scholarly journals Coronary artery calcium and risk prediction in type 2 diabetics

2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
B Zafrir ◽  
W Saliba ◽  
R Shay Li Widder ◽  
R Khouri ◽  
E Shemesh ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims The increased risk for cardiovascular events in diabetics is heterogeneous and contemporary clinical risk score calculators have limited predictive value. We therefore examined the additional value of coronary artery calcium score (CACS) in outcome prediction in type 2 diabetics without clinical coronary artery disease (CAD). Methods and results The study examined a prospective population-based cohort of type 2 diabetics (n=735) aged 55–74 years, recruited between 2006–2008. Patients had at least one additional risk factor and no history or symptoms of CAD. Risk assessment tools included Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE) and Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) 10-year risk score calculators and CACS. The occurrence of MI, stroke or cardiovascular death (MACE) was assessed over 10-years. Risk score calculators predicted MACE and MI and cardiovascular death individually but not stroke. Increasing levels of CACS predicted MACE and its components independently of clinical risk scores, glycated hemoglobin and other baseline variables: hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) 2.92 (1.06–7.86), 6.53 (2.47–17.29) and 8.3 (3.28–21) for CACS of 1–100, 101–300 and >300 Agatston units respectively, compared to CACS=0. Addition of CACS to PCE improved discrimination of MACE [AUC of PCE 0.615 (0.555–0.676) vs PCE + CACS 0.696 (0.642–0.749); p=0.0024[. Coronary artery calcium was absent in 24% of the study population and was associated with very low event rates even in those with high estimated risk scores. Conclusions CACS in asymptomatic type 2 diabetics provides additional prognostic information beyond that obtained from clinical risk scores alone leading to better discrimination between risk categories. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Barak Zafrir ◽  
Walid Saliba ◽  
Rachel Shay Li Widder ◽  
Razi Khoury ◽  
Elad Shemesh ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The increased risk for cardiovascular events in diabetics is heterogeneous and contemporary clinical risk score calculators have limited predictive value. We therefore examined the additional value of coronary artery calcium score (CACS) in outcome prediction in type 2 diabetics without clinical coronary artery disease (CAD). Methods The study examined a population-based cohort of type 2 diabetics (n = 735) aged 55–74 years, recruited between 2006 and 2008. Patients had at least one additional risk factor and no history or symptoms of CAD. Risk assessment tools included Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE) and Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) 10-year risk score calculators and CACS. The occurrence of myocardial infarction (MI), stroke or cardiovascular death (MACE) was assessed over 10-years. Results Risk score calculators predicted MACE and MI and cardiovascular death individually but not stroke. Increasing levels of CACS predicted MACE and its components independently of clinical risk scores, glycated hemoglobin and other baseline variables: hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) 2.92 (1.06–7.86), 6.53 (2.47–17.29) and 8.3 (3.28–21) for CACS of 1–100, 101–300 and > 300 Agatston units respectively, compared to CACS = 0. Addition of CACS to PCE improved discrimination of MACE [AUC of PCE 0.615 (0.555–0.676) versus PCE + CACS 0.696 (0.642–0.749); p = 0.0024]. Coronary artery calcium was absent in 24% of the study population and was associated with very low event rates even in those with high estimated risk scores. Conclusions CACS in asymptomatic type 2 diabetics provides additional prognostic information beyond that obtained from clinical risk scores alone leading to better discrimination between risk categories.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
C Van Der Aalst ◽  
S.J.A.M Denissen ◽  
M Vonder ◽  
J.-W.C Gratema ◽  
H.J Adriaansen ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims Screening for a high cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk followed by preventive treatment can potentially reduce coronary heart disease (CHD)-related morbidity and mortality. ROBINSCA (Risk Or Benefit IN Screening for CArdiovascular disease) is a population-based randomized controlled screening trial that investigates the effectiveness of CVD screening in asymptomatic participants using the Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) model or Coronary Artery Calcium (CAC) scoring. This study describes the distributions in risk and treatment in the ROBINSCA trial. Methods and results Individuals at expected elevated CVD risk were randomized (1:1:1) into the control arm (n=14,519; usual care); screening arm A (n=14,478; SCORE, 10-year fatal and non-fatal risk); or screening arm B (n=14,450; CAC scoring). Preventive treatment was largely advised according to current Dutch guidelines. Risk and treatment differences between the screening arms were analysed. 12,185 participants (84.2%) in arm A and 12,950 (89.6%) in arm B were screened. 48.7% were women, and median age was 62 (InterQuartile Range 10) years. SCORE screening identified 45.1% at low risk (SCORE<10%), 26.5% at intermediate risk (SCORE 10–20%), and 28.4% at high risk (SCORE≥20%). According to CAC screening, 76.0% were at low risk (Agatston<100), 15.1% at high risk (Agatston 100–399), and 8.9% at very high risk (Agatston≥400). CAC scoring significantly reduced the number of individuals indicated for preventive treatment compared to SCORE (relative reduction women: 37.2%; men: 28.8%). Conclusion We showed that compared to risk stratification based on SCORE, CAC scoring classified significantly fewer men and women at increased risk, and less preventive treatment was indicated. ROBINSCA flowchart Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – EU funding. Main funding source(s): Advanced Research Grant


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zahra Mazloum Khorasani ◽  
Saeed Choobkar ◽  
Ramin Khameneh Bagheri ◽  
Mina AkbariRad ◽  
Abdollah Firoozi

Adiponectin is an adipocytokine that has a higher serum level in healthy people. In type 2 diabetes, insulin resistance, hypertension, MI, and dyslipidemia, the serum level of adiponectin is lower than 4 µg/mL. Adiponectin is proved to have a protective role against atherosclerotic changes where its low serum levels in type 2 diabetes can lead to the progression of atherosclerotic lesions. In this study, we aimed to survey the possible effects of adiponectin in the development of coronary artery disease in type 2 diabetics. Thirty diabetic cases with coronary artery disease, 30 diabetic cases without known coronary artery disease, and a group of 30 healthy volunteers, all of them were between 18-65-year-old, were entered ourstudy. We gathered demographic data by performing a physical examination followed by filling a checklist and a set of laboratory tests. All the groups were sex and age-matched (P=0.284 and P=0.163 respectively). CAD group had the lowest HBA1C (P<0.001). Both LDL and HDL were also lower in the CAD group (P<0.001). Adiponectin was also lower in the CAD group when compared to other groups (P<0.008) or when compared with only normal diabetics (P<0.002). We found a correlation between adiponectin and HDL (r=0.348, P=0.008), suggesting each unit of reduction in serum level of adiponectin could increase the chance of coronary artery disease by 38% in diabetics. In this study, we showed that the lower serum level of adiponectin is correlated with an increased risk of coronary artery disease in type 2 diabetics.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Genevieve E Smith ◽  
Jonathan A Drezner ◽  
Camilo Fernandez ◽  
Gregory W Stewart

Introduction: Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is a robust predictor of coronary events in asymptomatic individuals with latent atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD). While evidence suggests CAC scoring may augment traditional CVD risk scores in clinical decision making, evidence is limited on the compared ability of CVD risk scores to identify the degree of coronary atherosclerosis as quantified by absolute CAC, particularly in former elite athlete populations. We investigated this in a cohort of retired National Football League (NFL) players. Methods: We analyzed data on 752 retired NFL players (aged 55.2 ± 9.0 years, 53.7% African-American] that underwent health screening and CAC scoring with the NFL Player Care Foundation. Three 10-year CVD risk scores were compared: Framingham Coronary Heart Disease (FCHD), Framingham CVD (FCVD), and Atherosclerotic CVD Risk Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE). Receiver operating characteristic curves were fitted in 3 models: FCHD (Model 1), FCVD (Model 2), and PCE (Model 3, used as reference based on 2013 AHA guidelines). Contrast analyses identified the model with highest discriminative ability (c statistic) versus CAC = 0 for each CAC score category: >0 and <100, 100-400, and >400. Results: Compared to PCE , FCVD exhibited the highest discriminative ability for CAC > 0 and < 100 ( c statistic 0.7071 vs 0.6706, p<0.0001), while FCHD had the lowest for both CAC 100-400 ( c statistic 0.7198 vs 0.7664, p=0.0165) and CAC >400 ( c statistic 0.7728 vs 0.8460, p<0.0001). No additional differences were identified (Figure 1). Conclusion: Traditional CVD risk scores differ in performance to predict absolute CAC among retired NFL players, underscoring a need for refinement of coronary event risk prediction models to enhance the ability of such models to identify, specifically, low CAC, as even low CAC burden confers increased risk compared to CAC absence. This may include accounting for elite athlete-specific characteristics.


Circulation ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 125 (suppl_10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sian-Tsung Tan ◽  
Abtehale Al-Hussaini ◽  
Sunaina Yadav ◽  
Joban Sehmi ◽  
Mika Ala-Korpela ◽  
...  

Introduction Coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality is ∼2-fold higher in Indian Asians (IA) than in European Whites (EW). This is not accounted for by conventional CHD risk factors (type-2 diabetes, cigarette smoking, hypertension, obesity, total or HDL cholesterol). The INTERHEART Study has reported that ApoB/A1 ratio is the single strongest risk factor for CHD accounting for ∼50% of CHD risk; the contribution of ApoB/A1 ratio to the excess CHD risk in IA is not known. Hypothesis We tested the hypothesis that ApoB/A1 ratio is higher in IA than EW and accounts for the ∼2-fold excess CHD risk in IA, independent of conventional CHD risk factors. Methodology We studied 1361 IA and 1028 EW men and women aged 35-75 years, participating in the London Life Sciences Population Study. All participants completed a structured health questionnaire and had blood pressure, height, weight, waist-hip ratio, fasting biochemistry measured. Coronary artery calcium (CAC) was measured by electron beam CT; Agatston score >0 was considered to indicate the presence of coronary atherosclerosis. Results Compared to EW, IA were younger, had higher prevalence of diabetes and hypertension, had higher WHR, and were less likely to smoke. Total and HDL cholesterol were lower, but Total-HDL cholesterol ratio was higher in IA ( table ). ApoB/A1 ratio was higher in IA compared to EW [0.71±0.15 vs. 0.67±0.16, p<0.001], and was independent of conventional CHD risk factors (p<0.001). In univariate analysis, ApoB/A1 ratio was associated with CAC in both populations [Odds ratio (OR) for CAC per 1 SD increase in ApoB/A1 ratio: IA 1.17 (1.05-1.30), p=0.006; EW 1.40 (1.23-1.59), p<0.001]. After adjustment for age, gender, and total-HDL cholesterol ratio, there was no association between ApoB/A1 ratio and CAC [OR: IA 0.95 (0.74-1.21), p=0.66; EW 0.98 (0.72-1.33), p=0.88]. Conclusions ApoB/A1 is higher in IA compared to EW, but not independently associated with coronary calcification in either population. ApoB/A1 ratio does not explain the ∼2-fold increased risk of CHD in IA. Europeans Indian Asians P-value N 1028 1361 Age (years) 55.5 54.2 0.002 Male gender (%) 70.3 62.0 <0.0001 Ever Smoked (%) 54.8 15.1 <0.0001 ApoB/A1 ratio 0.67 (0.16) 0.71 (0.15) <0.0001 Total: HDL Cholesterol Ratio 4.12 (1.10) 4.23 (1.03) <0.0001 HDL cholesterol (mmol/L) 1.37 (0.39) 1.24 (0.32) <0.0001 Type-2 Diabetes (%) 8.2 20.1 <0.0001 Treated Hypertension (%) 19.2 31.3 <0.0001 Waist-Hip Ratio 0.92 (0.08) 0.94 (0.08) <0.0001 Coronary artery calcium score greater than 0 (%) 54.1 51.1 0.15 Table: Characteristics of study participants


2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (11) ◽  
pp. 1216-1224 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlijn M van der Aalst ◽  
Sabine J A M Denissen ◽  
Marleen Vonder ◽  
Jan Willem C Gratama ◽  
Henk J Adriaansen ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims Screening for a high cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk followed by preventive treatment can potentially reduce coronary heart disease-related morbidity and mortality. ROBINSCA (Risk Or Benefit IN Screening for CArdiovascular disease) is a population-based randomized controlled screening trial that investigates the effectiveness of CVD screening in asymptomatic participants using the Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) model or coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring. This study describes the distributions in risk and treatment in the ROBINSCA trial. Methods and results Individuals at expected elevated CVD risk were randomized into screening arm A (n = 14 478; SCORE, 10-year fatal and non-fatal risk); or screening arm B (n = 14 450; CAC scoring). Preventive treatment was largely advised according to current Dutch guidelines. Risk and treatment differences between the screening arms were analysed. A total of 12 185 participants (84.2%) in arm A and 12 950 (89.6%) in arm B were screened. In total, 48.7% were women, and median age was 62 (interquartile range 10) years. SCORE screening identified 45.1% at low risk (SCORE &lt; 10%), 26.5% at intermediate risk (SCORE 10–20%), and 28.4% at high risk (SCORE ≥ 20%). According to CAC screening, 76.0% were at low risk (Agatston &lt; 100), 15.1% at high risk (Agatston 100–399), and 8.9% at very high risk (Agatston ≥ 400). CAC scoring significantly reduced the number of individuals indicated for preventive treatment compared to SCORE (relative reduction women: 37.2%; men: 28.8%). Conclusion We showed that compared to risk stratification based on SCORE, CAC scoring classified significantly fewer men and women at increased risk, and less preventive treatment was indicated. Trial registration number NTR6471.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
pp. 204201882097419
Author(s):  
Nienke M. A. Idzerda ◽  
Sok Cin Tye ◽  
Dick de Zeeuw ◽  
Hiddo J. L. Heerspink

Background: Risk factor-based equations are used to predict risk of kidney disease progression in patients with type 2 diabetes order to guide treatment decisions. It is, however, unknown whether these models can also be used to predict the effects of drugs on clinical outcomes. Methods: The previously developed Parameter Response Efficacy (PRE) score, which integrates multiple short-term drug effects, was first compared with the existing risk scores, Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE) and The Action in Diabetes and Vascular Disease: Preterax and Diamicron Modified Release Controlled Evaluation (ADVANCE) renal risk score, in its performance to predict end-stage renal disease (ESRD; KFRE) and doubling of serum creatinine or ESRD (ADVANCE). Second, changes in the risk scores were compared after 6 months’ treatment to predict the long-term effects of losartan on these renal outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease. Results: The KFRE, ADVANCE and PRE scores showed similarly good performance in predicting renal risk. However, for prediction of the effect of losartan, the KFRE risk score predicted a relative risk change in the occurrence of ESRD of 3.1% [95% confidence interval (CI) −5 to 12], whereas the observed risk change was −28.8% (95% CI −42.0 to −11.5). For the composite endpoint of doubling of serum creatinine or ESRD, the ADVANCE score predicted a risk change of −12.4% (95% CI −17 to −7), which underestimated the observed risk change −21.8% (95% CI −34 to −6). The PRE score predicted renal risk changes that were close to the observed risk changes with losartan treatment [−24.0% (95% CI −30 to −17) and −22.6% (95% CI −23 to −16) for ESRD and the composite renal outcome, respectively]. Conclusion: A drug response score such as the PRE score may assist in improving clinical decision making and implement precision medicine strategies.


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