scholarly journals Short-term Power Forecast of Wind Power Generation Based on Genetic Algorithm Optimized Neural Network

2020 ◽  
Vol 1601 ◽  
pp. 022046
Author(s):  
Canzong Zhou ◽  
Bin Tang ◽  
Wei Cui ◽  
Zhengmao Yao
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Power Generation ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Wind Power Generation ◽  
Short Term

scholarly journals An RBF Neural Network Combined with OLS Algorithm and Genetic Algorithm for Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen-Yeau Chang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Power Generation ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Rbf Neural Network ◽  
Optimal Number ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Wind Power Forecasting ◽  
Forecasting Method ◽  
Power Forecasting

An accurate forecasting method for power generation of the wind energy conversion system (WECS) is urgently needed under the relevant issues associated with the high penetration of wind power in the electricity system. This paper proposes a hybrid method that combines orthogonal least squares (OLS) algorithm and genetic algorithm (GA) to construct the radial basis function (RBF) neural network for short-term wind power forecasting. The RBF neural network is composed of three-layer structures, which contain the input, hidden, and output layers. The OLS algorithm is used to determine the optimal number of nodes in a hidden layer of RBF neural network. With an appropriate RBF neural network structure, the GA is then used to tune the parameters in the network, including the centers and widths of RBF and the connection weights in second stage. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, the method is tested on the practical information of wind power generation of a WECS installed in Taichung coast of Taiwan. Comparisons of forecasting performance are made to the persistence method and back propagation neural network. The good agreements between the realistic values and forecasting values are obtained; the test results show the proposed forecasting method is accurate and reliable.

Comparison of Three Short Term Wind Power Forecasting Methods

2013 ◽  
Vol 684 ◽  
pp. 671-675 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen Yeau Chang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Power Generation ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Wind Power Generation ◽  
Maximum Absolute Error ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Neural Network Method ◽  
Forecasting Methods ◽  
Network Method

An accurate forecasting method for wind power generation of the wind energy conversion system (WECS) is urgent needed under the relevant issues associated with the high penetration of wind power in the electricity system. This paper presents a comparison of three forecasting approaches on short term wind power generation of WECS. Three forecasting methods, namely, persistence method, back propagation neural network method, and radial basis function (RBF) neural network method, are investigated. To demonstrate the performance of three methods, the methods are tested on the practical information of wind power generation of a WECS. The performance is evaluated based on two indexes, namely, maximum absolute error and mean absolute error.

Very short-term forecasting of wind power generation using hybrid deep learning model

2021 ◽  
Vol 296 ◽  
pp. 126564
Author(s):  
Md Alamgir Hossain ◽  
Ripon K. Chakrabortty ◽  
Sondoss Elsawah ◽  
Michael J. Ryan
Keyword(s):  
Power Generation ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Learning Model ◽  
Wind Power Generation ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Short Term Forecasting ◽  
Deep Learning Model

scholarly journals Forecasting Wind Power Generation Using Artificial Neural Network: “Pawan Danawi”—A Case Study from Sri Lanka

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Amila T. Peiris ◽  
Jeevani Jayasinghe ◽  
Upaka Rathnayake
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Power Generation ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Wind Power Generation ◽  
Training Algorithms ◽  
Training Algorithm ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Ann Models

Wind power, as a renewable energy resource, has taken much attention of the energy authorities in many countries, as it is used as one of the major energy sources to satisfy the ever-increasing energy demand. However, careful attention is needed in identifying the wind power potential in a particular area due to climate changes. In this sense, forecasting both wind power generation and wind power potential is essential. This paper develops artificial neural network (ANN) models to forecast wind power generation in “Pawan Danawi”, a functioning wind farm in Sri Lanka. Wind speed, wind direction, and ambient temperature of the area were used as the independent variable matrices of the developed ANN models, while the generated wind power was used as the dependent variable. The models were tested with three training algorithms, namely, Levenberg-Marquardt (LM), Scaled Conjugate Gradient (SCG), and Bayesian Regularization (BR) training algorithms. In addition, the model was calibrated for five validation percentages (5% to 25% in 5% intervals) under each algorithm to identify the best training algorithm with the most suitable training and validation percentages. Mean squared error (MSE), coefficient of correlation (R), root mean squared error ratio (RSR), Nash number, and BIAS were used to evaluate the performance of the developed ANN models. Results revealed that all three training algorithms produce acceptable predictions for the power generation in the Pawan Danawi wind farm with R > 0.91, MSE < 0.22, and BIAS < 1. Among them, the LM training algorithm at 70% of training and 5% of validation percentages produces the best forecasting results. The developed models can be effectively used in the prediction of wind power at the Pawan Danawi wind farm. In addition, the models can be used with the projected climatic scenarios in predicting the future wind power harvest. Furthermore, the models can acceptably be used in similar environmental and climatic conditions to identify the wind power potential of the area.

scholarly journals Models for Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Based on Improved Artificial Neural Network Using Particle Swarm Optimization and Genetic Algorithms

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 2873 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dinh Thanh Viet ◽  
Vo Van Phuong ◽  
Minh Quan Duong ◽  
Quoc Tuan Tran
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Particle Swarm Optimization ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Optimization Algorithm ◽  
Electricity Market ◽  
Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm ◽  
Particle Swarm ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Swarm Optimization

As sources of conventional energy are alarmingly being depleted, leveraging renewable energy sources, especially wind power, has been increasingly important in the electricity market to meet growing global demands for energy. However, the uncertainty in weather factors can cause large errors in wind power forecasts, raising the cost of power reservation in the power system and significantly impacting ancillary services in the electricity market. In pursuance of a higher accuracy level in wind power forecasting, this paper proposes a double-optimization approach to developing a tool for forecasting wind power generation output in the short term, using two novel models that combine an artificial neural network with the particle swarm optimization algorithm and genetic algorithm. In these models, a first particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to adjust the neural network parameters to improve accuracy. Next, the genetic algorithm or another particle swarm optimization is applied to adjust the parameters of the first particle swarm optimization algorithm to enhance the accuracy of the forecasting results. The models were tested with actual data collected from the Tuy Phong wind power plant in Binh Thuan Province, Vietnam. The testing showed improved accuracy and that this model can be widely implemented at other wind farms.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document