in recent years, e-commerce platforms are becoming a primary place for people to find, compare and ultimately purchase products. To improve online shopping experience for consumers and increase sales for sellers, it is important to understand user intent accurately and be notified of its change timely. In this way, the right information could be offered to the right person at the right time. To achieve this goal, we propose a unified deep intent prediction network, named EdgeDIPN, which is deployed at the edge, i.e., mobile device, and able to monitor multiple user intent with different granularity simultaneously in real-time. We propose to train EdgeDIPN with multi-task learning, by which EdgeDIPN can share representations between different tasks for better performance and saving edge resources in the meantime. In particular, we propose a novel task-specific attention mechanism which enables different tasks to pick out the most relevant features from different data sources. To extract the shared representations more effectively, we utilize two kinds of attention mechanisms, where the multi-level attention mechanism tries to identify the important actions within each data source and the inter-view attention mechanism learns the interactions between different data sources. In the experiments conducted on a large-scale industrial dataset, EdgeDIPN significantly outperforms the baseline solutions. Moreover, EdgeDIPN has been deployed in the operational system of Alibaba. Online A/B testing results in several business scenarios reveal the potential of monitoring user intent in real-time. To the best of our knowledge, EdgeDIPN is the first full-fledged real-time user intent understanding center deployed at the edge and serving hundreds of millions of users in a large-scale e-commerce platform.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julieta Bengochea Soria ◽  
Emanuele Del Fava ◽  
Victoria Prieto Rosas ◽  
Emilio Zagheni

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