scholarly journals Evaluating and tracking investments in natural infrastructure to reduce coastal flooding hazards

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Carson Ezra Young ◽  
Shannon E. Cunniff ◽  
William C. McDow
Keyword(s):  
Coastal Flooding ◽  
Flooding Hazards

Interactions of extreme river flows and sea levels for coastal flooding

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Robins ◽  
Lisa Harrison ◽  
Mariam Elnahrawi ◽  
Matt Lewis ◽  
Tom Coulthard ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
West Coast ◽  
Flood Risk ◽  
Coastal Flooding ◽  
Relative Timing ◽  
The West ◽  
Sea Levels ◽  
Flooding Hazards ◽  
Fluvial Response

<p>Coastal flooding worldwide causes the vast majority of natural disasters; for the UK costing £2.2 billion/year. Fluvial and surge-tide extremes can occur synchronously resulting in combination flooding hazards in estuaries, intensifying the flood risk beyond fluvial-only or surge-only events. Worse, this flood risk has the potential to increase further in the future as the frequency and/or intensity of these drivers change, combined with projected sea-level rise. Yet, the sensitivity of contrasting estuaries to combination and compound flooding hazards at sub-daily scales – now and in the future – is unclear. Here, we investigate the dependence between fluvial and surge interactions at sub-daily scales for contrasting catchment and estuary types (Humber vs. Dyfi, UK), using 50+ years of data: 15-min fluvial flows and hourly sea levels. Additionally, we simulate intra-estuary (<50 m resolution) sensitivities to combination flooding hazards based on: (1) realistic extreme events (worst-on-record); (2) realistic events with shifted timings of the drivers to maximise flooding; and (3) modified drivers representing projected climate change.</p><p>For well-documented flooding events, we show significant correlation between skew surge and peak fluvial flow, for the Dyfi (small catchment and estuary with a fast fluvial response on the west coast of Britain), with a higher dependence during autumn/winter months. In contrast, we show no dependence for the Humber (large catchment and estuary with a slow fluvial response on the east coast of Britain). Cross-correlation results, however, did show correlation with a time lag (~10 hours). For the Dyfi, flood extent was sensitive to the relative timing of the fluvial and surge-tide drivers. In contrast, the relative timing of these drivers did not affect flooding in the Humber. However, extreme fluvial flows in the Humber actually reduced water levels in the outer estuary, compared with a surge-only event. Projected future changes in these drivers by 2100 are likely to increase combination flooding hazards: sea-level rise scenarios predicted substantial and widespread flooding in both estuaries. However, similar increases in storm surge resulted in a greater seawater influx, altering the character of the flooding. Projected changes in fluvial volumes were the weakest driver of estuarine flooding. On the west coast of Britain containing many small/steep catchments, combination flooding hazards from fluvial and surges extremes occurring together is likely. Moreover, high-resolution data and hydrodynamic modelling are necessary to resolve the impact and inform flood mitigation methodology.</p>

scholarly journals Analysis of the risk associated with coastal flooding hazards: a new historical extreme storm surges dataset for Dunkirk, France

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (12) ◽  
pp. 3383-3402 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yasser Hamdi ◽  
Emmanuel Garnier ◽  
Nathalie Giloy ◽  
Claire-Marie Duluc ◽  
Vincent Rebour
Keyword(s):  
Nuclear Power ◽  
Power Plants ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Storm Surges ◽  
Coastal Flooding ◽  
Coastal Hazards ◽  
Historical Study ◽  
Frequency Model ◽  
Flooding Hazards ◽  
Flooding Events

Abstract. This paper aims to demonstrate the technical feasibility of a historical study devoted to French nuclear power plants (NPPs) which can be prone to extreme coastal flooding events. It has been shown in the literature that the use of historical information (HI) can significantly improve the probabilistic and statistical modeling of extreme events. There is a significant lack of historical data on coastal flooding (storms and storm surges) compared to river flooding events. To address this data scarcity and to improve the estimation of the risk associated with coastal flooding hazards, a dataset of historical storms and storm surges that hit the Nord-Pas-de-Calais region during the past five centuries was created from archival sources, examined and used in a frequency analysis (FA) in order to assess its impact on frequency estimations. This work on the Dunkirk site (representative of the Gravelines NPP) is a continuation of previous work performed on the La Rochelle site in France. Indeed, the frequency model (FM) used in the present paper had some success in the field of coastal hazards and it has been applied in previous studies to surge datasets to prevent coastal flooding in the La Rochelle region in France. In a first step, only information collected from the literature (published reports, journal papers and PhD theses) is considered. Although this first historical dataset has extended the gauged record back in time to 1897, serious questions related to the exhaustiveness of the information and about the validity of the developed FM have remained unanswered. Additional qualitative and quantitative HI was extracted in a second step from many older archival sources. This work has led to the construction of storm and coastal flooding sheets summarizing key data on each identified event. The quality control and the cross-validation of the collected information, which have been carried out systematically, indicate that it is valid and complete in regard to extreme storms and storm surges. Most of the HI collected is in good agreement with other archival sources and documentary climate reconstructions. The probabilistic and statistical analysis of a dataset containing an exceptional observation considered as an outlier (i.e., the 1953 storm surge) is significantly improved when the additional HI collected in both literature and archives is used. As the historical data tend to be extreme, the right tail of the distribution has been reinforced and the 1953 “exceptional” event does not appear as an outlier any more. This new dataset provides a valuable source of information on storm surges for future characterization of coastal hazards.

Coastal flooding and beach retreat from coseismic subsidence in the central Cascadia margin, USA

2000 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 255-269 ◽  
Author(s):  
Curt D. Peterson ◽  
Debra L. Doyle ◽  
Elson T. Barnett
Keyword(s):  
Plant Macrofossils ◽  
Coastal Flooding ◽  
Beach Erosion ◽  
First Order ◽  
South West ◽  
Great Earthquakes ◽  
Cascadia Margin ◽  
Flooding Hazards ◽  
Mud Flat ◽  
Coseismic Subsidence

Abstract Prehistoric great earthquakes (Mw 8-9) in the central Cascadia margin have produced coastal subsidence (0-2 m) that has resulted in chronic lowland flooding and catastrophic beach erosion. Geologic records of wetland burial in 13 bays from Washington and Oregon are used with simple calculations to estimate likely coastal flooding and beach retreat following a great Cascadia earthquake. Plant macrofossils and peat-to-mud ratios recorded in core logs discriminate between forest, marsh, colonizing marsh, and mud-flat tidal settings. Transitions between these settings, i.e., across abrupt burial contacts, demonstrate either 0+ or -0.5, 1+ or -0.5, or 2+ or -0.5 m of paleosubsidence. Paleosubsidence from the last Cascadia event (AD 1700) decreases from 2+ or -0.5 m in the eastern reaches of south-west Washington bays to 0+ or -0.5 m in the western reaches of central Oregon bays. First-order estimates of post-subsidence flooding hazards are based on the predicted regional subsidence added to current 10- and 100-year flood elevations. At least 525 km of bay shorelines are threatened by chronic flooding following coseismic subsidence. Catastrophic beach retreat is estimated from Bruun's Rule to range from 50 to 300 m depending on assumed depth of closure, measured beach-berm heights, and predicted coseismic subsidence along the margin. Shorelines that are susceptible to catastrophic beach retreat from coseismic subsidence total at least 250 km in longshore distance.

scholarly journals Coral Reef Restorations Can Be Optimized to Reduce Coastal Flooding Hazards

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Floortje E. Roelvink ◽  
Curt D. Storlazzi ◽  
Ap R. van Dongeren ◽  
Stuart G. Pearson
Keyword(s):  
Coral Reef ◽  
Risk Reduction ◽  
Reduction Potential ◽  
Coastal Flooding ◽  
Coastal Protection ◽  
Coastal Hazard ◽  
Fore Reef ◽  
Reef Restoration ◽  
Hazard Risk ◽  
Flooding Hazards

Coral reefs are effective natural coastal flood barriers that protect adjacent communities. Coral degradation compromises the coastal protection value of reefs while also reducing their other ecosystem services, making them a target for restoration. Here we provide a physics-based evaluation of how coral restoration can reduce coastal flooding for various types of reefs. Wave-driven flooding reduction is greatest for broader, shallower restorations on the upper fore reef and between the middle of the reef flat and the shoreline than for deeper locations on the fore reef or at the reef crest. These results indicate that to increase the coastal hazard risk reduction potential of reef restoration, more physically robust species of coral need to be outplanted to shallower, more energetic locations than more fragile, faster-growing species primarily being grown in coral nurseries. The optimization and quantification of coral reef restoration efforts to reduce coastal flooding may open hazard risk reduction funding for conservation purposes.

EMERGENCY ASSESSMENT OF POST FIRE DEBRIS FLOW AND FLOODING HAZARDS, 2015 VALLEY AND BUTTE FIRES, CALIFORNIA

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick K. Brand ◽  
◽  
David L. Longstreth ◽  
Jeremy T. Lancaster ◽  
William R. Short
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Flooding Hazards ◽  
Fire Debris

scholarly journals The Level of Public Acceptance to the Development of a Coastal Flooding Early Warning System in Jakarta

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 566
Author(s):  
Nelly Florida Riama ◽  
Riri Fitri Sari ◽  
Henita Rahmayanti ◽  
Widada Sulistya ◽  
Mohamad Husein Nurrahmat
Keyword(s):  
Path Analysis ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Early Warning System ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Coastal Flooding ◽  
Coastal Areas ◽  
Public Acceptance ◽  
Community Attitudes ◽  
Early Warning Model ◽  
Warning Model

Coastal flooding is a natural disaster that often occurs in coastal areas. Jakarta is an example of a location that is highly vulnerable to coastal flooding. Coastal flooding can result in economic and human life losses. Thus, there is a need for a coastal flooding early warning system in vulnerable locations to reduce the threat to the community and strengthen its resilience to coastal flooding disasters. This study aimed to measure the level of public acceptance toward the development of a coastal flooding early warning system of people who live in a coastal region in Jakarta. This knowledge is essential to ensure that the early warning system can be implemented successfully. A survey was conducted by distributing questionnaires to people in the coastal areas of Jakarta. The questionnaire results were analyzed using cross-tabulation and path analysis based on the variables of knowledge, perceptions, and community attitudes towards the development of a coastal flooding early warning system. The survey result shows that the level of public acceptance is excellent, as proven by the average score of the respondents’ attitude by 4.15 in agreeing with the establishment of an early warning system to manage coastal flooding. Thus, path analysis shows that knowledge and perception have a weak relationship with community attitudes when responding to the coastal flooding early warning model. The results show that only 23% of the community’s responses toward the coastal flooding early warning model can be explained by the community’s knowledge and perceptions. This research is expected to be useful in implementing a coastal flooding early warning system by considering the level of public acceptance.

scholarly journals Conception and Evolution of the Probabilistic Methods for Ship Damage Stability and Flooding Risk Assessment

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 667
Author(s):  
Dracos Vassalos ◽  
M. P. Mujeeb-Ahmed
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Probabilistic Method ◽  
Probabilistic Methods ◽  
Full Description ◽  
Safety Level ◽  
Probability Of Survival ◽  
Damage Stability ◽  
Passenger Ships ◽  
Flooding Hazards ◽  
Flooding Risk

The paper provides a full description and explanation of the probabilistic method for ship damage stability assessment from its conception to date with focus on the probability of survival (s-factor), explaining pertinent assumptions and limitations and describing its evolution for specific application to passenger ships, using contemporary numerical and experimental tools and data. It also provides comparisons in results between statistical and direct approaches and makes recommendations on how these can be reconciled with better understanding of the implicit assumptions in the approach for use in ship design and operation. Evolution over the latter years to support pertinent regulatory developments relating to flooding risk (safety level) assessment as well as research in this direction with a focus on passenger ships, have created a new focus that combines all flooding hazards (collision, bottom and side groundings) to assess potential loss of life as a means of guiding further research and developments on damage stability for this ship type. The paper concludes by providing recommendations on the way forward for ship damage stability and flooding risk assessment.

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