618Is mode of first birth a risk factor for subsequent preterm birth?
Abstract Background Previous preterm birth is a strong predictor of subsequent preterm birth but less is known about the causes of preterm birth following a full-term pregnancy. Recent research highlighted previous caesarean as a potential risk factor and we aimed to further explore this risk. Methods This population-based record linkage study included all women in NSW, Australia who had a live singleton first birth at ≥ 37 weeks gestation, followed by a singleton second birth between 2005–2017. Relative risk (RR) and 95%CI of having a subsequent preterm birth, spontaneous preterm birth or preterm pre-labour caesarean was calculated using individual modified Poisson regression models, with mode of first birth as the exposure. Results Women who had an intrapartum (RR:1.26, 95%CI 1.19–1.32) or prelabour caesarean (RR:1.26,95%CI 1.18–1.35) first birth had a higher risk of subsequent preterm birth, than those who birthed vaginally. Those who had a pre-labour caesarean (RR:0.74, 95%CI 0.67–0.82) had a lower risk of subsequent spontaneous preterm birth. However, prior pre-labour caesarean also greatly increased the risk of subsequent preterm prelabour caesarean (RR:5.25, 95%CI 4.65–5.93). Conclusions Pre-labour and intrapartum caesareans have differing effects on the risk of subsequent spontaneous preterm birth and preterm pre-labour caesarean. Key messages The risk of subsequent preterm birth following a first birth caesarean depends on whether the caesarean occurred before or after the onset of labour and whether the subsequent preterm birth is spontaneous or a pre-labour caesarean.