scholarly journals OP21 Predictive value of Milan Ultrasound Criteria in Ulcerative Colitis: A prospective observational cohort study

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S020-S021
Author(s):  
M Allocca ◽  
C Dell’Avalle ◽  
F Furfaro ◽  
V Craviotto ◽  
A Zilli ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Endoscopic remission is associated with better outcomes in ulcerative colitis (UC). However, colonoscopy (CS) is invasive and poorly tolerated by patients. Recently, we developed and externally validated non-invasive ultrasonography based criteria [Milan ultrasound criteria (MUC)] to assess and grade endoscopic activity in UC. We also confirmed that a MUC score > 6.2 is a valid cut-off to discriminate endoscopic activity, defined by a Mayo endoscopic subscore > 2. Aim of this study was to assess the predictive role of MUC on disease course in a prospective cohort of UC patients. Methods UC consecutive patients were followed for at least 12 months after performing baseline bowel US. UC-related outcomes, including need of treatment escalation (defined as the need of corticosteroids or change/optimization of immunosuppressants), hospitalization and surgery, were assessed at 1 year by logistic regression analysis, and were analyzed after long term follow-up (5 years) using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Fig. 1A and 1B. Kaplan–Meier curves for the cumulative probability of hospitalization and surgery in patients with Milan ultrasound criteria (MUC) < 6.2 (solid line) or MUC > 6.2 (dotted line). (p= 0.046; p= 0.023; respectively). Fig. 1C and 1D. Kaplan–Meier curves for the cumulative probability of hospitalization and surgery in patients with Mayo endoscopic subscore 0–1 (solid line) or 2–3 (dotted line). (p= 0.035; p= 0.071; respectively). Results 87 UC consecutive patients were included in the study, 31 (36%) were in endoscopic remission (Mayo endoscopic subscore 0–1) and 56 (64%) in endoscopic activity (Mayo endoscopic subscore 2–3). MUC and Mayo endoscopic subscore significantly correlated at baseline (Spearman’s rank correlations [rho]= 0.642; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.499 to 0.751; p < 0.001). The multivariable analysis identified as independent predictors of need of treatment escalation throughout the 12-month period as being: MUC > 6.2 (OR: 5.95, 95% CI: 1.32–26.76, p < 0.020) and a partial Mayo score (PMS) > 2 (OR: 26.88, 95% CI: 5.01–144.07, p < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis of long-term follow up demonstrated a lower cumulative probability of need for surgery and hospitalization in patients with MUC < 6.2 compared to MUC > 6.2 (Fig. 1A and 1B), as well as in patients with a Mayo endoscopic subscore of < 1 compared to Mayo endoscopic subscore of 2–3 (Fig. 1C and 1D). Conclusion MUC is a novel non invasive tool that predicts the course of UC in the short and long term follow-up.

2015 ◽  
Vol 113 (01) ◽  
pp. 185-192 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chun-Cheng Wang ◽  
Cheng-Li Lin ◽  
Guei-Jane Wang ◽  
Chiz-Tzung Chang ◽  
Fung-Chang Sung ◽  
...  

SummaryWhether atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) remains controversial. From Longitudinal Health Insurance Database 2000 (LHID2000), we identified 11,458 patients newly diagnosed with AF. The comparison group comprised 45,637 patients without AF. Both cohorts were followed up to measure the incidence of deep-vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE). Univariable and multivariable competing-risks regression model and Kaplan-Meier analyses with the use of Aelon-Johansen estimator were used to measure the differences of cumulative incidences of DVT and PE, respectively. The overall incidence rates (per 1,000 person-years) of DVT and PE between the AF group and non-AF groups were 2.69 vs 1.12 (crude hazard ratio [HR] = 1.92; 95 % confidence interval [CI] = 1.54-2.39), 1.55 vs 0.46 (crude HR = 2.68; 95 % CI = 1.97-3.64), respectively. The baseline demographics indicated that the members of the AF group demonstrated a significantly older age and higher proportions of comorbidities than non-AF group. After adjusting for age, sex, and comorbidities, the risks of DVT and PE remained significantly elevated in the AF group compared with the non-AF group (adjusted HR = 1.74; 95 %CI = 1.36-2.24, adjusted HR = 2.18; 95 %CI = 1.51-3.15, respectively). The Kaplan-Meier curve with the use of Aelon-Johansen estimator indicated that the cumulative incidences of DVT and PE were both more significantly elevated in the AF group than in the non-AF group after a long-term follow-up period (p<0.01). In conclusion, the presence of AF is associated with increased risk of VTE after a long-term follow-up period.


2013 ◽  
Vol 144 (5) ◽  
pp. S-229
Author(s):  
Toshihiro Inokuchi ◽  
Jun Kato ◽  
Sakiko Hiraoka ◽  
Hideyuki Suzuki ◽  
Tomoko Hirakawa ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
pp. bjophthalmol-2019-315131 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Sher Chaudhary ◽  
Amisha Gupta ◽  
Ajay Sharma ◽  
Shikha Gupta ◽  
Rayees Ahmad Sofi ◽  
...  

AimTo analyse long-term visual outcomes across different subtypes of primary congenital glaucoma (PCG).MethodsPatients with PCG with a minimum of 5-year follow-up post surgery were included in the study. Snellen visual acuity recordings taken at their last follow-up were analysed. We evaluated the results using Kaplan-Meier curves to predict the probability of maintaining good vision (as defined by a visual acuity of 6/18 or better) in our patients after 30-year follow-up. The results were also analysed to determine whether there were any differences in the long-term visual acuities with time between the neonatal and infantile PCG. We also analysed the reasons for poor visual outcomes.ResultsWe assessed a cohort of 140 patients with PCG (235 eyes) with an average follow-up of 127±62.8 months (range 60–400 months). Overall, the proportion of eyes with good visual acuity was 89 (37.9%), those with fair visual acuity between 6/60 and 6/18 was 41 (17.4%), and those with poor visual acuity (≤6/60) was 105 (44.7%). We found a significant difference (p=0.047) between neonatal and infantile patients with PCG whereby the neonatal cohort fared worse off in terms of visual morbidity. On Kaplan-Meier analysis, the cumulative probability of survival of a visual acuity of 6/18 or better was more among the infantile PCG in comparison to the neonatal PCG (p=0.039) eyes, and more among the bilateral than the unilateral affected eyes (p=0.029). Amblyopia was the most important cause for poor visual acuity as shown on a Cox proportional-hazards regression model .ConclusionsLong-term visual outcomes of infantile are better than neonatal PCG. Eyes with unilateral have worse visual outcomes compared with those with bilateral PCG because of the development of dense amblyopia.


1997 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 57-64 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Garcia-Cimbrelo ◽  
J. Alonso-Biarge ◽  
J. Cordero-Ampuero

This study analyzes the long-term results of 23 metal ring supports used in revision surgery since 1979. Only a metallic ring and a cemented cup were used in this series. Bone grafts and cementless cups were excluded from this study. One deep infection was excluded from the follow-up study. In the 22 cases analyzed, the mean follow-up period was 10 years for all cases and 12.2 years for unrevised cases. Bone defects according to the AAOS classification were: Grade 1, 1 case, Grade 2, 1 case, Grade 3, 10 cases, and Grade 4, 10 cases. A Müller ring was indicated in an anterior or medial wall defect (12 cases) and a Burch-Schneider ring was indicated in an anterior or posterior column defect or in pelvic discontinuity (10 cases). The clinical results were good in 8 cases, fair in 8 cases, and poor in 6 cases. Six cases were rerevised or removed, resulting in a total cumulative probability of rerevison or removal of 23.8% after 10 years according to the Kaplan-Meier analysis. Postoperatively, 18 cases had neutral rings, 2 cases had horizontal rings, and 2 cases had vertical rings. Radiological cup migration was found in 12 cases, resulting in a total cumulative probability of migration of 56.8% after 13 years according to the Kaplan-Meier analysis. Changes in the acetabular angle were present in 2 cases, vertical migration in 12 cases, and medial migration in 10 cases. Our data suggest that the metal ring and cemented cup alone could be used for salvage surgery in elderly patients and in low-demand patients. Possibly, adding bone graft could improve these results.


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S023-S024 ◽  
Author(s):  
M Iacucci ◽  
S C Smith ◽  
A Bazarova ◽  
U N Shivaji ◽  
P Bhandari ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Mucosal healing is an important goal in the treatment of ulcerative colitis (UC). The newly published PICaSSO score characterises subtle mucosal and vascular changes and defines mucosal healing. We aimed to validate in real-life the PICaSSO score and assess its ability to predict relapse. Methods Patients with UC were prospectively recruited from 11 international centres. Participating endoscopists experienced in IBD received training on PICaSSO before starting the study. The rectum and sigmoid were examined using iScan 1,2 and 3 (Pentax, Japan) and inflammatory activity was assessed using UCEIS and PICaSSO. Biopsies were taken for the histological assessment using Robarts Histological Index (RHI) and Nancy. Follow-up was obtained at 12 months. Results A total of 278 patients were recruited (Table 1). The diagnostic performance in predicting histologic healing is shown in Table 2. When using PICaSSO score of ≤3 for mucosal and vascular architecture the AUROC to predict healing by RHI is 0.79 (95% CI 0.74–0.85) and 0.73 (95% CI 0.68–0.80) respectively and when using the Nancy score the AUROC is 0.78 (95% CI 0.72–0.84) and 0.77 (0.71–0.84). A total PICaSSO score of ≤8 and UCEIS score of ≤1 predicts remission at 12 months with an AUROC of 0.73 (0.65–0.80) and 0.71 (0.64–0.79). A Kaplan–Meier curve shows a favourable survival probability without relapse with a PICASSO score of ≤8 (Figure 1). Conclusion This real-life validation study shows the PICaSSO score can predict accurately histological healing and long-term remission and can be a useful tool in the management of UC.


2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (Supplement_6) ◽  
pp. vi285-vi285
Author(s):  
Martin van den Bent ◽  
Khe Hoang-Xuan ◽  
Alba Brandes ◽  
Johan Kros ◽  
M C M Kouwenhoven ◽  
...  

Abstract BACKGROUND Between 1995 and 2002 the EORTC Brain Tumor Group conducted a prospective phase III study on adjuvant procarbazine, CCNU and vincristine (PCV) chemotherapy in anaplastic oligodendroglioma (AOD). A mature follow-up presented in 2012 showed survival benefit of the addition of PCV, in particular in 1p/19q co-deleted tumors and tumors with MGMT promoter methylation. We now present very long term follow-up. MATERIALS AND METHODS Patients were eligible if locally diagnosed with a newly diagnosed AOD. They were randomized between radiotherapy (RT, 33 x 1.8 Gy) and the same RT followed by 6 cycles PCV (RT/PCV). Primary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS). 1p/19q status (FISH) was determined in 300 patient. Kaplan- Meier technique and Cox modeling were used for long term survival analysis. Primary analyses were adjusted for known prognostic factors. For other analyses no adjustment was performed. RESULTS With 368 patients included, a median follow-up of 18.4 years and 307 (83%) survival events, median and 20-year survival after RT/PCV versus RT alone were 42.3 mo and 16.8% vs 30.6 months and 10.1% (HR 0.78; 95% CI (0.63, 0.98), adjusted p=0.06). Eighty patients were 1p/19q codel of which 26 (33%) were still alive, in this subgroup median and 20-year survival after RT/PCV versus RT alone were 14 years and 37.1% versus 9.3 years and 13.6% (HR 0.60, 95% CI (0.35, 1.03), unadjusted p=0.06). Twenty year PFS in 1p/19q codel was 31.3% in RT/PCV treated patients and 10.8% in RT only treated patients (HR 0.49, 95% CI (0.29, 0.83), unadjusted p=0.007). In the 1p/19q codel subgroup age, WHO PS and necrosis at pathology were identified to be of independent prognostic value for OS. CONCLUSION This long term analysis confirms the earlier conclusions and provides data on long term survival in this patient group. In 1p/19q codel patients treated with RT/PCV, the 20-year PFS and OS rates are 31% and 37% respectively.


Blood ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 118 (21) ◽  
pp. 4980-4980
Author(s):  
Josep-Maria Ribera ◽  
Mireia Morgades ◽  
Albert Oriol ◽  
Eva González-Barca ◽  
Pilar Miralles ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 4980 Background and objective. In the highly active antiretroviral treatment (HAART) era R-CHOP based chemotherapy has proven to be feasible and effective in HIV-related DLBCL. However, the available information on long-term follow-up of patients in remission of lymphoma is scarce. In addition, solid tumors constitute an emerging cause of cancer in HIV-infected patients under HAART. The follow-up of patients in complete response (CR) included in a phase II clinical trial of R-CHOP every 21 days conducted by the Spanish PETHEMA, GESIDA, GELTAMO and GELCAB groups (Ribera JM et al. Br J Haematol 2007; 140: 411–419) has been analyzed. Patients and methods. Out of 81 patients included in the trial 55 patients were in CR. The following data were recorded in these patients: NHL relapse, opportunistic infections (OI) and other cancers. Cumulative probabilities of OI and second cancers, as well as overall survival (OS) and event-free survival (EFS) were calculated. Results. Median follow-up of alive patients was 6.4 yr (range: 4.6–9.5). One patient was lost of follow-up in CR, 8 relapsed, 5 had OI (meningoencephalitis [2], Pneumocystis jiroveci pneumonia [1], varicella pneumonia [1], pneumoccal pneumonia [1], esophageal candidiasis [1], and CMV colitis [1]; 2 patients suffered 2 OI during their evolution) and 5 developed a second cancer (invasive carcinoma of cervix [1], squamous lung cancer [1], lung adenocarcinoma [1], pancreatic adenocarcinoma [1], and metastatic sarcoma of unknown origin [1]). Eight-year cumulative probability for OI was 15% (95%CI: 7%-23%) and for second cancer was 12% (95%CI: 2%-22%). Fourteen patients have died: 5 due to lymphoma relapse, 3 due to OI, 4 due to second cancer and 2 due to other reasons (sudden death and assassinate). Eight-year OS probability for the 55 patients in first CR of the lymphoma was 67% (95%CI: 48%-86%) and EFS probability was 59% (95%CI: 42%-76%). Conclusions. HIV-infected patients with DLBCL treated with R-CHOP and HAART followed for long-time have a significant frequency of OI and second cancers, with impact on their survival probability. Supported in part with grants RD06/0020/1056 from RTICC, Instituto Carlos III, 36606/06 from FIPSE and P-EF/10 from FJC. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 136-136
Author(s):  
N. H. Akhtar ◽  
D. M. Nanus ◽  
J. Osborne ◽  
S. Vallabhajosula ◽  
H. Beltran ◽  
...  

136 Background: J591 is a monoclonal antibody which selectively binds the external domain of PSMA with high affinity. Two phase I trials of radiolabeled-J591 have been published; two additional studies have been completed. 90Y is a beta-emitting particle optimal for tumor lesions 28-42 mm in size; 177Lu is best suited for lesions 1-3 mm in diameter [O'Donoghue J Nuc Med 1995]. Methods: With WCMC IRB approval, long-term follow-up of 4 clinical trials and the ongoing studies was analyzed. Prospectively collected data were supplemented with retrospective additions when necessary. Median survival (OS) was calculated by Kaplan- Meier methodology. Results: Between 10/00 and 7/10, 132 pts with metastatic CRPC received radiolabeled J591 (103 received 177Lu-J591, 29 90Y-J591) with a median follow-up of 68.5 months (mo). Median age 70.3 yrs; all progressed after multiple lines of hormonal therapy, 41.7% received prior chemo, 48.5% received post-J591 chemo. Median Halabi nomogram score for the group was 146 (range 97- 196). OS for the entire group was 16.7 mo [95% CI 13.8, 19.7]. 26 (19.7%) experienced > 30% PSA decline, with OS of 22.4 mo (vs 13.6 mo for those with any PSA increase, p=0.08; p=0.006 at phase II doses). Pts receiving 177Lu-J591 had more 30% PSA declines than 90Y-J591 (21.3% vs 6.9%, p=0.06). 37.9% had measurable disease; those who received 90Y-J591 were more likely to have measurable response than 177Lu-J591 [p=0.04]. All objective tumor responses also had significant PSA declines. Of 15 pts with baseline and follow-up CTC counts (CellSearch methodology), 12 (80%) became or remained favorable at follow-up; 3 became or remained unfavorable. Conclusions: Radiolabled J591 is tolerable and efficacious. As predicted based upon their physical properties, 177Lu-J591 appears more effective for lower volume disease, with objective responses in larger volume disease only with 90Y-J591. Current trials utilizing 177Lu-J591 focus on predictive biomarkers, dose fractionation to improve tolerance and efficacy, combination with chemotherapy, and “salvage radioimmunotherapy” to delay the onset of metastases in men with progressive biochemical (micrometastatic) disease best suitable for 177Lu-J591. [Table: see text]


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